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Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
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Service Life Assessment and
Predictive Modeling for an
Aging Critical Infrastructure

PROCEEDINGS OF A WORKSHOP

Linda Casola, Rapporteur

Defense Materials Manufacturing and Infrastructure
Standing Committee

National Materials and Manufacturing

Board Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences

images

THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS
Washington, DC
www.nap.edu

Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×

THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS 500 Fifth Street, NW Washington, DC 20001

This activity was supported by Contract No. W911NF-10-C-0098 with the Department of Defense. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of any organization or agency that provided support for the project.

Cover Image: As our infrastructure continues to age, it is important to understand in advance how long it will continue to serve us. By predictive modeling of the service life, it is possible to plan ahead and act, and not just watch our future erode away. Graphic Artist: Erik Svedberg.

International Standard Book Number-13: 978-0-309-47574-7
International Standard Book Number-10: 0-309-47574-0
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Suggested citation: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/25107.

Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×

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The National Academy of Sciences was established in 1863 by an Act of Congress, signed by President Lincoln, as a private, nongovernmental institution to advise the nation on issues related to science and technology. Members are elected by their peers for outstanding contributions to research. Dr. Marcia McNutt is president.

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Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×

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Consensus Study Reports published by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine document the evidence-based consensus on the study’s statement of task by an authoring committee of experts. Reports typically include findings, conclusions, and recommendations based on information gathered by the committee and the committee’s deliberations. Each report has been subjected to a rigorous and independent peer-review process and it represents the position of the National Academies on the statement of task.

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Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×

DEFENSE MATERIALS MANUFACTURING AND INFRASTRUCTURE STANDING COMMITTEE

MICHAEL F. McGRATH, McGrath Analytics, LLC, Chair

VALERIE BROWNING, ValTech Solutions, LLC

JESUS M. DE LA GARZA, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University

ROSARIO A. GERHARDT, Georgia Institute of Technology

PAUL J. KERN, NAE,1 The Cohen Group

ROBERT H. LATIFF, R. Latiff Associates

E. WARD PLUMMER, NAS,2 Louisiana State University

ROBERT E. SCHAFRIK, NAE, GE Aviation

DENISE SWINK, Independent Consultant

A. GALIP ULSOY, NAE, University of Michigan

HAYDN N.G. WADLEY, University of Virginia

Staff

ERIK B. SVEDBERG, Senior Program Officer

HEATHER LOZOWSKI, Financial Manager

NEERAJ P. GORKHALY, Assistant Program Officer

HENRY KO, Research Assistant

JOSEPH PALMER, Senior Program Assistant

LINDA C. CASOLA, Rapporteur

MICHELLE K. SCHWALBE, Acting Director, National Materials and Manufacturing Board (from April 2021)

JAMES LANCASTER, Acting Director, National Materials and Manufacturing Board (through April 2021)

___________________

1 Member, National Academy of Engineering.

2 Member, National Academy of Sciences.

Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×

NATIONAL MATERIALS AND MANUFACTURING BOARD

BEN WANG, Georgia Institute of Technology, Chair

RODNEY C. ADKINS, NAE,1 IBM Corporate Strategy (retired)

JIM C.I. CHANG, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan

LEO CHRISTODOULOU, Boeing, Inc.

THOMAS M. DONNELLAN, Applied Research Laboratory

STEPHEN FORREST, NAS2/NAE, University of Michigan

ERICA FUCHS, Carnegie Mellon University

JACK HU, NAE, University of Michigan

THERESA KOTANCHECK, Evolved Analytics, LLC

DAVID LARBALESTIER, Florida State University

ROBERT MILLER, IBM Almaden Research Center

EDWARD MORRIS, NCDMM, NAMII

NICHOLAS A. PEPPAS, NAE/NAM,3 University of Texas, Austin

TRESA M. POLLOCK, NAE, University of California, Santa Barbara

F. STAN SETTLES, University of Southern California

HAYDN N.G. WADLEY, University of Virginia

STEVE ZINKLE, NAE, University of Tennessee, Knoxville

Staff

MICHELLE K. SCHWALBE, Acting Director (from April 2021)

JAMES LANCASTER, Acting Director (through April 2021)

ERIK B. SVEDBERG, Senior Program Officer

HEATHER LOZOWSKI, Financial Manager

NEERAJ P. GORKHALY, Assistant Program Officer

HENRY KO, Research Assistant

JOSEPH PALMER, Senior Program Assistant

___________________

1 Member, National Academy of Engineering.

2 Member, National Academy of Sciences.

3 Member, National Academy of Medicine.

Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×

Acknowledgment of Reviewers

This Proceedings of a Workshop was reviewed in draft form by individuals chosen for their diverse perspectives and technical expertise. The purpose of this independent review is to provide candid and critical comments that will assist the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine in making each published proceedings as sound as possible and to ensure that it meets the institutional standards for quality, objectivity, evidence, and responsiveness to the charge. The review comments and draft manuscript remain confidential to protect the integrity of the process.

We thank the following individuals for their review of this proceedings:

Dianne Chong, NAE,1 Boeing Research and Technology (Retired),

Robert Pohanka, National Nanotechnology Coordination Office,

Kyle Stanish, University of Southern California, and

David Trejo, Oregon State University.

Although the reviewers listed above provided many constructive comments and suggestions, they were not asked to endorse the content of the proceedings nor did they see the final draft before its release. The review of this proceedings was overseen by Del Eulberg, Booz Allen Hamilton. He was responsible for making certain that an independent examination of this proceedings was carried

___________________

1 Member, National Academy of Engineering.

Page viii Cite
Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×

out in accordance with standards of the National Academies and that all review comments were carefully considered. Responsibility for the final content rests entirely with the rapporteur and the National Academies.

Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×
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Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×
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Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×
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Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×
Page R4
Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×
Page R5
Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×
Page R6
Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×
Page R7
Page viii Cite
Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×
Page R8
Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×
Page R9
Suggested Citation:"Front Matter." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2021. Service Life Assessment and Predictive Modeling for an Aging Critical Infrastructure: Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/25107.
×
Page R10
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The Defense Materials Manufacturing and Infrastructure standing and planning committee of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine convened a workshop on May 19-20, 2016, to discuss the value of collaboration between the materials and civil engineering communities in addressing the following problem: People and equipment are continuously monitored through multiple organizations and instruments, but the physical infrastructure where they live, train, and deploy receives little attention until it fails or is shown to be inadequate. The workshop was organized into three sessions: (1) highway infrastructure, (2) waterways infrastructure, and (3) railways infrastructure. Within these three sessions, individual speakers gave presentations on technical, functional, and economic paradigms and answered questions from workshop participants. Following these sessions, a panel discussion was held to discuss existing gaps as well as ways to overcome challenges. This publication summarizes the presentations and discussion of the workshop.

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