Page 116

Bouma, M.J., and H.J. van der Kaay. 1996. The El Niño/Southern Oscillation and the historic malaria epidemics on the Indian subcontinent and Sri Lanka: an early warning system for future epidemics? Trop. Med. Int. Health. 1: 86-96.

Bouma, M.J., and C. Dye. 1997. Cycles of malaria associated with El Niño in Venezuela. J. Am. Med. Assoc. 278: 1772-1774.

Bouma, M.J., G. Poveda, W. Rojas, D. Chavasse, M. Quiñones, J. Cox, and J. Patz, 1997. Predicting high-risk years for malaria in Colombia using parameters of El Niño Southern Oscillation. Trop. Med. Int. Health. 2: 1122-27.

Bradley D.J. 1993. Human tropical diseases in a changing environment, p. 146-162. In: Environmental Change and Human Health. J. Lake, G. Brock, K. Ackrill, eds. Ciba Foundation Symposium, London, UK: CIBA Foundation.

Briese T., X.Y. Jia, C. Huang, L.J. Grady, and W.I. Lipkin. 1999. Identification of a Kunjin/West Nile-like flavivirus in brains of patients with New York encephalitis. Lancet 354: 1261-1262.

Brown, J., S. Li and N. Bhagabati. 1999. Long-term trend toward earlier breeding in an American bird: a response to global warming? Proc. Natl. Academy of Sciences 96: 5565.

Campbell, I., and J. McAndrews. 1993. Forest disequilibrium caused by rapid Little Ice Age cooling. Nature 366: 336-338.

Carmichael, A.G. 1991. Contagion theory and contagion practice in fifteenth-century Milan. Renaissance Quarterly. 44: 213-56.

Cassedy, J.H. 1986. Medicine and American Growth. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press.

Chan, N.Y., K.L. Ebi, F. Smith, T.F Wilson, and A.E. Smith. 1999. An integrated assessment framework for climate change and infectious diseases. Environmental Health Perspectives 107: 329-337.

Childs, J.E, T.G. Ksiazek, C.F. Spiropoulou, J.W. Krebs, S. Morzunov, G.O. Maupin, K.L. Gage, P.E. Rollin, J. Sarisky, and R.E. Enscore. 1994. Serologic and genetic identification of Peromyscus maniculatus as the primary rodent reservoir for a new hantavirus in the southwestern United States. J. Infect. Dis. 169: 1271-1280.

Cipolla, C.M. 1981. Fighting the Plague in Seventeenth-Century Italy. Madison: University of Wisconsin Press.

Coleman, W. 1987. Koch's comma bacillus: The first year. Bulletin of the History of Medicine 61: 315-342.

Colwell, R.R. 1996. Global climate and infectious diseases: The cholera paradigm. Science 274: 2025-2031.

Colwell, R.R., and D.J. Grimes, eds. 2000. Nonculturable Microorganisms in the Environment. Washington D.C.: ASM Press. 354 pp.

Corradi, A., 1972. Annali delle epidemie occorse in Italia, dalle prime memorie fino al 1850. Five volumes. Bologna: Forni.

Creighton, C. 1969. A History of Epidemics in the British Isles. Two volumes. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Crick, H., and T. Sparks. 1999. Climate change related to egg-laying trends. Nature 399: 423-424.

Daubney, R., J.R. Hudson, and P.C. Garnham. 1931. Enzootic hepatitis or Rift Valley fever: An undescribed disease of sheep, cattle and man from East Africa. J. Pathol. Bacteriol. 89: 545-579.

Davies, F.G., K.J. Linthicum, and A.D. James. 1985. Rainfall and epizootic Rift Valley fever. Bulletin of the World Health Organization 63: 941-963.

Davis, M., and C. Zabinski. 1992. Changes in geographical range resulting from greenhouse warming: Effects of biodiversity in forests, pp. 297-308 in Global Warming and Biological Diversity, R. Peters and T. Lovejoy, eds. New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press.

Dennis, D.T. 1998. Epidemiology, Ecology, and Prevention of Lyme Disease. in D.W. Rahn and J. Evans (eds). Lyme Disease. Philadelphia: American College of Physicians.

Desaive, J-P. 1972. Médecins, climat et épidemies à la fin du XVIIIe siècle. Paris and the Hague: Mouton & Co.

Front Matter (R1-R14)

Executive Summary (1-7)

Introduction (8-11)

Climate and Infectious Diseases: The Past as Prologue (12-19)

Linkages Between Climate, Ecosystems, and Infectious Diseases (20-44)

Climate Influences on Specific Diseases (45-58)

Analytical Approaches for Studying Climate/Disease Linkages (59-79)

Temporal and Spatial Scaling: An Ecological Perspective (80-85)

Towards the Development of Disease Early Warning Systems (86-102)

Key Findings and Recommendations (103-108)

Acronyms/Abbreviations (109-109)

Glossary (110-114)

References (115-126)

Appendix A: Biographical Sketches of Committee Members (127-131)

Appendix B: Speakers/Presentations at the Committee eetings (132-136)

Index (137-146)