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Method Selection for Travel Forecasting (2017)

Chapter: Appendix C - Requirements Reference

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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Requirements Reference." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2017. Method Selection for Travel Forecasting. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/24929.
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C-1 Requirements Reference a p p e n d i x c General ............................................................................................................................................... C-2 Short Description.......................................................................................................................... C-2 Requirement Elements................................................................................................................. C-2 Requirement Elements for General ............................................................................................. C-2 Level of Detail ..................................................................................................................................... C-8 Short Description.......................................................................................................................... C-8 Requirement Elements................................................................................................................. C-8 Requirement Elements for Level of Detail ................................................................................... C-8 Scope ................................................................................................................................................ C-35 Short Description........................................................................................................................ C-35 Requirement Elements............................................................................................................... C-35 Requirement Elements for Scope .............................................................................................. C-35

C-2 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide GENERAL Short Description General requirements are those that planning agencies are obligated to fulfill, including regulatory requirements and analytical rigor expectations. Requirement Elements Analytical Rigor Regulation Requirement Elements for General Analytical Rigor Short Description Analytical rigor depicts the level of analysis expected for different levels of planning. Requirements Detailed Planning High-Level Planning Investment Grade Operational Planning Project Design Requirements for Analytical Rigor Detailed Planning Short Description Includes most planning activities at the regional and statewide levels. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership

Requirements Reference C-3 Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns High-Level Planning Short Description Planning at a high resolution and without extensive detail. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Population Synthesis

C-4 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Investment Grade Short Description Investment grade describes a project that has a low risk of failing to pay back the bond. Investment grade projects are typically associated with traffic and revenue studies. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Population Synthesis

Requirements Reference C-5 Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Operational Planning Short Description Operational planning includes alternatives analyses and operational analyses for corridors or subareas. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Assignment and Microsimulation Models

C-6 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Project Design Short Description Project design includes project-level preliminary design and engineering studies. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Traffic Microsimulation

Requirements Reference C-7 Regulation Short Description Regulation includes federal and state regulations that pertain to a planning agency. Requirements Federal Standards State Standards Requirements for Regulation Federal Standards Short Description Regulations in the United States concerning travel demand forecasting practices or methods. Methods Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment State Standards Short Description State regulations concerning travel forecasting methods. Methods Assignment and Microsimulation Models Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Commercial Vehicle Models Trip Production (Cross-classification)

C-8 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide LEVEL OF DETAIL Short Description Precision within the travel forecasting modeling system. Requirement Elements Demographic Detail Geographic Area to be Studied Network Detail Spatial Detail Temporal Detail Requirement Elements for Level of Detail Demographic Detail Short Description Socioeconomic characteristics of the population to segment the market analysis. Requirements Age of Head of Household Employment Categories Establishment Size Groups Household Size Income Groups Number of Workers in Household Value-of-Time Segments Vehicle Occupancy Groups Requirements for Demographic Detail Age of Head of Household Short Description Information on stage of life of household. For example: Beginning family formation (18–24). Family formation with children (25–44). Empty nesters (45–64). Retired (65+).

Requirements Reference C-9 Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model Employment Categories Short Description Industry groupings of workers. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Trip Attraction (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns

C-10 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Establishment Size Groups Short Description The number of employees working at a business establishment. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Parking Location Choice Trip Attraction (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Mode and Shipment Size Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Household Size Short Description The number of persons in a dwelling unit. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Assignment and Microsimulation Models

Requirements Reference C-11 Integrated Multiresolution Model Income Groups Short Description Categories of households by combined household member earnings. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Number of Workers in Household Short Description Number of employed adults in household. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate)

C-12 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model Value-of-Time Segments Short Description Categories of people with similar attitudes about their willingness to pay to save time. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Vehicle Occupancy Groups Short Description Vehicle occupancy groups includes the number of occupants in a vehicle (i.e., drive alone, shared ride 2, shared ride 3 or more). Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model

Requirements Reference C-13 Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Geographic Area to Be Studied Short Description Geographic area to be studied comprises the area to be studied for the plan or program. Requirements City County Megaregion Region State Subarea or Corridor Requirements for Geographic Area to Be Studied City Short Description Jurisdictional boundaries for a city. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification)

