TRB’s Airport Cooperative Research Program (ACRP) Synthesis 2: Airport Aviation Activity Forecasting examines how airport forecasts are used and identifies common aviation metrics, aviation data sources, issues in data collection and preparation, and special data issues at nontowered airports. The report also explores available forecasting methods, including the primary statistical methods; market share analysis; econometric modeling; and time series modeling. In addition the report reviews forecast uncertainty, accuracy, issues of optimism bias, and options for resolving differences when multiple forecast are available.
Table of Contents
|Chapter One - Introduction||3-6|
|Chapter Two - Information and Data Collection||7-17|
|Chapter Three - Airport Activity Forecasting Methods||18-25|
|Chapter Four - Evaluating Forecasts||26-28|
|Chapter Five - Conclusions and Suggestions for Research||29-29|
|Abbreviations used without definitions in TRB publications||33-33|
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