National Academies Press: OpenBook

Modeling the Health Risks of Climate Change: Workshop Summary (2015)

Chapter: APPENDIX B WORKSHOP AGENDA

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Suggested Citation:"APPENDIX B WORKSHOP AGENDA." National Research Council. 2015. Modeling the Health Risks of Climate Change: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21705.
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APPENDIX B
WORKSHOP AGENDA

Monday, November 3, 8:30am – 5:00pm

SESSION 1 Human health risks of climate change: State-of-Knowledge

Moderator: John Balbus, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (NIEHS)

8:30 Welcome and Opening Remarks – Helmut Zarbl, Robert Wood Johnson Medical School & John Balbus, NIEHS
8:45 Where We Are: Hurdles and Opportunities – Jan Semenza, European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)
9:15 Emerging models, datasets, and applications – Benjamin Zaitchik, Johns Hopkins University
9:45 Using health risk models to improve community preparedness – George Luber, Centers for Disease Control (CDC)
10:15 Break

SESSION 2: Health Risk Models of Climate Change: State-of-Development

Moderator: Linda Wennerberg, National Aeronautics and Space Administration

10:30 Quantitative Risk Assessment Approach to Modeling the Health Impacts of Climate Change – Sari Kovats, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (LSHTM)
11:00 Climate and health effects of heat stress and air pollution— Michelle Bell, Yale University
11:30 Climate and water-borne infectious diseases – Juli Trtanj, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
11:30 Climate and vector-borne diseases – Nick Ogden, Public Health Agency of Canada
12:30 Lunch on your own
1:15 Panel Discussion on Health Risk Models – Limitations and Opportunities

Discussants: Charles Benjamin Beard, CDC, Mary Hayden, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Erin Lipp, University of Georgia, Session 2 Speakers

SESSION 3: Human Systems-based Approaches to Understanding Future Vulnerabilities

Moderator: Gary Geernaert, Department of Energy (DOE)

2:15 Systems Thinking in Health: A Population Based Approach to Climate Change Impact–Georges Benjamin, American Public Health Association
Suggested Citation:"APPENDIX B WORKSHOP AGENDA." National Research Council. 2015. Modeling the Health Risks of Climate Change: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21705.
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2:45 Systems Approach to Climate Change, Agriculture, and Human Health – Joshua Elliott, University of Chicago and Argonne National Laboratory
3:15 Urbanization, Climate Change, and Human Health – Richard Jackson, University of California, Los Angeles
3:45 Break
4:00 Panel Discussion on Systems Thinking and Modeling the Health Impacts of Climate Change
Discussants: Molly Brown, NASA, Gregory Glass, University of Florida, Session 3 Speakers

Tuesday, November 3, 8:30am – 12:00pm

Session 4: Incorporating Health Risks into the Aggregated Impact of Climate Change

Moderator: Kristie Ebi. ClimAdapt LLC

8:30 Welcome and Opening Remarks – Kristie Ebi, ClimAdapt LLC
8:50 Integrating climate change impact models: where we are and where we need to go –
Anthony Janetos, Boston University
9:20 Panel Discussion on Conceptual Directions for Research on Integrating Climate Change Impact Models
Discussants: Stéphane Hallegatte, World Bank, Anthony Janetos, Boston University, Sari Kovats, LSHTM, Jan Semenza, ECDC
10:15 Break
10:30 Panel Discussion on Practical Next Steps toward Improving Climate Change Impact Models
Discussants: John Balbus, NIEHS, Peter Berry, Health Canada, Ann Grambsch, Environmental Protection Agency, Juli Trtanj, NOAA, Robert Vallario, DOE
11:45 Closing Comments – John Balbus, NIEHS
12:00 pm Adjourn Workshop
Suggested Citation:"APPENDIX B WORKSHOP AGENDA." National Research Council. 2015. Modeling the Health Risks of Climate Change: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21705.
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Page 33
Suggested Citation:"APPENDIX B WORKSHOP AGENDA." National Research Council. 2015. Modeling the Health Risks of Climate Change: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/21705.
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Page 34
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Climate change poses risks to human health and well-being through shifting weather patterns, increases in frequency and intensity of heat waves and other extreme weather events, rising sea levels, ocean acidification, and other environmental effects. Those risks occur against a backdrop of changing socioeconomic conditions, medical technology, population demographics, environmental conditions, and other factors that are important in determining health. Models of health risks that reflect how health determinants and climate changes vary in time and space are needed so that we can inform adaptation efforts and reduce or prevent adverse health effects. Robust health risk models could also help to inform national and international discussions about climate policies and the economic consequences of action and inaction.

Interest in resolving some of the challenges facing health effects modelers and health scientists led the National Research Council's Standing Committee on Emerging Science for Environmental Health Decisions to hold a workshop on November 3-4, 2014, in Washington, DC, to explore new approaches to modeling the human health risks of climate change. Throughout the workshop, the discussions highlighted examples of current application of models, research gaps, lessons learned, and potential next steps to improve modeling of health risks associated with climate change. Modeling the Health Risks of Climate Change summarizes the presentation and discussion of the workshop.

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