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Improving the Assessment of the Proliferation Risk of Nuclear Fuel Cycles (2013)

Chapter: Appendix D: Presentations and Committee Meetings

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Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Presentations and Committee Meetings." National Research Council. 2013. Improving the Assessment of the Proliferation Risk of Nuclear Fuel Cycles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18335.
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Appendix D: Presentations and Committee Meetings

Washington, DC, January 16-17, 2012

Proliferation Risk Assessments: A Policy-Maker’s Observations, Dunbar Lockwood, National Nuclear Security Administration, DOE, Office of Nonproliferation and International Security, NA-24

DOE/NE Perspectives on the National Academies Proliferation Risk Assessment Project, Andrew Griffith, Office of Nuclear Energy, DOE

Phase One Workshop Overview: Policy-Side Perspective, Sharon Squassoni, Center for Strategic and International Studies

Phase One Workshop Overview: Technical Perspective, William Charlton, Texas A&M University

Overview of Proliferation Risk Methodologies, William Charlton, Texas A&M University

Assessing Proliferation Risk: Approaches from Quantitative Political Science, Jeff Kaplow, University of California, San Diego

Washington, DC, March 26-27, 2012

Recent Nonproliferation Policy Decisions, Joyce Connery, Nuclear Energy Office of International Economics, National Security Council

Progress and Application of Proliferation Risk Reduction to the Design of a Reprocessing Facility, John Herzceg, Office of Fuel Cycle Technologies, Office of Nuclear Energy

Nonproliferation Decision-Making Within Congress, Mary Beth Nikitin, Congressional Research Service

Government Agencies Outside of DOS and DOE Using Proliferation Risk Assessments, Ray Richardson, U.S. Central Intelligence Agency

Stanford, CA, May 11, 2012

Host State Intentions: Political Science Perspectives, Christopher Way, Cornell University

Determinants of Nuclear Proliferation, Erik Gartzke, Department of Political Science, University California, San Diego

Thoughts on Proliferation Risk Assessment, Chris Whipple, ENVIRON

Proliferation Analysis: Methodologies, Assessments, and Warning Indicators, Lisa Owens Davis, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Presentations and Committee Meetings." National Research Council. 2013. Improving the Assessment of the Proliferation Risk of Nuclear Fuel Cycles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18335.
×

Livermore, CA, May 22-23, 2012

TAMU’s TPRA [Technical Proliferation Resistance Assessments]Methodology and TPRAs State of the Art, William Charlton, Texas A&M University

Proliferation Resistance Assessment: GIF, INPRO, and IAEA Safeguards, Jon R. Phillips, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

Gen IV Working Group PR&PP Methodology, Robert Bari, Brookhaven National Laboratory

Nuclear Energy Materials Applied to Nuclear Weapons, Vladimir Georgevich, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

LLNL Z-Division Proliferation Events, Mary Beth Ward, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

LLNL Z-Division Host State Assessments for Government Decisions, Lisa Owens Davis, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

Albuquerque, NM, July 9-10, 2012

Technical Assessments of Proliferation Risk and the Nuclear Supplier’s Group Review of Dual Use Technology List, Jeff Bedell, Los Alamos National Laboratory

Probabilistic Effectiveness Methodology (PEM) for the Domestic Nuclear Detection Office (DNDO), A Transportation Pathways Risk Assessment, James Smith, Los Alamos National Laboratory

DNDO’s Global Nuclear Detection Architecture Adversary Risk Model, Steven Streetman, Domestic Nuclear Detection Office, Department of Homeland Security

Probabilistic Risk Analysis Background and Applications, David Johnson, ABS Consulting

Threat Assessments for Cyber-Security, Rafail Ostrovsky, University of California, Los Angeles

Washington, DC, September 12-13, 2012

Utilization of Prioritization Methodologies by Policymakers, Phillip Dolliff, Office of Cooperative Threat Reduction, Department of State

International Aspects of the Tasking and Safeguards, Kory Budlong-Sylvester, Los Alamos National Laboratory

Improving the Assessment of Proliferation Risk of Nuclear Fuel Cycles, Michael Rosenthal, past member of International Atomic Energy Agency’s Standing Advisory Group on Safeguards Implementation

SILEX Risk Assessment Panel with Global Laser Enrichment Evaluation Team, Donald M. Kerr, George Mason University; Susan Koch, independent consultant; and Gordon Oehler, Potomac Institute for Policy Studies

How to Develop Complex Nuclear Risk Messages for the Public, Hank Jenkins-Smith, Oklahoma State University

Models on Countries’ Intent, Brian Lessenberry

Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Presentations and Committee Meetings." National Research Council. 2013. Improving the Assessment of the Proliferation Risk of Nuclear Fuel Cycles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18335.
×
Page 74
Suggested Citation:"Appendix D: Presentations and Committee Meetings." National Research Council. 2013. Improving the Assessment of the Proliferation Risk of Nuclear Fuel Cycles. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/18335.
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The material that sustains the nuclear reactions that produce energy can also be used to make nuclear weapons—and therefore, the development of nuclear energy is one of multiple pathways to proliferation for a non-nuclear weapon state. There is a tension between the development of future nuclear fuel cycles and managing the risk of proliferation as the number of existing and future nuclear energy systems expands throughout the world. As the Department of Energy (DOE) and other parts of the government make decisions about future nuclear fuel cycles, DOE would like to improve proliferation assessments to better inform those decisions.

Improving the Assessment of the Proliferation Risk of Nuclear Fuel Cycles considers how the current methods of quantification of proliferation risk are being used and implemented, how other approaches to risk assessment can contribute to improving the utility of assessments for policy and decision makers. The study also seeks to understand the extent to which technical analysis of proliferation risk could be improved for policy makers through research and development.

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