Appendix C
List of Minerva Grant Awards Between 2009–2017
At the time when the committee completed its review, DoD was in the process of posting brief descriptions of funded projects to the Minerva Research Initiative website. Further information about some of the studies was available at: https://minerva.defense.gov/Research/Funded-Projects/.
TABLE C-1 List of Minerva Grant Awards between 2009 and 2017
Grant Title | Year of Grant | Principal Investigator | Principal Investigator’s Affiliation (at the time of the National Academies study) |
---|---|---|---|
Emotion and Intergroup Relations | 2009 | David Matsumoto | San Francisco State University |
Terrorism, Governance, and Development | 2009 | Jacob Shapiro | Princeton University |
Iraq’s Wars with the US from the Iraqi Perspective: State Security, Weapons of Mass Destruction, Civil-Military Relations, Ethnic Conflict and Political Communication in Baathist Iraq | 2009 | Leonard Spector | Middlebury Institute of International Studies |
Finding Allies for the War of Words: Mapping the Diffusion and Influence of Counter-Radical Muslim Discourse | 2009 | Mark Woodward | Arizona State University |
Explorations in Cyber International Relations | 2009 | Nazli Choucri | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
Climate Change and African Political Stability | 2009 | Robert Chesney | University of Texas, Austin |
The Evolving Relationship Between Technology and National Security in China: Innovation, Defense Transformation, and China’s Place in the Global Technology Order | 2009 | Tai Ming Cheung | University of California, San Diego |
How Politics Inside Dictatorships Affects Regime Stability and International Conflict | 2010 | Barbara Geddes | University of California, Los Angeles |
Behavioral Insights into National Security Issues | 2010 | Catherine Eckel | Texas A&M University |
Experimental Analysis of Alternative Models of Conflict Bargaining | 2010 | Charles Holt | University of Virginia |
People, Power, and Conflict in the Eurasian Migration System | 2010 | Cynthia Buckley | University of Illinois |
Political Economy of Terrorism and Insurgency (Workshop) | 2010 | Eli Berman | University of California, San Diego |
Engaging Intensely Adversarial States: The Strategic Limits and Potential of Public Diplomacy in U.S. National Security Policy | 2010 | Geoffrey Wiseman | Australian National University |
Deciphering Civil Conflict in the Middle East | 2010 | J. Craig Jenkins | Ohio State University |
Avoiding Water Wars: Environmental Security Through River Treaty Institutionalization | 2010 | Jaroslav Tir | University of Colorado, Boulder |
Modeling Discourse and Social Dynamics in Authoritarian Regimes | 2010 | Jeff Hancock | Stanford University |
Predicting the Nature of Conflict - An Evolutionary Analysis of the Tactical Choice | 2010 | Laura Razzolini | Virginia Commonwealth University |
Mapping Terrorist Organizations | 2010 | Martha Crenshaw | Stanford University |
Status, Manipulating Group Threats, and Conflict Within and Between Groups | 2010 | Patrick Barclay | University of Guelph |
Substantive Expertise, Strategic Analysis and Behavioral Foundations of Terrorism (Workshop) | 2010 | Rachel Croson | University of Texas, Arlington |
Visualizing Agent Based Political Simulations | 2010 | Remco Chang | Tufts University |
Fighting and Bargaining over Political Power in Weak States | 2010 | Robert Powell | University of California, Berkeley |
New Armies from Old: Merging Competing Military Forces after Civil Wars (Workshop) | 2010 | Roy Licklider | Rutgers University |
Terror, Conflict Processes, Organizations, and Ideologies: Completing the Picture | 2010 | Stephen Shellman | College of William and Mary |
Strategies of Violence, Tools of Peace, and Changes in War Termination | 2010 | Virginia Fortna | Columbia University |
Strategy and the Network Society | 2011 | David Betz | King’s College, London |
Motivation, Ideology, and the Social Process in Radicalization and Deradicalization | 2012 | Arie Kruglanski | University of Maryland |
