Thinking Strategically The Appropriate Use of Metrics for the Climate Change Science Program (2005) / Chapter Skim
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6 Metrics for the Climate Change Science Program
6 Metrics for the Climate Change Science Program
Pages 77-86
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From page 77... ...
This chapter proposes a set of metrics to assess progress of any CCSP program element and guide future strategic planning. DEVELOPMENT OF GENERAL METRICS Comparison of all the example metrics created by the committee showed that process and input measures tend to be similar in all of the case studies, whereas output, outcome, and impact measures tend to be more specific to the case study goal.
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of 5 ppm · Sustainable information systems that make water resource data and information readily available to research and applications users Outcome Metrics · Are the aerosol measurements together · The program has led to the with other aerosol research resulting in identification of uncertainties, increased better understanding of the uncertainties understanding of uncertainties, or in climate projections due to direct and reduced uncertainties indirect aerosol processes? · Are the research results leading to lower uncertainties in the historical contributions to sea-level rise and thence to better projections of future sea-level rise?
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to support adaptive management assessment and management of risk · Technology developed for rapid control of trace gas concentrations at high precision Impact Metrics · Significantly reduced morbidity and · The program has benefited society in mortality rates as a result of improved terms of enhancing economic vitality, management of infectious disease promoting environmental stewardship, · "No-build" zones established between protecting life and property, and reducing new structures (e.g., roads, railways, vulnerability to the impacts of climate houses) and the shoreline protect change communities from sea-level rise The committee tested the concept by first combining the metrics in each category into a master list (Appendix B)
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research enabling unanticipated scientific discovery, (b) investigation of com peting ideas and interpretations, and (c)
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results, such as improved scientific understanding or reliable forecasts, that influence stakeholders outside the program, including scientists working in other fields, resource managers, and policy makers. The level of influence of impact metrics is even greater and includes the long-term results of actions by managers, policy makers, and science and business leaders.
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in its entirety.6 The test cases were not intended to actually assess progress in four particular program elements. Such an assessment is beyond the committee's charge and capability and is left to CCSP program managers and appropriate stakeholder groups.
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This test case suggests that the combination of a strong plan, an active research community enabled to make scientific discoveries, and leadership committed to using the scientific output leads to a highly successful program. Test Case 3: Chapter 11, Goal 2-Related Issue (Develop resources to support adaptive management and planning for responding to climate variability and climate change, and transition these resources from research to operational application)
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Examination of the RISA program revealed the presence of a plan and appropriate leadership, but few peer-reviewed results and limited funds to promote discovery and innovation. Although the RISA program enables significant output related to stakeholder needs, weaknesses in process (peer review)
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CONCLUSIONS Overall, the committee found that the general metrics listed in Box 6.1 provide a useful starting point for CCSP program managers to assess program performance and identify barriers to progress. Tests performed by the committee suggest that the general metrics are also likely to be applicable to any science program that has established goals.
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