The four industrial categories projected to show the greatest growth in employment through 2010 are business-auto services, other personal services, other (not hospital) medical services, and social services. Of these, a relatively high proportion of social service workers and educational service workers are older female workers, while only business-auto services has around the median proportion of older male workers; the rest are lower.
The two industrial categories showing projected decline in employment (mining and forestry/fishing/trapping) are older-worker-intensive in that a relatively large percentage of workers in these industries are older workers (mostly males).
Overall, then, it can be predicted that older-worker-intensive industries will experience moderate growth in employment over this decade. On that account, and on account of the predicted growth in the older worker labor force over this period (with shifts also toward a greater percentage of workers being older workers), we can predict that there will be more older workers in the older-worker-intensive industries in 2010, and that (except for mining and forestry/fishing/trapping) there will not likely be dramatic change in employment in industries that are older-worker intensive.
The industries projected to show highest growth in employment through 2010 are all service industries: business-auto services, personal services, other (not hospital) medical services, and social services. These are, for the most part, not currently older-worker intensive (except social services for older female workers). These will have to be examined carefully in the future to determine whether their growth will prove important with respect to participation of older workers.
Number of older workers. In which occupational categories are the greatest number of older workers employed, and which, therefore, employ the greatest percentage of older workers? Table 2-8 uses data from the CPS for March 2001 to present overall employment by major occupational category along with the total employment levels for workers age 45 years and older stratified by sex. The four occupational categories with the greatest number of older workers are executive/administrative/managerial; professional specialty; sales; and administrative support. When examined by sex, the first two categories are still the largest for both sexes. Subsequently we see segregation of jobs by sex with the sales category high for males but not females and the administrative support category high for females but not for males. Reflecting similar findings when employment is examined by industry, the fourth important category for males is employment in jobs