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Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming: Mitigation, Adaptation, and the Science Base (1992)

Chapter: Individual Statement by a Member of the Adaptation Panel

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Suggested Citation:"Individual Statement by a Member of the Adaptation Panel." Institute of Medicine, National Academy of Sciences, and National Academy of Engineering. 1992. Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming: Mitigation, Adaptation, and the Science Base. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/1605.
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Page 659

Individual Statement by a Member of the Adaptation Panel

JANE LUBCHENCO

Panel member Jane Lubchenco believes that "the report [of the Adaptation Panel] does not adequately address the potential environmental and global consequences of the different adaptation strategies it recommends, nor does it adequately acknowledge that these consequences must be taken into consideration. The report does address the most obvious and immediate financial costs of some of the adaptations, but does not really consider other costs. Of particular concern are indirect costs, i.e., those emerging as consequences of interactions among the individual sectors considered in the report or as consequences of adaptation measures. The implicit message of the report is that humans can adapt to the predicted climate changes without worrying about these other costs.

"This complacent tone is unwarranted in light of (a) the uncertainties about responses of natural systems to climate change, (b) the reliance of human systems on these natural systems (i.e., interactions among the different sectors considered in the report), (c) the unexamined environmental consequences of recommended adaptations, and (d) the substantial difficulties anticipated for developing nations to adapt to climate change. I concur that the adaptation strategies suggested in the report may be quite reasonable and should possibly be pursued. However, the limitations to and costs of these adaptations must be made explicit. The areas in which adaptations cannot be made, or at least, not easily made (for example those identified in the sections dealing with unmanaged ecosystems), are so fundamentally important to the global system that mitigation—not adaptation—becomes paramount.

"In summary, I disagree with the report's implicit message, that 'we can adapt with little or no problem.' I believe that even the incomplete analysis of the Adaptation Panel supports the recommendations of the Synthesis Panel to adopt effective but inexpensive actions to slow the onset of greenhouse warming."

Suggested Citation:"Individual Statement by a Member of the Adaptation Panel." Institute of Medicine, National Academy of Sciences, and National Academy of Engineering. 1992. Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming: Mitigation, Adaptation, and the Science Base. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/1605.
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Suggested Citation:"Individual Statement by a Member of the Adaptation Panel." Institute of Medicine, National Academy of Sciences, and National Academy of Engineering. 1992. Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming: Mitigation, Adaptation, and the Science Base. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/1605.
×
Page 659
Suggested Citation:"Individual Statement by a Member of the Adaptation Panel." Institute of Medicine, National Academy of Sciences, and National Academy of Engineering. 1992. Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming: Mitigation, Adaptation, and the Science Base. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/1605.
×
Page 660
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Global warming continues to gain importance on the international agenda and calls for action are heightening. Yet, there is still controversy over what must be done and what is needed to proceed.

Policy Implications of Greenhouse Warming describes the information necessary to make decisions about global warming resulting from atmospheric releases of radiatively active trace gases. The conclusions and recommendations include some unexpected results. The distinguished authoring committee provides specific advice for U.S. policy and addresses the need for an international response to potential greenhouse warming.

It offers a realistic view of gaps in the scientific understanding of greenhouse warming and how much effort and expense might be required to produce definitive answers.

The book presents methods for assessing options to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, offset emissions, and assist humans and unmanaged systems of plants and animals to adjust to the consequences of global warming.

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