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3 Individual Technology Investment Evaluations
Pages 29-62

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From page 29...
... NASA has established a working process for integrating the SERT effort. This program decision-making and organization process to integrate SERT technology working groups and task forces has been well coordinated and has succeeded in advancing the SERT program definition during the past 2 years.
From page 30...
... 30 o o ~: ~ - : ~ lo · ' :: ~ .¢s ~ ~ a.
From page 31...
... commercial sponsors and their funding sources. The committee considers that the present SERT cost and performance targets for several of the technologies are beyond present credibility, particularly in solar power generation (SPG)
From page 32...
... The adaptive approach may require the developLAYING THE FOUNDATION FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER ment of self-healing structures, self-tuning adaptive control systems, autonomous robots, and failure-tolerant structural concepts. Some of these developments may be very far into the future, requiring rigorous, long-term investment before they will yield practical success.
From page 33...
... A single SSP concept should be rigorously modeled, incorporating technology readiness levels and involving industry in conceptual design, as a means to improve the credibility of the model input and output but not to prematurely select a single system for ultimate implementation. Capitalizing on Other Work The committee realizes that a full-scale SSP system is greatly dependent on future space transportation technologies not yet defined.
From page 34...
... The SSP program should review previous modeling efforts and integrate successful methods, as appropriate. For example, it does not appear to the committee that the current SERT program has looked for lessons learned from modeling efforts used during the 1970s space solar power efforts (Hazelrigg, 1977)
From page 35...
... Technical Performance Goals Needed for Economic Competitiveness Successful development of an economically viable SSP will require substantial leaps in development of space solar array, PMAD, thermal control, wireless transmission, and launch technologies. However, improvements in PV solar array technologies alone will not enable SSP to be economically competitive with terrestrial utility electricity.
From page 36...
... It is important to note that there is actually little difference between space and terrestrial PV technologies. There is virtually no difference in the electrically active part of the PV cell that controls conversion LAYING THE FOUNDATION FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER efficiency, called the pin junction.
From page 37...
... Recommendation 3-2-2 [also 2-1-X] : NASA should expand its current cooperation with other solar power generation research and technology efforts by developing closer working relationships with the U.S.
From page 38...
... Technical Performance Goals Needed for Economic Competitiveness The NASA subsystem team has adopted the folLAYING THE FOUNDATION FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER lowing goals for this SPMAD subsystem: end-to-end efficiency greater than 94 percent, mass less than 2 kg/ kW (power density greater than 500 W/kg) , and a cost of less than $300/kW (30 cents/W)
From page 39...
... A few percentage points of improvement in PMAD efficiency will translate to a larger percentage point reduction in SSP mass and cost, reduced system heat load, and thus fewer thermal management problems. However, large breakthroughs should not be expected but, rather, slow, incremental progress.
From page 40...
... For the baseline system at 1.2-GW output to the utility interface, this results in a dense concentration of transmitting elements in a 500-m-diameter circle. LAYING THE FOUNDATION FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER Laser Option The laser option will probably operate in the nearinfrared spectrum at 1.03 ,um (Er:YAG laser)
From page 41...
... Recommendation 3-4-4: Larger-scale, system-level wireless power transmission demonstrations should be planned, either ground or space-to-space demonstrations. Some might involve the International Space Station.
From page 42...
... LAYING THE FOUNDATION FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER The final output could be high-voltage AC or DC depending on the utility network to which the system is being connected. For the laser option technical needs are similar.
From page 43...
... Clearly, it will be essential to consider robotic assembly and maintenance early in the design phase of space solar power system concepts. The cost and logistics related to assembly operations
From page 44...
... ) with an LAYING THE FOUNDATION FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER end effecter specialized for a single grapple fixture design.
From page 45...
... It is possible to discuss qualitatively, however, the types of robotic activities and levels of performance that may be necessary to enable SSP assembly and maintenance. While a solar power satellite is orders of magnitude beyond anything ever built in space, it is similar in scale to a number of everyday Earth construction projects, including large bridges, deep-water drilling platforms, skyscrapers, or large ships.
From page 46...