Brazil as a Major Power: The Impact of its Military-Scientific-Industrial Complex on its Foreign and Defense Policy | 2012 | David Mares | University of California, San Diego |
Quantifying Structural Transformation in China | 2012 | David Meyer | University of California, San Diego |
China’s Emerging Capabilities in Energy Technology Innovation and Development | 2012 | Edward Steinfeld | Brown University |
Grant Title | Year of Grant | Principal Investigator | Principal Investigator’s Affiliation (at the time of the National Academies study) |
---|---|---|---|
Identifying and Countering Early Risk Factors for Violent Extremism Among Somali Refugee Communities Resettled in North America | 2012 | Heidi Ellis | Boston Children’s Hospital/Harvard Medical School |
Autocratic Stability During Regime Crises | 2012 | Joseph Wright | Pennsylvania State University |
Institutional Reform, Social Change, and Stability in Sahelian Africa | 2012 | Leonardo Villalón | University of Florida |
A Global Value Chain Analysis of Food Security and Food Staples for Major Energy-Exporting Nations in the Middle East and North Africa | 2012 | Lincoln Pratson | Duke University |
Energy and Environmental Drivers of Stress and Conflict in Multi-Scale Models of Human Social Behavior | 2012 | Luis Bettencourt | University of Chicago |
Terrorist Alliances: Causes, Dynamics, and Consequences; (Follow-on Grant in 2015 Titled: “Assessing Cooperation and Conflict among Militant Organizations”) | 2012 | Philip Potter | University of Virginia |
Strategic Response to Energy-related Security Threats | 2012 | Saleem Ali | University of Queensland |
Political Reach, State Fragility, and the Incidence of Maritime Piracy: Explaining Piracy and Pirate Organization, 1993–2012; Follow-on Grant in 2015 titled: “Crime in Civil Conflict” | 2013 | Brandon Prins | University of Tennessee, Knoxville |
Forecasting Civil Conflict Under Different Climate Change Scenarios | 2013 | Elisabeth Gilmore | University of Maryland |
Deterring Complex Threats: The Effects of Asymmetry, Interdependence, and Multi-polarity on International Strategy | 2013 | Erik Gartzke | University of California, San Diego |
METANORM: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Analysis and Evaluation of Norms and Models of Governance for Cyberspace | 2013 | Howard Shrobe | Massachusetts Institute of Technology, CSAIL |
Natural Resources and Armed Conflict | 2013 | James Walsh | University of North Carolina, Charlotte |
Dynamics of Sacred Values and Social Responsibilities in Governance and Conflict Management: The Interplay between Leaders, Devoted Actor Networks, General Populations, and Time | 2013 | Jeremy Ginges | The New School for Social Research |
The Human Geography of Resilience and Change: Land Rights and Political Stability in Latin American Indigenous Societies | 2013 | Jerome Dobson | University of Kansas |
Multi-Source Assessment of State Stability | 2013 | Kathleen Carley | Carnegie Mellon University |
Who Does Not Become a Terrorist, and Why? Towards an Empirically Grounded Understanding of Individual Motivation in Terrorism | 2013 | Maria Rasmussen | Naval Postgraduate School |
Neural Bases of Persuasion and Social Influence in the U.S. and the Middle East | 2013 | Matthew Lieberman | University of California, Los Angeles |
The Strength of Social Norms Across Cultures: Implications for Intercultural Conflict and Cooperation | 2013 | Michele Gelfand | University of Maryland |
Public Service Provision as Peace-building: How do Autonomous Efforts Compare to Internationally Aided Interventions? | 2013 | Naazneen Barma | Naval Postgraduate School |
Moral Schemas, Cultural Conflict, and Socio-Political Action | 2013 | Steven Hitlin | University of Iowa |
Homeownership and Societal Stability: Assessing Causal Effects in Central Eurasia | 2013 | Ted Gerber | University of Wisconsin, Madison |
Deterrence with Proxies | 2014 | Eli Berman | University of California, San Diego |
Does Current Investment Predict Future Violence: Lessons from Afghanistan | 2014 | Ethan Kapstein | Arizona State University |
