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Global Security Engagement: A New Model for Cooperative Threat Reduction (2009)
Committee on International Security and Arms Control (CISAC)

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. "Appendix H: A Comparison of the Characteristics of Six Weapons Systems from the Perspective of a State or Terrorist Organization." Global Security Engagement: A New Model for Cooperative Threat Reduction. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2009.

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Global Security Engagement: A New Model for Cooperative Threat Reduction

Appendix H
A Comparison of the Characteristics of Six Weapons Systems from the Perspective of a State or Terrorist Organization1

Legend

Detectable signature?

No, Maybe, Yes

Barriers to development

Very High, High, Moderate, Low

Technical experts

Many, Some, Few, Very Few

Casualty potential

Very High, High, Moderate, Low, Low (High Economic), Very Low

Is technical capability a limitation?

Yes, No

Availability of materials

Few, Some, Many

Access to materials

Very Poor, Poor, Good, Very Good, Universal

Intelligence target

Very Hard, Hard, Moderately Hard, Moderately Easy

Dual use

Yes, No

Trackable/detectable?

Yes, Maybe

Attribution possibility?

High, Moderate, Low, Very low

1

Table developed by Dr. David Franz.

Page
155

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OCR for page 155
Global Security Engagement: A New Model for Cooperative Threat Reduction Appendix H A Comparison of the Characteristics of Six Weapons Systems from the Perspective of a State or Terrorist Organization1 Legend Detectable signature? No, Maybe, Yes Barriers to development Very High, High, Moderate, Low Technical experts Many, Some, Few, Very Few Casualty potential Very High, High, Moderate, Low, Low (High Economic), Very Low Is technical capability a limitation? Yes, No Availability of materials Few, Some, Many Access to materials Very Poor, Poor, Good, Very Good, Universal Intelligence target Very Hard, Hard, Moderately Hard, Moderately Easy Dual use Yes, No Trackable/detectable? Yes, Maybe Attribution possibility? High, Moderate, Low, Very low 1 Table developed by Dr. David Franz.

OCR for page 156
Global Security Engagement: A New Model for Cooperative Threat Reduction   Nuclear Biological Chemical   State Substate State Substate State Substate Detectable signature? Yes Maybe Maybe Maybe Yes Maybe Barriers to development High Very High Moderate Moderate Low Moderate Technical experts Few Very Few Many Very Few Many Few Casualty potential Very High Very High Very High to Very Low High to Very Low Moderate to Low Low Is technical capability a limitation? Yes Yes No Yes No No Availability of materials Few Many Many Some Some Few Access to materials Poor Very Poor Good Poor Very Good Good Intelligence target Moderately Easy Moderately Hard Very Hard Very Hard Moderately Hard Hard Dual use Yes N/A Yes N/A Yes N/A Trackable/detectable? Yes Maybe Maybe Maybe Maybe Maybe Attribution possibility? High to Moderate Moderate Low Very Low Low Very Low

OCR for page 157
Global Security Engagement: A New Model for Cooperative Threat Reduction   Radiological Conventional Explosive Cyber   State Substate State Substate State Substate Detectable signature? Maybe Maybe No No Maybe Maybe Barriers to development Low Moderate Low Low Low Low Technical experts Some Few Many Many Many Some Casualty potential Low (High Economic) Low (High Economic) High to Low High to Low N/A N/A Is technical capability a limitation? No Yes No No No No Availability of materials Some Some Many Many Universal Universal Access to materials Good Poor Very Good Good Universal Universal Intelligence target Very Hard Hard Very Hard Very Hard Hard Hard Dual Use Yes N/A Yes N/A No N/A Trackable/detectable? Maybe Maybe Maybe Maybe Maybe Maybe Attribution possibility? Low Very Low Low Very Low Moderate Moderate

OCR for page 158
Global Security Engagement: A New Model for Cooperative Threat Reduction This page intentionally left blank.