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Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Research Council. 2003. Estimating Climate Sensitivity: Report of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10787.
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ESTIMATING CLIMATE SENSITIVITY

REPORT OF A WORKSHOP

Steering Committee on Probabilistic Estimates of Climate Sensitivity

Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate

Division of Earth and Life Studies

NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL
OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES

THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS
Washington , D.C.
www.nap.edu

Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Research Council. 2003. Estimating Climate Sensitivity: Report of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10787.
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THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS
500 Fifth Street, N.W. Washington, DC 20001

NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the committee responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance.

Support for this workshop was provided by the Environmental Protection Agency under Contract No. 2W-0373-NANX. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the organizations or agencies that provided support for the project.

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International Standard Book Number 0-309-52702-3 (PDF)

Additional copies of this report are available from the
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Copyright 2003 by the National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.

Printed in the United States of America

Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Research Council. 2003. Estimating Climate Sensitivity: Report of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10787.
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THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES

Advisers to the Nation on Science, Engineering, and Medicine

The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific and engineering research, dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the general welfare. Upon the authority of the charter granted to it by the Congress in 1863, the Academy has a mandate that requires it to advise the federal government on scientific and technical matters. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts is president of the National Academy of Sciences.

The National Academy of Engineering was established in 1964, under the charter of the National Academy of Sciences, as a parallel organization of outstanding engineers. It is autonomous in its administration and in the selection of its members, sharing with the National Academy of Sciences the responsibility for advising the federal government. The National Academy of Engineering also sponsors engineering programs aimed at meeting national needs, encourages education and research, and recognizes the superior achievements of engineers. Dr. Wm. A. Wulf is president of the National Academy of Engineering.

The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences to secure the services of eminent members of appropriate professions in the examination of policy matters pertaining to the health of the public. The Institute acts under the responsibility given to the National Academy of Sciences by its congressional charter to be an adviser to the federal government and, upon its own initiative, to identify issues of medical care, research, and education. Dr. Harvey V. Fineberg is president of the Institute of Medicine.

The National Research Council was organized by the National Academy of Sciences in 1916 to associate the broad community of science and technology with the Academy’s purposes of furthering knowledge and advising the federal government. Functioning in accordance with general policies determined by the Academy, the Council has become the principal operating agency of both the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in providing services to the government, the public, and the scientific and engineering communities. The Council is administered jointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts and Dr. Wm. A. Wulf are chair and vice chair, respectively, of the National Research Council.

www.national-academies.org

Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Research Council. 2003. Estimating Climate Sensitivity: Report of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10787.
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Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Research Council. 2003. Estimating Climate Sensitivity: Report of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10787.
×

WORKSHOP STEERING COMMITTEE

ROSINA M. BIERBAUM,

University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

MICHAEL J. PRATHER,

University of California, Irvine

EUGENE M. RASMUSSON,

University of Maryland, College Park

ANDREW J. WEAVER,

University of Victoria, British Columbia, Canada

Workshop Moderator

JERRY D. MAHLMAN,

National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado

NRC Staff

LAURIE S. GELLER, Study Director

ELIZABETH A. GALINIS, Project Assistant

JULIE DEMUTH, Research Associate

Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Research Council. 2003. Estimating Climate Sensitivity: Report of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10787.
×

BOARD ON ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES AND CLIMATE

ERIC J. BARRON (chair),

Pennsylvania State University, University Park

RAYMOND J. BAN,

The Weather Channel, Inc., Atlanta, Georgia

ROBERT C. BEARDSLEY,

Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Massachusetts

ROSINA M. BIERBAUM,

University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

HOWARD B. BLUESTEIN,

University of Oklahoma, Norman

RAFAEL L. BRAS,

Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge

STEVEN F. CLIFFORD,

University of Colorado/CIRES, Boulder

CASSANDRA G. FESEN,

Dartmouth College, Hanover, New Hampshire

GEORGE L. FREDERICK,

Vaisala, Inc., Boulder, Colorado

JUDITH L. LEAN,

Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, D.C.

MARGARET A. LEMONE,

National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado

MARIO J. MOLINA,

Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge

MICHAEL J. PRATHER,

University of California, Irvine

WILLIAM J. RANDEL,

National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado

RICHARD D. ROSEN,

Atmospheric & Environmental Research, Inc., Lexington, Massachusetts

THOMAS F. TASCIONE,

Sterling Software, Inc., Bellevue, Nebraska

JOHN C. WYNGAARD,

Pennsylvania State University, University Park

Ex Officio Members

EUGENE M. RASMUSSON,

University of Maryland, College Park

ERIC F. WOOD,

Princeton University, New Jersey

NRC Staff

CHRIS ELFRING, Director

ELBERT W. (JOE) FRIDAY, JR., Senior Scholar

LAURIE S. GELLER, Senior Program Officer

AMANDA STAUDT, Program Officer

JULIE DEMUTH, Research Associate

ELIZABETH A. GALINIS, Project Assistant

ROB GREENWAY, Project Assistant

DIANE GUSTAFSON, Administrative Associate

ROBIN MORRIS, Financial Associate

Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Research Council. 2003. Estimating Climate Sensitivity: Report of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10787.
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

This workshop summary has been reviewed in draft form by individuals chosen for their diverse perspectives and technical expertise in accordance with procedures approved by the National Research Council’s Report Review Committee. The purpose of this independent review is to provide candid and critical comments that will assist the institution in making its published report as sound as possible and to ensure that the summary meets institutional standards for objectivity, evidence, and responsiveness to the workshop charge. The review comments and draft manuscript remain confidential to protect the integrity of the deliberative process. We wish to thank the following individuals for their review of this report:

Robert Dickinson, Georgia Institute of Technology

Anthony Broccoli, Rutgers University

Joyce Penner, University of Michigan

Veerabhadran Ramanathan, University of California, San Diego

Norman Rosenberg, University of Maryland, College Park

Francis Zwiers, Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis

Although the reviewers listed above provided constructive comments and suggestions, they were not asked to endorse the report, nor did they see the final draft of the report before its release. Responsibility for the final content of this report rests entirely with the authoring committee and the institution.

We also wish to thank the steering committee that selected the workshop participants and designed the agenda: Rosina M. Bierbaum, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor; Michael J. Prather, University of California, Irvine; Eugene M. Rasmusson, University of Maryland, College Park; Andrew J. Weaver, University of Victoria, British Columbia, Canada. In addition, special thanks go to Jerry Mahlman, National Center for Atmospheric Research, who played a key role as moderator of the workshop that was the basis of this report. His scientific expertise and meeting facilitation skills were crucial to ensuring the success of this activity.

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Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Research Council. 2003. Estimating Climate Sensitivity: Report of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10787.
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Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Research Council. 2003. Estimating Climate Sensitivity: Report of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/10787.
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“Climate sensitivity” is a term used to characterize the response of the climate system to an imposed forcing, and is most commonly used to mean the equilibrium global mean surface temperature change that occurs in response to a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration. The purpose of this workshop was to explore current capabilities and limitations in quantifying climate sensitivity and consider whether there are alternative approaches for characterizing climate response that might better suit the information needs of policy makers.

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