B
The 1993 GOALS Study Conference
The GOALS Study Conference was held in Hawaii on 1–3 March 1993, with about 110 participants. The conference was arranged to receive maximum inputs from the scientific community on the plans for observations, modeling, and research in the post-TOGA period. It was organized around a number of scientific questions, each of which was introduced by an invited speaker. Following the scientific presentations, the Study Conference broke into three working groups—modeling, observations, and empirical/process studies. This procedure gave all attendees an opportunity to provide input. The Study Conference agenda and list of participants follow.
Climate Research Committee
GOALS STUDY CONFERENCE
East-West Conference Center
1777 East West Road
University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii
March 1–3, 1993
Final Agenda
Objective: To more fully define the science for GOALS and to prepare a final document reflecting the GOALS science objectives and research strategy.
MONDAY, MARCH 1, 1993 |
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Keoni Auditorium |
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0900 |
Welcome and Opening Remarks |
Barry Raleigh William Sprigg Jagadish Shukla |
Morning Session Chair: Klaus Wyrtki |
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0920 |
GOALS and Climate and Global Change in the United States |
Otis Brown |
0940 |
CLIVAR |
Gordon McBean |
1020 |
BREAK |
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1040 |
TOGA |
Mark Cane |
1120 |
GOALS Overview |
Ed Sarachik |
1140 |
LUNCH |
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Afternoon Session Chair: Tetsuzo Yasunari |
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Science Questions: |
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1300 |
1. What are the structure and dynamics of the seasonal cycle of the coupled ocean-atmosphere-land system and what are the reasons for its large spatial variability over the globe? |
George Philander |
1340 |
2. What is the nature of the global interannual climate variability and what is its relationship to the seasonal cycle? What processes give rise to such variability? Can our understanding of this variability be exploited for prediction? |
Dennis Hartmann |
1420 |
3. What is the role of the slowly varying global boundary conditions at the earth's surface (SST, sea ice, snow cover and land moisture) in determining the nature of the interannual variability of the global atmosphere? |
Jagadish Shukla |
1500 |
BREAK |
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1520 |
4. What determines low-level convergence of moisture in the tropics over water, land, and land in the proximity to water? In other words, what determines the location of the thermal sources? |
Edwin Schneider |
1600 |
5. What is the nature of tropical-extratropical interactions? In particular, what is the role of tropical SST anomalies in perturbing the extratropical atmosphere, and in generating extratropical SST anomalies through the atmosphere? For what regions of the globe can accurate predictions of tropical SST anomalies be translated into skillful regional climate forecasts one or more seasons in advance? |
Gabriel Lau |
1640 |
RECESS |
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1730 to 1930 |
RECEPTION at the East-West Center Lanai, hosted by JIMAR |
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TUESDAY, MARCH 2, 1993 |
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Keoni Auditorium |
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Morning Session Chair: Gordon McBean |
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0830 |
6. What improvements in coupled ocean-land-atmosphere models, convection, mixing and in particular the processes that determine the coupling of the atmosphere and ocean are needed for seasonal to interannual predictions? |
Carlos Mechoso |
0910 |
7. Are there interactions between interannual and interdecadal variability? If so, what is the nature of these interactions? Are there similar or different mechanisms at work on these two time scales? |
Michael Ghil |
0950 |
BREAK |
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1010 |
8. What is the role of high frequency fluctuations in the tropics and mid-latitudes in seasonal to interannual climate variability and predictability? |
Roger Lukas |
1050 |
9. What measurements of the global upper ocean and land surface are required to initialize the coupled models of the global ocean–atmosphere–land system for prediction of seasonal and interannual variability? |
Ants Leetmaa/Gordon Bonan |
1130 |
LUNCH |
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1300 |
Short Presentations, Open Discussion, and Charge to Working Groups—J. Shukla, Discussion Leader Speakers: —Kikuro Miyakoda —Peter Webster —Antonio Moura |
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1400 |
Working Group Meetings 1. Observations—David Halpern, Chair 2. Empirical Studies—Mike Wallace, Chair 3. Modeling—David Anderson and Edward Sarachik, Co-Chairs |
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1500 |
BREAK |
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1520 |
Resume Working Group Meetings in previously assigned breakout rooms |
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1630 |
Plenary Session—Keoni Auditorium Reports from Working Group Chairs |
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1700 |
RECESS |
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WEDNESDAY, MARCH 3, 1993 |
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0830 |
Plenary Session—Keoni Auditorium |
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0900 |
Working Group Meetings in previously assigned breakout rooms |
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1200 |
LUNCH |
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1300 |
Working Group Meetings, continued |
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1400 |
All Participants return to Keoni Auditorium |
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1400 |
Plenary Discussion Reports from Working Group Chairs |
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1500 |
BREAK |
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1520 |
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1600 |
Closing Remarks —Michael Ghil, Climate Research Committee —Jagadish Shukla, Conference Chair |
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1630 |
ADJOURN |
PARTICIPANTS
GOALS STUDY CONFERENCE
MARCH 1–3, 1993
Jon E. Ahlquist, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida
David L.T. Anderson, Oxford University, Oxford, United Kingdom
Richard T. Barber, Duke University Marine Laboratories, Beaufort, North Carolina
Tim Barnett, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California
David S. Battisti, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington
Kenneth H. Bergman, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Washington, D.C.
