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Method Selection for Travel Forecasting (2017)

Chapter: Appendix B - Programs Reference

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B-1 Programs Reference a p p e n d i x B Economy ..............................................................................................................................................B-2 Short Description...........................................................................................................................B-2 Programs.......................................................................................................................................B-2 Programs for Economy .................................................................................................................B-2 Environment .........................................................................................................................................B-3 Short Description...........................................................................................................................B-3 Programs.......................................................................................................................................B-4 Programs for Environment ............................................................................................................B-4 Equity...................................................................................................................................................B-9 Short Description...........................................................................................................................B-9 Programs.......................................................................................................................................B-9 Programs for Equity ......................................................................................................................B-9 Safety and Health ..............................................................................................................................B-10 Short Description.........................................................................................................................B-10 Programs.....................................................................................................................................B-11 Programs for Safety and Health..................................................................................................B-11 Transportation ....................................................................................................................................B-12 Short Description.........................................................................................................................B-12 Programs.....................................................................................................................................B-12 Programs for Transportation .......................................................................................................B-13

B-2 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide ECONOMY Short Description Programs and plans that detail economic policies affecting transportation systems. Programs Economic Development Plan Economic Impact Analysis Programs for Economy Economic Development Plan Short Description Details the policies and actions that promote economic and social well-being for people within a specific geographic area. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns

programs Reference B-3 Economic Impact Analysis Short Description Examines the effects of an event on the economy in a specific area and measures the change in business revenue, business profits, personal wages, or jobs. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Population Synthesis Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns ENVIRONMENT Short Description Programs and plans that detail environmental policies that reduce transportation impacts.

B-4 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Programs Air Quality Emissions Inventory for Conformity Analysis Energy Use Study Environmental Clearance and Preliminary Design for Transportation Projects Environmental Impact Study Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Study Sustainable Community Strategies Programs for Environment Air Quality Emissions Inventory for Conformity Analysis Short Description An accounting of the amount of pollutants discharged by mobile sources into the atmosphere consistent with state air quality goals. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops

programs Reference B-5 Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Energy Use Study Short Description Evaluates the amount of energy required for transportation services. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Environmental Clearance and Preliminary Design for Transportation Projects Short Description Includes the environmental, design, and engineering activities needed to develop final design plans and specifications for transportation projects.

B-6 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Environmental Impact Study Short Description Environmental impact study is an in-depth analysis of the air quality, water quality, and noise impacts of a proposed transportation project.

programs Reference B-7 Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Study Short Description Details and measures the effects of actions to limit the magnitude or rate of long-term climate change. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate)

B-8 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Sustainable Community Strategies Short Description Demonstrates how a region will reduce greenhouse gas emissions and sets a target to track progress. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification)

programs Reference B-9 Assignment and Microsimulation Models Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns EQUITY Short Description Policies to ensure equitable distribution of benefits and costs of transportation systems. Programs Environmental Justice Plan Programs for Equity Environmental Justice Plan Short Description Details the transportation-related impacts for all people regardless of race, color, national origin, or income with respect to the development, implementation, and enforcement of environmental laws, regulations, and policies.

B-10 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions SAFETY AND HEALTH Short Description Policies to reduce safety impacts and improve health of the mobile population. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models

programs Reference B-11 Safety Program Programs for Safety and Health Emergency Evacuation Plan Short Description Details the actions that local and state transportation agencies will follow to enhance mobility and ensure motorist and responder safety in the event of a nonrecurring event that interrupts or overwhelms transportation operations. Methods Assignment and Microsimulation Models Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Health and Physical Activity Plan Short Description Details the policies and programs designed to increase people’s physical activity. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Population Synthesis Trip Production (Cross-classification) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Programs Emergency Evacuation Plan Health and Physical Activity Plan

B-12 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Safety Program Short Description Promotes transportation projects and policies with higher safety benefits (fewer and less severe accidents). Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models TRANSPORTATION Short Description Policies to improve mobility of people and goods cost effectively. Programs Arterial Operations and Management Study Bicycle and Pedestrian Capital Investments Bicycle and Pedestrian Plan Comprehensive Plans Congestion Management Plan Freeway Operations and Management Study Freight Plan Highway Detailed Design Highway Preliminary Engineering Intelligent Transportation Systems Plan Long-Range Transportation Plan Major Highway Corridor Study

programs Reference B-13 Major Transit Corridor Study Pricing Study Project Prioritization Traffic Impact Study Transit Operations Study Transit-Oriented Development Study Transportation Improvement Program Travel Demand Management Program Programs for Transportation Arterial Operations and Management Study Short Description Details the speeds, traffic signal improvements, advanced traffic signal control, traffic monitoring, and access management for nonfreeway roads of interest. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Parking Location Choice Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Bicycle and Pedestrian Capital Investments Short Description Involves evaluating the costs and benefits of a bicycle or pedestrian project.

