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OCR for page 155
Global Security Engagement: A New Model for Cooperative Threat Reduction
Appendix H
A Comparison of the Characteristics of Six Weapons Systems from the Perspective of a State or Terrorist Organization1
Legend
Detectable signature?
No, Maybe, Yes
Barriers to development
Very High, High, Moderate, Low
Technical experts
Many, Some, Few, Very Few
Casualty potential
Very High, High, Moderate, Low, Low (High Economic), Very Low
Is technical capability a limitation?
Yes, No
Availability of materials
Few, Some, Many
Access to materials
Very Poor, Poor, Good, Very Good, Universal
Intelligence target
Very Hard, Hard, Moderately Hard, Moderately Easy
Dual use
Yes, No
Trackable/detectable?
Yes, Maybe
Attribution possibility?
High, Moderate, Low, Very low
1
Table developed by Dr. David Franz.
OCR for page 156
Global Security Engagement: A New Model for Cooperative Threat Reduction
Nuclear
Biological
Chemical
State
Substate
State
Substate
State
Substate
Detectable signature?
Yes
Maybe
Maybe
Maybe
Yes
Maybe
Barriers to development
High
Very High
Moderate
Moderate
Low
Moderate
Technical experts
Few
Very Few
Many
Very Few
Many
Few
Casualty potential
Very High
Very High
Very High to Very Low
High to Very Low
Moderate to Low
Low
Is technical capability a limitation?
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
No
No
Availability of materials
Few
Many
Many
Some
Some
Few
Access to materials
Poor
Very Poor
Good
Poor
Very Good
Good
Intelligence target
Moderately Easy
Moderately Hard
Very Hard
Very Hard
Moderately Hard
Hard
Dual use
Yes
N/A
Yes
N/A
Yes
N/A
Trackable/detectable?
Yes
Maybe
Maybe
Maybe
Maybe
Maybe
Attribution possibility?
High to Moderate
Moderate
Low
Very Low
Low
Very Low
OCR for page 157
Global Security Engagement: A New Model for Cooperative Threat Reduction
Radiological
Conventional Explosive
Cyber
State
Substate
State
Substate
State
Substate
Detectable signature?
Maybe
Maybe
No
No
Maybe
Maybe
Barriers to development
Low
Moderate
Low
Low
Low
Low
Technical experts
Some
Few
Many
Many
Many
Some
Casualty potential
Low (High Economic)
Low (High Economic)
High to Low
High to Low
N/A
N/A
Is technical capability a limitation?
No
Yes
No
No
No
No
Availability of materials
Some
Some
Many
Many
Universal
Universal
Access to materials
Good
Poor
Very Good
Good
Universal
Universal
Intelligence target
Very Hard
Hard
Very Hard
Very Hard
Hard
Hard
Dual Use
Yes
N/A
Yes
N/A
No
N/A
Trackable/detectable?
Maybe
Maybe
Maybe
Maybe
Maybe
Maybe
Attribution possibility?
Low
Very Low
Low
Very Low
Moderate
Moderate
OCR for page 158
Global Security Engagement: A New Model for Cooperative Threat Reduction
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