C-14 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Stop Sequence and Duration Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns County Short Description Jurisdictional boundaries for a county. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership

Requirements Reference C-15 Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Stop Sequence and Duration Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Megaregion Short Description A large study area that includes multiple regions connected by transportation systems. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis

C-16 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Frequency-based Transit Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Region Short Description Region includes metropolitan planning areas and urbanized areas. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate)

Requirements Reference C-17 Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns

C-18 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide State Short Description Jurisdictional boundaries for a state. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Frequency-based Transit Assignment Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification)

Requirements Reference C-19 Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Subarea or Corridor Short Description A study area smaller than a county or city, encompassing a neighborhood or corridor of interest. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Trip Production (Cross-classification)

C-20 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Network Detail Short Description Modal characteristics of the transportation system (e.g., lanes, routes, nonmotorized facilities). Requirements Complex Transit Networks General Purpose Lanes Managed Lanes Pedestrian/Bike Facilities Road Geometry and Controls Simple Transit Networks Truck Lanes Turn Lanes/Auxiliary Lanes Requirements for Network Detail Complex Transit Networks Short Description Complex transit networks contain routes, stops, and schedules for bus and rail and ferry systems, with multimodal connections, detailed schedules, and evaluation of combined headways. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Disaggregate) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment General Purpose Lanes Short Description Traffic lanes available for use by the public without any restrictions or tolls.

Requirements Reference C-21 Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Trip Production (Cross-classification) Managed Lanes Short Description Managed lanes include high-occupancy vehicle lanes, express lanes, and high-occupancy toll lanes. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment

C-22 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Pedestrian/Bike Facilities Short Description Transportation infrastructure for nonmotorized travel, including bike trails, pedestrian walkways, and bridges, among others. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Road Geometry and Controls Short Description Road geometry and controls includes turn lanes, auxiliary lanes, turn-pocket lengths, intersection controls, railroad preemption, transit signal priority, and adaptive signal controls. Methods Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Simple Transit Networks Short Description Simple transit networks contain routes, stops, and schedules for bus systems.

Requirements Reference C-23 Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Disaggregate) Transit Pass Ownership Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Truck Lanes Short Description Roadway lanes dedicated to trucks and often adjacent to other lanes on a freeway. Methods Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Stop Sequence and Duration Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns

C-24 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Turn Lanes/Auxiliary Lanes Short Description An auxiliary lane is the portion of the roadway adjoining the traveled way for speed change, turning, weaving, truck climbing, maneuvering of entering and leaving traffic, and other purposes supplementary to through-traffic movement. Methods Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Spatial Detail Short Description Precision of the geographic input and output data variables. Requirements City/County Microzone Region Roadway Segment or Parcel Route Subregion Travel Analysis Zone Requirements for Spatial Detail City/County Short Description Subregional or local planning level of detail.

Requirements Reference C-25 Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Trip Distribution (Gravity) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Mode and Shipment Size Supplier Selection Model Microzone Short Description A subset of a traffic analysis zone that can be based on Census Blocks or Census Block Groups. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model

C-26 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Transit Pass Ownership Trip Production (Cross-classification) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Region Short Description Region includes metropolitan planning areas and urbanized areas. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Trip Distribution (Gravity) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment

Requirements Reference C-27 Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Roadway Segment or Parcel Short Description Roadway segment or parcel is the finest level of detail representing an individual parcel or roadway segment in the analysis. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops

C-28 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Mode and Shipment Size Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Route Short Description Path for travel by highway and transit modes. Methods Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Subregion Short Description A study area smaller than a region, but not following county or city boundaries. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Trip Distribution (Gravity) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment

Requirements Reference C-29 Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Travel Analysis Zone Short Description A unit of analysis larger than a microzone and smaller than a jurisdiction or neighborhood. This is the most common unit of analysis for travel demand forecasting models. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models

C-30 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Temporal Detail Short Description Precision of the temporal input and output variables. Requirements 15-minutes or less Annual Daily Hour Season/Month Time Period Requirements for Temporal Detail 15-Minutes or Less Short Description 1-, 5-, 10-, or 15-minute volumes. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Parking Location Choice

Requirements Reference C-31 Time of Day (Disaggregate) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Schedule-based Transit Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Commercial Vehicle Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Stop Sequence and Duration Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Annual Short Description Average of 12-month volumes. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Population Synthesis Assignment and Microsimulation Models Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Trip Attraction (Regression)

C-32 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Trip Production (Cross-classification) Daily Short Description Average of 24-hour volumes. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Hour Short Description Sixty-minute time slice.