B-14 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Bicycle and Pedestrian Plan Short Description Details the transportation options for pedestrians and bicyclists to travel safely and conveniently and presents community benefits for these options. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Comprehensive Plans Short Description Details plans to establish transportation, utilities, land-use, recreation, and housing policies. The focus here is on the transportation element of comprehensive plans.

programs Reference B-15 Destination Choice Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Congestion Management Plan Short Description Presents strategies to reduce roadway traveler delays and evaluates the effectiveness of these strategies. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model

B-16 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Freeway Operations and Management Study Short Description Details the speeds, lane use, ramps, traffic monitoring, and access management for freeway roads of interest. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Methods Passenger Vehicle Models

programs Reference B-17 Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Freight Plan Short Description Details and evaluates the impacts of future policies, goals, investments, and designs for goods movement. Methods Assignment and Microsimulation Models Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models

B-18 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Highway Detailed Design Short Description Evaluates completing design for a roadway section or intersection/interchange. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Highway Preliminary Engineering Short Description Evaluates the costs and benefits of capital investments in roadway projects.

programs Reference B-19 Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Intelligent Transportation Systems Plan Short Description Details the advanced sensor, computer, electronics, communication technologies, and management strategies to improve the safety and efficiency of the surface transportation system. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate)

B-20 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Long-range Transportation Plan Short Description Long-range transportation plans result from regional or statewide collaboration and consensus on a region or state’s transportation system; serve as the defining vision for a region’s or state’s transportation systems and services. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model

programs Reference B-21 Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Major Highway Corridor Study Short Description Highway corridor studies are conducted for significant transportation projects—such as major highway improvements—that would be most effective in moving people and goods in travel corridors. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice

B-22 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns

programs Reference B-23 Major Transit Corridor Study Short Description Transit corridor studies are conducted for significant transit projects—such as major transit improvements—that would be most effective in moving people in travel corridors Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Pricing Study Short Description Evaluates the effect of tolls, user fees, transit fares, operating costs, and parking costs on travel behavior.

B-24 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Project Prioritization Short Description Identifies the preferred projects to be funded based on the ability of the project to achieve strategic goals and objectives. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership

programs Reference B-25 Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Traffic Impact Study Short Description Traffic impact study is an in-depth analysis of the transportation impacts of a proposed development, one that integrates the building, site circulation, parking, and access to the public roadway system. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate)

B-26 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Transit Operations Study Short Description Evaluates the operations of a transit investment. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Transit Pass Ownership Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment

programs Reference B-27 Frequency-based Transit Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Transit-oriented Development Study Short Description Transit-oriented development studies seek to maximize access to public transport and encourage transit ridership through mixed-use residential and commercial development Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions

B-28 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Transportation Improvement Program Short Description The Transportation Improvement Program (TIP) is a federal- and state-mandated program document that includes information concerning local highway, state highway, and transit projects and services for the following six years. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model

programs Reference B-29 Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Travel Demand Management Program Short Description Transportation demand management (TDM) means the alteration of travel behavior—usually on the part of commuters—through programs of incentives, services, and policies. TDM addresses alternatives to single-occupant vehicles such as carpooling and vanpooling, and changes in work schedules that move trips out of the peak period or eliminate them altogether (as is the case in telecommuting or compressed work weeks). Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions

Next: Appendix C - Requirements Reference »
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 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting
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TRB's National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) Research Report 852: Method Selection for Travel Forecasting presents guidelines for travel-forecasting practitioners to assess the suitability and limitations of their travel-forecasting methods and techniques to address specific policy and planning questions. The report also provides practitioners with the ability to scope model development or improvements so as to attain the desired policy sensitivity within constraints such as institutional, budget, model development time, and resources.

The report is accompanied by a software tool, TFGuide, which illustratively and systematically “guides” the practitioner through the selection of travel-forecasting methods and techniques based on application needs, resource constraints, available data, and existing model structure. NCHRP Web-Only Document 234: Developing a Method Selection Tool for Travel Forecasting documents research efforts and methodology used to produce the report and tool.

Disclaimer - This software is offered as is, without warranty or promise of support of any kind either expressed or implied. Under no circumstance will the National Academy of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine or the Transportation Research Board (collectively "TRB") be liable for any loss or damage caused by the installation or operation of this product. TRB makes no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, in fact or in law, including without limitation, the warranty of merchantability or the warranty of fitness for a particular purpose, and shall not in any case be liable for any consequential or special damages.

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