Modeling Community Containment for Pandemic Influenza
A Letter Report
THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES
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NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the committee responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance.
This study was supported by Grant No. 6 IOMHP041000-02-01 between the National Academy of Sciences and the US Department of Health and Human Services. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the view of the organizations or agencies that provided support for this project.
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COMMITTEE ON MODELING COMMUNITY CONTAINMENT FOR PANDEMIC INFLUENZA
ADEL A.F. MAHMOUD, M.D., Ph.D., (Chair), Former President,
Merck Vaccines, Princeton, NJ
BENJAMIN BERKMAN, M.P.H., J.D., Fellow,
Center for Law and Public’s Health, Georgetown University Law Center, Washington, DC
KATHLEEN M. CARLEY, Ph.D., Professor,
Institute for Software Research International, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA
PATRICK CHAULK, M.D., M.P.H., Senior Associate for Health,
Annie B. Casey Foundation, Baltimore, MD
JOSEPH FLAHERTY, M.D., Dean of the College of Medicine, Professor of Psychiatry,
University of Illinois at Chicago
JAMES M. HUGHES, M.D., Director,
Program in Global Infectious Disease, School of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, GA
PEGI MCEVOY, M.N., C.S., A.R.N.P., Safety Administrator,
Security Department, Seattle Public Schools, Shoreline, WA
ARNOLD S. MONTO, M.D., Professor,
Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
MARCELLO PAGANO, Ph.D., Professor of Statistical Computing,
Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA
A. DAVID PALTIEL, Ph.D., Associate Professor,
Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Yale School of Medicine, Yale University, New Haven, CT
M. PATRICIA QUINLISK, M.D., Medical Director and State Epidemiologist,
Iowa Department of Health, Des Moines
ISAAC WEISFUSE, M.D., M.P.H., Deputy Commissioner,
Division of Disease Control, New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene, NY
RICHARD J. ZECKHAUSER, Ph.D., Frank P. Ramsey Professor of Political Economy,
John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA
KATHLEEN STRATTON, Ph.D., Study Director
ALICIA GABLE, M.P.H., Senior Program Officer
KRISTINA VAN DOREN-SHULKIN, Senior Program Assistant
ROSE MARIE MARTINEZ, Sc.D., Director,
Board on Population Health and Public Health Practice
This report has been reviewed in draft form by individuals chosen for their diverse perspectives and technical expertise, in accordance with procedures approved by the NRC's Report Review Committee. The purpose of this independent review is to provide candid and critical comments that will assist the institution in making its published report as sound as possible and to ensure that the report meets institutional standards for objectivity, evidence, and responsiveness to the study charge. The review comments and draft manuscript remain confidential to protect the integrity of the deliberative process. We wish to thank the following individuals for their review of this report:
Doug Campos-Outcalt, Department of Family and Community Medicine, University of Arizona College of Medicine, Phoenix
Victor DeGruttola, Department of Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA
Catherine Dibble, Assistant Professor, Department of Geography, University of Maryland
Kathleen Gensheimer, Bureau of Health, Maine Department of Human Services
David Heyman, Homeland Security Program, Center for Strategic and International Studies
Peter Palese, Department of Microbiology, Department of Medicine, Mount Sinai School of Medicine
Although the reviewers listed above have provided many constructive comments and suggestions, they were not asked to endorse the conclusions or recommendations nor did they see the final draft of the report before its release. The review of this report was overseen by David R. Challoner, Vice President for Health Affairs, Emeritus, University of Florida. Appointed by the National Research Council, he was responsible for making certain that an independent examination of this report was carried out in accordance with institutional procedures and that all review comments were carefully considered. Responsibility for the final content of this report rests entirely with the authoring committee and the institution.