Requirements Reference C-33 Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Parking Location Choice Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Commercial Vehicle Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Stop Sequence and Duration Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Season/Month Short Description Month is average volume over 30 days; season is average volume over three months. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Transit Pass Ownership Assignment and Microsimulation Models Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment

C-34 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Mode and Shipment Size Supply Chain Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Time Period Short Description Average volumes for multiple hours representing peak or off-peak periods. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation

Requirements Reference C-35 Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Stop Sequence and Duration Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns SCOPE Short Description The transportation system elements that are represented in the travel forecasting model. Requirement Elements Pricing Policies Sensitivities Travel Market Requirement Elements for Scope Pricing Policies Short Description Costs for use of the transportation system (e.g., fares, tolls, gas taxes). Requirements Dynamic Tolls Fares Fixed Tolls Operating Costs Requirements for Pricing Policies Dynamic Tolls Short Description Dynamic tolls are charged dynamically based on levels of congestion and are often applied on high-occupancy toll (HOT) lanes.

C-36 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Disaggregate) Trip Attraction (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Route-Path Choice Models Volume-Delay Functions Fares Short Description The average cost to use public transportation. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Disaggregate) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Fixed Tolls Short Description Fixed tolls are vehicle tolls charged at specific locations. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice

Requirements Reference C-37 Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Disaggregate) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supply Chain Model Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Operating Costs Short Description Operating costs are primarily derived from the cost of gas and oil on a per-mile basis; these costs do not include vehicle maintenance, insurance, or purchase price. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Disaggregate) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment

C-38 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Mode and Shipment Size Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Sensitivities Short Description Input variables that can be changed to evaluate transportation impacts. Requirements Commodity Group Establishment Characteristics Highway Network Supply Highway Operations Household Socioeconomic Characteristics Pedestrian/Bike Network Supply Transit Network Supply Transit Operations Travel Demand Management Policies Travel Distance Traveler Demographics Travel Purpose Travel Time Requirements for Sensitivities Commodity Group Short Description The type of commodity carried in a vehicle. Methods Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Stop Sequence and Duration

Requirements Reference C-39 Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Establishment Characteristics Short Description Characteristics of business establishments or firms. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Parking Location Choice Trip Production (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Mode and Shipment Size Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Highway Network Supply Short Description Physical infrastructure of the roads, including general purpose, high-occupancy vehicle, and auxiliary lanes. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate)

C-40 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Parking Location Choice Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Trip Distribution (Gravity) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Stop Sequence and Duration Supply Chain Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Highway Operations Short Description Travel times and speeds on the roadway system and delays at intersections. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Time of Day (Disaggregate) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation

Requirements Reference C-41 Volume-Delay Functions Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Household Socioeconomic Characteristics Short Description One or more socioeconomic characteristics, including the following: Household Size Number of Workers in Household Number of Adults in Household Number of Persons of Driving Age in Household Income Age of Head of Household Auto Ownership Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model Pedestrian/Bike Network Supply Short Description Capacity and speed features of nonmotorized facilities.