... 3TRLs 4-6 consist of technology development and demonstration both in the laboratory and in a relevant environment. LAYING THE FOUNDATION FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER programs to nurture them through to flight demonstration.
From page 47...
... The early concepts for SSP were some of these. In the 1980s, NASA investment in construction of large space structures was largely funded and motivated by the problem of constructing early concepts of the International Space Station.
From page 48...
... In addition, SSP loads include assembly, verification, and maintenance loads, which are loads not ordinarily considered design drivers in modern satellite structures. The primary design objective for the structural subLAYING THE FOUNDATION FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER system is to meet the geometric requirements under the prescribed loads while minimizing cost.
From page 49...
... For example, it has been pointed out that existing space structures, whether communication antennas or the Hubble Space Telescope, are designed for packaged densities on the order of 65 kg/m3 (Lake, 2001~. This is close to the typical payload density of existing large boosters.
From page 50...
... LAYING THE FOUNDATION FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER Challenges to Be Me! NASA provided no basis for establishing what goals are currently achievable with existing structural technology.
From page 51...
... This means SSP can have a vibration frequency perhaps 1/lO,OOOth that of an Earth-pointing satellite. 3-8 THERMAL MATERIALS AND MANAGEMENT Thermal Management Concepts Thermal management is a critical spacecraft capability needed to maintain all spacecraft components and parts within a specified operational temperature range.
From page 52...
... Air Force Small Business Innovation Research program entitled "Freeze-Tolerant, Lightweight, Flexible Radiator," Contract Number F2960198-C-01 15. LAYING THE FOUNDATION FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER of space solar array, PMAD, thermal control, wireless transmission, and launch technologies.
From page 53...
... Similarly, although extrapolations and estimates may be made, no one can accurately determine, today, the costs of space transportation 30 and more years in the future. As a result, decisions on the viability of future space solar power efforts should not be based solely on the space transportation segment of the program.
From page 54...
... Low-cost options for in-space transportation may require large advancements in technology advances that may not occur within the next 510 years without program stimulus. As a result, LAYING THE FOUNDATION FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER investments need to be made in this area, whether under the purview of the SSP program or as a separate NASA initiative.
From page 55...
... Recommendation 3-9-3: The SSP program should develop detailed space transportation requirements for all technology flight demonstrations (MSC 1, MSC 1.5, and MSC 3) that include data from studies on packaging, cost and mass estimates, and other important parameters.
From page 56...
... LAYING THE FOUNDATION FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER In designing a full-scale SSP system, the environmental impact analysis must also include pollution that may occur during emplacement of the facility (production and launch of transport vehicles) , as well as environmental effects during the operational phase.
From page 57...
... The committee understands that the relevance of such cellular phone research to space solar power may be questionable. However, program managers must be aware that the long-term effects of SSP wireless power transmission on humans must be quantified before public acceptance is found.
From page 58...
... In addition, to assuage any fears that this technology could be reworked to be used as a weapon, the program should be international in structure, with full disclosure of information to all participating countries so that no strategic advantage can be gained by any one nation. LAYING THE FOUNDATION FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER Challenges to Be Me!
From page 59...
... Such programs might include development of demonstration models (Pignolet, 2001) , a children's book on SSP, or op-ed pieces on space solar power.
From page 60...
... 2000. "Environmental and Safety Factors." Briefing by John Anderson, NASA Marshall Space Flight Center, to the Committee for the Assessment of NASA's Space Solar Power Investment Strategy, National Academy of Sciences, Washington, D.C., September 13.
From page 61...
... Feingold, Harvey.2000. "SERT Systems Integration, Analysis, and Modeling." Briefing by Harvey Feingold, Science Applications International Corporation, to the Committee for the Assessment of NASA's Space Solar Power Investment Strategy, National Academy of Sciences, Washington, D.C., October 23.
From page 62...
... 2000. "Space Solar Power: Space Transportation and SSP Deployment Support Studies." Briefing by John Olds, Georgia Institute of Technology, to the Committee for the Assessment of NASA's Space Solar Power Investment Strategy, National Academy of Sciences, Washington, D.C., September 14.


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