Appendix H
A Comparison of the Characteristics of Six Weapons Systems from the Perspective of a State or Terrorist Organization1

Legend

Detectable signature?

No, Maybe, Yes

Barriers to development

Very High, High, Moderate, Low

Technical experts

Many, Some, Few, Very Few

Casualty potential

Very High, High, Moderate, Low, Low (High Economic), Very Low

Is technical capability a limitation?

Yes, No

Availability of materials

Few, Some, Many

Access to materials

Very Poor, Poor, Good, Very Good, Universal

Intelligence target

Very Hard, Hard, Moderately Hard, Moderately Easy

Dual use

Yes, No

Trackable/detectable?

Yes, Maybe

Attribution possibility?

High, Moderate, Low, Very low

1

Table developed by Dr. David Franz.



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OCR for page 155
Appendix H A Comparison of the Characteristics of Six Weapons Systems from the Perspective of a State or Terrorist Organization1 Legend Detectable signature? No, Maybe, yes Barriers to development Very High, High, Moderate, Low Technical experts Many, Some, Few, Very Few Casualty potential Very High, High, Moderate, Low, Low (High Economic), Very Low Is technical capability a limitation? yes, No Availability of materials Few, Some, Many Access to materials Very Poor, Poor, Good, Very Good, Universal Intelligence target Very Hard, Hard, Moderately Hard, Moderately Easy Dual use yes, No Trackable/detectable? yes, Maybe Attribution possibility? High, Moderate, Low, Very low 1 Table developed by Dr. David Franz. 

OCR for page 155
 Nuclear Biological Chemical State Substate State Substate State Substate yes Maybe Maybe Maybe yes Maybe Detectable signature? High Very High Moderate Moderate Low Moderate Barriers to development Few Very Few Many Very Few Many Few Technical experts Very High Very High Very High to High to Moderate to Low Casualty potential Very Low Very Low Low yes yes No yes No No Is technical capability a limitation? Few Few Many Many Some Some Availability of materials Poor Very Poor Good Poor Very Good Good Access to materials Moderately Easy Moderately Hard Very Hard Very Hard Moderately Hard Hard Intelligence target yes N/A yes N/A yes N/A Dual use yes Maybe Maybe Maybe Maybe Maybe Trackable/detectable? High to Moderate Moderate Low Very Low Low Very Low Attribution possibility?

OCR for page 155
Radiological Conventional Explosive Cyber State Substate State Substate State Substate Maybe Maybe No No Maybe Maybe Detectable signature? Low Moderate Low Low Low Low Barriers to development Some Few Many Many Many Some Technical experts Low (High Low (High High to Low High to Low N/A N/A Casualty potential Economic) Economic) No yes No No No No Is technical capability a limitation? Some Some Many Many Universal Universal Availability of materials Good Poor Very Good Good Universal Universal Access to materials Very Hard Hard Very Hard Very Hard Hard Hard Intelligence target yes N/A yes N/A No N/A Dual Use Maybe Maybe Maybe Maybe Maybe Maybe Trackable/detectable? Low Very Low Low Very Low Moderate Moderate Attribution possibility? 

OCR for page 155