C-42 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Transit Network Supply Short Description The routes, capacities, and schedules for passengers on bus, rail, ferry, or other transit modes of travel. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Transit Operations Short Description The number of seats and frequency of service available by route for passengers on bus, rail, ferry, or other transit modes of travel. Methods Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models

Requirements Reference C-43 Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Frequency-based Transit Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Route-Path Choice Models Schedule-based Transit Assignment Travel Demand Management Policies Short Description Travel demand management policies include employer programs for carpool parking, transit or parking subsidies, walk or bike subsidies, and flexible work schedules, among others. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Trip Attraction (Regression) Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Travel Distance Short Description Includes fares, tolls, or other policies based on miles of travel. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Parking Location Choice Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Trip Distribution (Gravity) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment

C-44 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Trip Distribution (Gravity) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Traveler Demographics Short Description Includes traveler details such as driver’s license, age, and employment status, among others. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Production (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model

Requirements Reference C-45 Travel Purpose Short Description Travel purpose is the activity or purpose at the destination. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Integrated Multiresolution Model Travel Time Short Description The number of minutes it takes to travel from the origin to the destination. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Disaggregate) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Assignment and Microsimulation Models Dynamic Capacity-Constrained Transit Assignment Dynamic Traffic Assignment Integrated Multiresolution Model Intersection Delay

C-46 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Route-Path Choice Models Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Traffic Microsimulation Volume-Delay Functions Commercial Vehicle Models Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Supply Chain Model Trip Distribution (Gravity) Travel Market Short Description Sources and types of travel within and through the study area. Requirements External Commercial Travel External Passenger Travel Internal Commercial Travel Long-Distance Passenger Travel Resident Passenger Travel Special Markets Requirements for Travel Market External Commercial Travel Short Description Travel that starts, ends, or travels through a study area to provide commercial services or transport goods. Methods Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size

Requirements Reference C-47 Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns External Passenger Travel Short Description Travel that starts or ends or travels through a study area to move people. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Attraction (Regression) Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Internal Commercial Travel Short Description Travel made within a study area that is for providing commercial services or transporting goods. Methods Other Travel Demand Methods Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Commercial Vehicle Models Commodity Flow Models Firm Synthesis Freight and Services Tours and Stops Mode and Shipment Size Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Stop Sequence and Duration Supplier Selection Model Supply Chain Model Time of Day (Fixed Factors)

C-48 Method Selection for Travel Forecasting: User Guide Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Vehicle Types and Tour Patterns Long-Distance Passenger Travel Short Description Travel that starts, ends, or travels through a study area for the movement of people. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Other Travel Demand Methods Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Resident Passenger Travel Short Description Travel made by persons residing within a study area. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Daily Activity Pattern Model Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Mode Choice (Fixed Factors) Parking Location Choice Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Time of Day (Fixed Factors) Tour Frequency Model Transit Pass Ownership Trip Attraction (Regression) Trip Distribution (Gravity) Trip Production (Cross-classification) Trip Production (Regression)

Requirements Reference C-49 Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Multiclass Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation Single-class Equilibrium Traffic Assignment Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Special Markets Short Description Passenger travel to convention centers, sports arenas, universities, or other attractions in a study area. Methods Passenger Vehicle Models Destination Choice Mode Choice (Disaggregate) Population Synthesis Time of Day (Disaggregate) Tour Frequency Model Other Travel Demand Methods Direct-Demand Model Pivot-Point and Incremental Models Assignment and Microsimulation Models Pedestrian/Bicycle Simulation

Next: Appendix D - Performance Metrics Reference »
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TRB's National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) Research Report 852: Method Selection for Travel Forecasting presents guidelines for travel-forecasting practitioners to assess the suitability and limitations of their travel-forecasting methods and techniques to address specific policy and planning questions. The report also provides practitioners with the ability to scope model development or improvements so as to attain the desired policy sensitivity within constraints such as institutional, budget, model development time, and resources.

The report is accompanied by a software tool, TFGuide, which illustratively and systematically “guides” the practitioner through the selection of travel-forecasting methods and techniques based on application needs, resource constraints, available data, and existing model structure. NCHRP Web-Only Document 234: Developing a Method Selection Tool for Travel Forecasting documents research efforts and methodology used to produce the report and tool.

Disclaimer - This software is offered as is, without warranty or promise of support of any kind either expressed or implied. Under no circumstance will the National Academy of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine or the Transportation Research Board (collectively "TRB") be liable for any loss or damage caused by the installation or operation of this product. TRB makes no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, in fact or in law, including without limitation, the warranty of merchantability or the warranty of fitness for a particular purpose, and shall not in any case be liable for any consequential or special damages.

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