Thailand’s Military, the USA and China: Understanding How the Thai Military Perceives the Great Powers and Implications for the US Rebalance | 2014 | John Blaxland | Australian National University |
Understanding American Muslims Converts in the Contexts of Security and Society | 2014 | John Horgan | Georgia State University |
Grant Title | Year of Grant | Principal Investigator | Principal Investigator’s Affiliation (at the time of the National Academies study) |
---|---|---|---|
Taking Development (Im)balance Seriously: Using New Approaches to Measure and Model State Fragility | 2014 | Jonathan Moyer | University of Denver |
Complex Emergencies and Political Stability in Asia | 2014 | Joshua Busby | University of Texas, Austin |
Political Language and Crisis: A Computational Analysis of Social Disequilibrium and Security Threats | 2014 | Leah Windsor | University of Memphis |
Preventing the Next Generation: Mapping the Pathways of Child Mobilization into VEOs | 2014 | Mia Bloom | Georgia State University |
Tracking Critical-Mass Outbreaks in Social Contagions | 2014 | Michael Macy | Cornell University |
Aiding Resilience? The Impact of Foreign Assistance on the Dynamics of Intrastate Armed Conflict | 2014 | Paul Huth | University of Maryland |
Culture in Power Transitions: Sino-American Conflict in the 21st Century | 2014 | Robert Jervis | Columbia University |
Understanding the Origin, Characteristics, and Implications of Mass Political Movements | 2014 | Stephen Kosack | University of Washington |
Household Formation Systems, Marriage Markets, and Societal Resilience | 2014 | Valerie Hudson | Texas A and M University |
Mobilizing Media: A Deep and Comparative Analysis of Magazines, Music, and Videos in the Context of Terrorism | 2015 | Anthony Lemieux | Georgia State University |
Radicalization and Deradicalization of German Neo Nazis | 2015 | Arie Kruglanski | University of Maryland |
Spheres of Influence and Regional Orders: Assessing Approaches for Responding to China’s Rise | 2015 | Charles Glaser | George Washington University |
Pilot: Security Assessment Framework for E-Residency | 2015 | Eric Burger | Georgetown University |
New Analytics for Measuring and Countering Social Influence and Persuasion of Extremist Groups | 2015 | Hasan Davulcu | Arizona State University |
Western Jihadism Project - Data Collection: Tracking 20 years of Al Qaeda-Inspired Terrorist Offenders and Incidents | 2015 | Jyette Klausen | Brandeis University |
Dynamic Statistical Network Informatics | 2015 | Kathleen Carley | Carnegie Mellon University |
Data Expansion: International Crisis Behavior Update, 2008–2013 | 2015 | Kyle Beardsley | Duke University |
Trafficking/Terrorism Nexus in Eurasia | 2015 | Mariya Omelicheva | University of Kansas |
Global Vulnerability Markets: Using Dynamic Simulations to Change the Discovery, Supply, Demand, and Use of Vulnerabilities | 2015 | Michael Siegel | Massachusetts Institute of Technology |
The Social Ecology of Radicalization: A Foundation for the Design of CVE Initiatives and Their Evaluation | 2015 | Noemie Bouhana | University College London (UK) |
Ambiguous and Information Warfare in a Russian and Chinese Agea | 2015 | Patrick Porter | University of Exeter (UK) |
Identity Claims: Expanding the Issue Correlates of War (ICOW) Dataset | 2015 | Paul Hensel | University of North Texas |
The Social and Neurological Construction of Martyrdom | 2015 | Robert Pape | University of Chicago |
Understanding China’s Efforts to Become a Global Defense Science, Technology, and Innovation Leader | 2015 | Tai Ming Cheung | University of California, San Diego |
A Computational Model of Resources and Resiliency: Deploying the Elements of National Power for Strategic Influence | 2015 | Tony Rivera | Duke University |
Pilot: Intl University Research Ventures: Implications for US Economic Competitiveness and National Security | 2015 | Zachary Taylor | Georgia Institute of Technology |
The Effect of Shocks on Overlapping and Functionally Interacting Social and Political Networks: A Multi-Method Approach | 2015 | Zeev Maoz | University of California, Davis |
Refugee Flows and Instability | 2016 | Alex Braithwaite | University of Arizona |
