Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability

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Size: 192 pages, 8 1/2 x 11

Publication Year:2010

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PAPERBACK ISBN-10: 0-309-15183-X ISBN-13: 978-0-309-15183-2	$43.25	Add to Cart

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Committee on Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability; National Research Council
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Table of Contents
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Front Matter	i-x
Summary	1-10	(skim)
1 Introduction	11-20	(skim)
2 Climate Prediction	21-53	(skim)
3 Building Blocks of Intraseasonal to Interannual Forecasting	54-100	(skim)
4 Case Studies	101-123	(skim)
5 Best Practices	124-128	(skim)
6 Recommendations and Remarks on Implementation	129-142	(skim)
References	143-169	(skim)
Appendix A Background Information on Statistical Techniques	170-175	(skim)
Appendix B Committee Members' Biographical Information	176-182	(skim)

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More accurate forecasts of climate conditions over time periods of weeks to a few years could help people plan agricultural activities, mitigate drought, and manage energy resources, amongst other activities; however, current forecast systems have limited ability on these time- scales. Models for such climate forecasts must take into account complex interactions among the ocean, atmosphere, and land surface. Such processes can be difficult to represent realistically. To improve the quality of forecasts, this book makes recommendations about the development of the tools used in forecasting and about specific research goals for improving understanding of sources of predictability. To improve the accessibility of these forecasts to decision-makers and researchers, this book also suggests best practices to improve how forecasts are made and disseminated.

Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability

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