Review of the GAPP Science and Implementation Plan (2005) / Chapter Skim
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From page 13... ...
13 3 Chapter Comments and Recommendations The committee acknowledges the efforts of GAPP's Science Advisory Group in developing a science and implementation plan (NOAA-NASA 2004) to further the GAPP science objectives of prediction and decision support.
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14 REVIEW OF THE GAPP SCIENCE AND IMPLEMENTATION PLAN In summary, the plan does not synthesize recent work in the area (including what has been learned from this work and how that has influenced the proposed priorities) or even list what the current and recently supported GAPP projects have been (e.g., those funded by NOAA's Office of Global Programs and NASA)
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CHAPTER COMMENTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 15 amount of research into this issue has been conducted over the past decade (e.g., recent work by Dirmeyer 2000, Schlosser and Milly 2002, Douville 2003, and Koster and Suarez 2003) , but no account of what was learned from that work is provided.
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16 REVIEW OF THE GAPP SCIENCE AND IMPLEMENTATION PLAN • The plan should clearly describe the distinction between the focus in Chapter 2 and the guidance in Chapter 6 for the Core Project. • In the section "Quantification of the strength of land memory processes," the authors of the plan should consider incorporating modeling analysis and multivariate time series statistical methods to address this issue.
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CHAPTER COMMENTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 17 comprehensive, while being prescriptive at times, and some of GAPP's own supported research is not referenced (NOAA-NASA 2004, pp.
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18 REVIEW OF THE GAPP SCIENCE AND IMPLEMENTATION PLAN Recommendations for Improving Chapter 3 of the Plan • The implementation strategy and the deliverables of Chapter 3 of the plan should be reexamined. • It is important that a more comprehensive and inclusive review of the work on this topic be conducted.
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CHAPTER COMMENTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 19 of convective parameterization schemes in climate and weather prediction models, it goes on to say that this goal should not be a GAPP research activity per se, but should be viewed rather as an opportunity for engaging the GAPP community with climate modelers. This is a commendable overarching goal that should permeate all GAPP- and indeed all CCSP- related activities, but it does not justify the research objective as stated.
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20 REVIEW OF THE GAPP SCIENCE AND IMPLEMENTATION PLAN Recommendation to Improve Chapter 4 of the Plan The research objectives and implementation activities in Chapter 4 should be revisited with the objective of identifying GAPP's activities and contributions to this research element, thus clearly defining GAPP's strategic role in CPPA within NOAA and within the broader CCSP research portfolio. In particular, one area that requires further consideration is the balance between terrestrial (land-surface)
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CHAPTER COMMENTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 21 According to the plan, "NAME will be GAPP's major contribution." This suggests that GAPP has few other major contributions to CEOP. On the one hand, Section 5.2.2 of the plan lists a number of GAPP global products (e.g., global reanalysis and regional reanalysis products)
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22 REVIEW OF THE GAPP SCIENCE AND IMPLEMENTATION PLAN Recommendations to Improve Chapter 5 of the Plan • In the plan, the relationships between GAPP and CEOP have to be articulated more clearly to reflect how the GAPP objectives relate to CEOP and how those objectives might be achieved. • The relationship between GAPP data and related activities described in the GAPP data management plan (NOAA-NASA 2004, Chapter 9)
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CHAPTER COMMENTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 23 clear whether GAPP intends to develop and test new models or to link existing model components together. This would require close collaboration with one of the operational centers discussed above.
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24 REVIEW OF THE GAPP SCIENCE AND IMPLEMENTATION PLAN • The plan should define which deliverables relate to the Core Project and which are expected to result from individual research projects. • The plan should provide more easily quantifiable goals for the deliverable items listed.
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CHAPTER COMMENTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 25 integration not only across program elements (science and applications) but also between GAPP investigators and related non-GAPP applications-oriented programs.
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26 REVIEW OF THE GAPP SCIENCE AND IMPLEMENTATION PLAN FIGURE 3-1 Assessment of Integrative Prediction-Decision Process.
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CHAPTER COMMENTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 27 Section 7.2.2) but also in integrated prediction-decision technologies.
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28 REVIEW OF THE GAPP SCIENCE AND IMPLEMENTATION PLAN mission, is uniquely positioned among federal programs to make pioneering contributions toward the development and application of end-to-end information systems. • The plan should identify ways to fund and build a more robust and strategic decision support program, including the following: o Integrated process aspects: The plan should address (1)
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CHAPTER COMMENTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 29 program where the necessary synthesis of remote sensing data is done. There is research on specific instrument data and assimilation studies with products from individual sensors, but there is no four-dimensional data assimilation of the full suite of satellite data at specified weather-climate prediction centers as noted in Section 8.4 of the plan (NOAA-NASA 2004, p.
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30 REVIEW OF THE GAPP SCIENCE AND IMPLEMENTATION PLAN • In addition to clarifying the role of remote sensing in the first GAPP objective of prediction, the plan should also expand the goal of Chapter 8 to include addressing the second objective of GAPP (i.e., a deliverable on showing satellite data value with respect to water resources decisions -- flood management, drought management, agricultural planning, etc.)
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From page 31... ...
CHAPTER COMMENTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 31 Recommendations to Improve Chapter 9 of the Plan • This chapter of the plan should tie in better to Chapter 5 on CEOP. • Although GAPP has made great contributions to data management with limited resources, the plan should focus on monitoring for opportunities to enhance data management.
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32 REVIEW OF THE GAPP SCIENCE AND IMPLEMENTATION PLAN applications independent of the government program managers, may be a major contributing factor to many of the shortcomings outlined throughout this review. Recommendations to Improve Chapter 10 of the Plan • Membership of the GAPP Science Advisory Group should include persons who have no current direct participation in GAPP science activities as well as those who represent the water resources community.
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