A Nested Mixed-Model Approach to Armed Non-State Actor Governance and Rule of Law | 2016 | Enrique Arias | George Mason University |
Grant Title | Year of Grant | Principal Investigator | Principal Investigator’s Affiliation (at the time of the National Academies study) |
---|---|---|---|
Russian, Chinese, Militant, and Ideologically Extremist Messaging Effects on United States Favorability Perceptions in Central Asia | 2016 | Eric McGlinchey | George Mason University |
The Dynamics of Common Knowledge on Social Networks: An Experimental Approach | 2016 | Gizem Korkmaz | Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University |
Strategic Dynamics of Cyber Conflict | 2016 | Jason Healey | Columbia University |
Spectral Models of Security | 2016 | Joshua Blumenstock | University of California, Berkeley |
Rising Power Alliances and the Threat of a Parallel Global Order | 2016 | Kelly Gallagher | Tufts University |
Program on Security Institutions and Violent Instability | 2016 | Leonardo Arriola | University of California, Berkeley |
Assessing the International Risk to National Economies Posed by a Marine Chokepoint Shutdown | 2016 | Lincoln Pratson | Duke University |
Spatio-temporal Game Theory and Real Time Machine Learning for Adversarial Groups in the Wild | 2016 | Milind Tambe | University of Southern California |
Africa’s Youth Bulge and National Security: The Social Roots of Radicalization | 2016 | Parfait Eloundou-Enyegue | Cornell University |
Armed Conflict Beyond Insurgency and Counterinsurgency: Comparative Evidence from Latin America and South Asia | 2016 | Paul Staniland | University of Chicago |
Refugee Psychology and Its Potential for Refugee Radicalization | 2017 | Arie Kruglanski | University of Maryland |
Examining Oxytocin as a Causal Mechanism for Long-Term Bonding between Humans and Autonomy | 2017 | Frank Krueger | George Mason University |
The Warfighter’s Tolerance for Autonomy and Its Importance in Strategy and Systems Development | 2017 | Jai Galliott | University of New South Wales |
Displace, Return and Reconstruct: Population Movement and Resilience to Instability | 2017 | James Walsh | University of North Carolina, Charlotte |
All Intervention Is Local: Understanding Government Responses to International Intervention | 2017 | Jessica Piombo | Naval Postgraduate School |
Organizational Implications of Autonomy-Mediated Interaction | 2017 | Jonathan Gratch | University of Southern California |
What Actions Deter? Moving from Theory to Causal Understanding of Shaping Decision Calculus | 2017 | Jonathan Wilkenfeld | University of Maryland |
Data-Driven Learning Techniques for Cyber-Physical Situation Awareness in Defense Systems | 2017 | Kyriakos VamVoudakis | Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University |
Informal Economies and Societal Stability in China and Russia | 2017 | Marina Zaloznaya | University of Iowa |
Forensic Archeology for Cyber Attribution | 2017 | Matthew Elder | Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory |
The Political, Economic, and Social Effects of America’s Overseas Military Presence | 2017 | Michael Allen | Boise State University |
The Disruptive Effects of Autonomy: Ethics, Trust and Organizational Decision-Making | 2017 | Michael Horowitz | University of Pennsylvania |
Bio-Markers and Counter-Messages: Measuring Individual Differences in the Influence of Extremist Propaganda and Counter-Messages | 2017 | Neil Shortland | University of Massachusetts, Lowell |
Integrating Structural Theories of Revolution with Evolutionary Models to Predict Societal Resilience and (In)stability | 2017 | Sergey Gavrilets | University of Tennessee, Knoxville |
Power Projection, Deterrence Strategies and Escalation Dynamics in an Era of Challenging Near Peers, Rogue States, and Terrorist and Insurgent Organizations | 2017 | Steven Lobell | University of Utah |
aThe committee learned after the evaluation was completed that this grant had been cancelled due to delays associated with the Institutional Review Board process.
This page intentionally left blank.