Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment:

A Call for Change

Status: Available Now

Size: 172 pages, 8 1/2 x 11

Publication Year:2008

Print	List Price	Your Price

PAPERBACK ISBN-10: 0-309-12028-4 ISBN-13: 978-0-309-12028-9	$39.75	$35.77	Add to Cart

PDF

Authors:
Committee on Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Agent Risk Analysis, National Research Council
Authoring Organizations

Description:

Paste into your Web page:

<!-- Start NAP Book Display -->
<object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=8,0,0,0" width="175" height="250" id="napbookwrapper" align="middle">
<param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" />
<param name="movie" value="http://www.nap.edu/napbookwrapper.swf" />
<param name="quality" value="high" />
<param name="wmode" value="transparent" />
<param name="flashvars" value="wid=381071911192010021020442&record_id=12206" />
<embed src="http://www.nap.edu/napbookwrapper.swf" quality="high" flashvars="wid=381071911192010021020442&record_id=12206" wmode="transparent" bgcolor="#ffffff" width="175" height="250" name="napbookwrapper" align="middle" allowScriptAccess="always" allowFullScreen="false" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/go/getflashplayer"></embed>
</object>

Preview

Free Resources

Full Text
Jump to this book's table of contents to begin reading online for free.

Related Items:
Related Titles

Web Search Builder
Use this book's key terms to search within this book, across our collection, or across the Web.

Reference Finder
Paste in your own text to find books that relate to your topic.

PDF Summary
Download the summary in PDF.

Reprint Permission
Request permission to license or reprint the book's content through Copyright Clearance Center's Rightslink.

Request Permission to Distribute a PDF

Request Translation Rights

Questions About Rights and Permissions?

Table of Contents
Select a link below to start reading online free!
Front Matter	i-xiv
Summary	1-5	(skim)
1 Introduction	6-10	(skim)
2 The Critical Contribution of Risk Analysis to Risk Management and Reduction of Bioterrorism Risk	11-19	(skim)
3 Description and Analysis of the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Threat Risk Assessment of 2006	20-33	(skim)
4 Department of Homeland Security Decision Requirements for Risk Management	34-41	(skim)
5 Risk Assessment for Unknown and Engineered Biothreat Agents	42-46	(skim)
6 Improving Bioterrorism Consequence Assessment	47-50	(skim)
7 Improving the Department of Homeland Security's Biological Threat Risk Assessment and Adding Risk Management	51-60	(skim)
Appendix A: Lexicon	61-77	(skim)
Appendix B: Mathematical Characterization of the Biological Threat Risk Assessment Event Tree and Risk Assessment	78-79	(skim)
Appendix C: Computational Example Illustrating the Replacement of a Joint Distribution of Arc Probabilities with Marginal Expected Values of Individual Arc Probabilities	80-84	(skim)
Appendix D: Bioterrorism Risk Analysis with Decision Trees	85-89	(skim)
Appendix E: Optimizing Department of Homeland Security Defense Investments: Applying Defender-Attacker (-Defender) Optimization to Terror Risk Assessment and Mitigation	90-102	(skim)
Appendix F: Combining Game Theory and Risk Analysis in Counterterrorism: A Smallpox Example	103-110	(skim)
Appendix G: On the Quantification of Uncertainty and Enhancing Probabilistic Risk Analysis	111-115	(skim)
Appendix H: Game Theory and Interdependencies	116-121	(skim)
Appendix I: Review of BTRA Modeling	122-125	(skim)
Appendix J: Reprinted Interim Report	126-148	(skim)
Appendix K: Meeting Agendas	149-152	(skim)
Appendix L: Biographies of Committee Members	153-156	(skim)
Appendix M: Acronyms	157-158	(skim)

Description

The mission of Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment: A Call for Change, the book published in December 2008, is to independently and scientifically review the methodology that led to the 2006 Department of Homeland Security report, Bioterrorism Risk Assessment (BTRA) and provide a foundation for future updates.

This book identifies a number of fundamental concerns with the BTRA of 2006, ranging from mathematical and statistical mistakes that have corrupted results, to unnecessarily complicated probability models and models with fidelity far exceeding existing data, to more basic questions about how terrorist behavior should be modeled.

Rather than merely criticizing what was done in the BTRA of 2006, this new NRC book consults outside experts and collects a number of proposed alternatives that could improve DHS's ability to assess potential terrorist behavior as a key element of risk-informed decision making, and it explains these alternatives in the specific context of the BTRA and the bioterrorism threat.

Department of Homeland Security Bioterrorism Risk Assessment:

A Call for Change

Description

Authoring Organizations

Search This Book

SIGN UP FOR...