Fred Bingham, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii
Maurice L. Blackmon, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Boulder, Colorado
Donna Blake, National Science Foundation, Washington, D.C.
Gordon B. Bonan, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado
Byron Boville, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado
Otis Brown, University of Miami, Miami, Florida
Antonio J. Busalacchi, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Greenbelt, MD
Mark Cane, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, New York
George F. Carrier, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts
James Carton, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland
Ping Chang, Texas A&M University, College Station, Texas
William E. Clements, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico
Michael Coughlan, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland
David B. Enfield, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Miami, Florida
Steven K. Esbensen, Oregon State University, Corvallis, Oregon
David L. Evans, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Washington, D.C.
Jay S. Fein, National Science Foundation, Washington, D.C.
Rana A. Fine, University of Miami, Miami, Florida
Pierre Flament, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii
Silvia L. Garzoli, National Science Foundation, Washington, D.C.
W. Lawrence Gates, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, California
Michael Ghil, University of California, Los Angeles, California
David Goodrich, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland
Nick Graham, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California
David Gutzler, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Boulder, Colorado
Peter Hacker, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii
J. Michael Hall, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland
David Halpern, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California
Dennis L. Hartmann, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington
Stefan Hastenrath, University of Wisconsin, Madison, Wisconsin
Rui Xin Huang, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute, Woods Hole, Massachusetts
Eric Itsweire, National Science Foundation, Washington, D.C.
Fei Fei Jin, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii
Thomas R. Karl, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Asheville, North Carolina
Eli J. Katz, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, New York
Masahide Kimoto, Meteorological Research Institute, Ibaraki, Japan
Robert A. Knox, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California
Tiruvalam N. Krishnamurti, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida
Mojib Latif, Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Alexis Lau, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington
Ngar-Cheung Gabriel Lau, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey
William K-M Lau, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Greenbelt, Maryland
Ants Leetmaa, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Camp Springs, Maryland
Marlon R. Lewis, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada
Roger B. Lukas, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii
Douglas S. Luther, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California
Jerry D. Mahlman, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Princeton, New Jersey
John Marsh, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
Douglas G. Martinson, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, New York
Gordon A. McBean, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Julian P. McCreary, Nova University Oceanographic Center, Dania, Florida
Michael J. McPhaden, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, Washington
James C. McWilliams, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado
Carlos Mechoso, University of California, Los Angeles, California
Kukuro Miyakoda, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey
Robert L. Molinari, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Miami, Florida
Kenneth Mooney, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland
Dennis W. Moore, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii
Antonio D. Moura, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland
J. David Neelin, University of California, Los Angeles, California
Peter Niiler, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California
James J. O'Brien, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida
Donald B. Olson, University of Miami, Miami, Florida
Michael Patterson, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland
John S. Perry, National Research Council, Washington, D.C.
S. George Philander, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey
Joel Picaut, ORSTOM, Noumea, New Caledonia
Stephen D. Piotrowicz, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland
James F. Price, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts
C. Barry Raleigh, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii
Eugene M. Rasmusson, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland
Richard W. Reynolds, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Camp Springs, Maryland
Jeffery C. Rogers, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio
Chester F. Ropelewski, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Washington, D.C.
Lewis Rothstein, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, Rhode Island
Barry Saltzman, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut
Edward S. Sarachik, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado
Karyn Sawyer, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado
Edwin K. Schneider, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland
Paul Schopf, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Greenbelt, Maryland
Richard Seager, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, New York
Albert Semtner, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California
Eileen L. Shea, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Silver Spring, Maryland
Jagadish Shukla, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland
Pedro L. Silva-Dias, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Soroosh Sorooshian, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona
William A. Sprigg, National Research Council, Washington, D.C.
Duane Stevens, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii
Max J. Suarez, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Greenbelt, Maryland
Kevin Trenberth, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado
Richard P. Turco, University of California, Los Angeles, California
Sophie Wacongne, Laboratoire de Physique des Oceans, Brest Cedex, France
Duane E. Waliser, University of California, Los Angeles, California
John Michael Wallace, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington
Bin Wang, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii
Peter J. Webster, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado
Robert H. Weisberg, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, Florida
Klaus Wyrtki, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii
Jiayan Yang, University of California, Los Angeles, California
Tetsuzo Yasunari, University of Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
Stephen E. Zebiak, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, New York
Chidong Zhang, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington