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C LETTER FROM CHARLES BARONIAN, DATED AUGUST 7, 1992 219 5. Cost Discussion. a. Case 1. Again, the viability of cost projections on an unspecified technology mandates that at best the costs represent rough order of magnitude estimates which cannot be utilized meaningfully for any purpose but rough approximations. (1) Laboratory Phase: Assumption is that the work will be done in a Government laboratory and by Government personnel, i.e., Chemical Research, Development and Engineering Center where agent-approved laboratory capability exists. The work to be done incorporates laboratory studies on both agent and explosives materials. Approximately four months could be reduced if the work was limited to agent studies. Basis of Estimate: Duration: 1 Year Labor Costs: 4 people @ $100,000 per man-year $400,000 Equipment, Supplies, Material 100,000 Consultant Services 100,000 Total $600,000 (2) Pilot Phase: It is postulated that the pilot studies will be performed at CAMDS, located at Tooele Army Depot, Utah. Current plans call for the CAMDS pilot facility to be closed and decontaminated by September 1995. However, the Army would have to retain this capability. This results in a limited core staff to maintain the facility in a ready condition for 36 months. The labor costs for the operations and environmental activities can be reasonably estimated. However, the design and capital costs for an undefined technology represent gross approximations with no major Military Construction, Army (MCA) costs in the estimate. However, the process may require MCA construction to safely house a supercritical water oxidation process which operates at or above 3,000 psi. This would not only represent a major cost, but obviously would also affect schedules. Conversely, the modifications could be less than what is estimated based on availability of equipment from the commercial developers of the process.
C LETTER FROM CHARLES BARONIAN, DATED AUGUST 7, 1992 220 Activity Duration Cost Estimate ($000) Design 12 mos 2,000 Environmental 24 mos 1,000 Modifications & Equipment Procurement/Installation 15 mos 15,000 Core Staffing 36 mos 35,000 (75 people -24 mos) (115 people -12 mos) Operations 24 mos 42,000 (150 people) Closure 12 mos 12,000 (75 people) Consultation Services N/A 1,000 Total 108,000 (3) Full-Scale Production Phase: Estimating the full-scale phase of a new undefined technology is considered to be an exercise in futility. Therefore, this study assumes that the current baseline technology costs for facilitization, systemization, and operations are valid for the alternative technology plan. This makes even more sense as the incinerators, which the new technology would replace, account for less than 10% of the capital costs. A substantial increase in design costs, however, is included as the current program bases its design costs on cloning of presently completed baseline designs, while the new or alternative technology designs must be developed from "scratch." The same applies to the environmental work. Therefore, the information presented below for facilitization, systemization, operations, and closure costs represent merely the inflation factors of moving the program into downstream years to incorporate the alternative technology.
C LETTER FROM CHARLES BARONIAN, DATED AUGUST 7, 1992 221 Site Current Costs ($000) Revised Costs ($000) ABERDEEN PROVING GROUND Design 8,000 10,000* Environmental 800 1,000 Facilitization 248,000 311,000 Systemization 37,000 46,000 Operations 111,200 140,000 Consultants N/A 1,000 Closure 33,000 41,000 Total 438,000 550,000 NEWPORT ARMY AMMUNITION PLANT Design 12,000 15,000* Environmental 800 1,000 Facilitization 230,000 287,000 Systemization 37,000 46,000 Operations 88,200 112,000 Consultants N/A 1,000 Closure 28,000 35,000 Total 396,000 497,000 * Includes Title II Services * Includes Title II Services; Provides Inforamtion to APG Design
