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Appendix C A Framework for Comprehensive Analysis
Pages 85-95

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From page 85...
... COMPLEXITY OF THE ANALYSIS PROBLEM Speed and observability both affect the operational utility of air vehicles, but any analysis of their trade-offs is confounded by many other design and operational variables that interact with them and also affect the operational utility of the air vehicle. Some of these design variables are listed below and defined in the Glossary in Appendix D:1 1The reader is referred to Robert E
From page 86...
... ; · Command and control (single site, networked sites, integrated air defense systems) ; and · degree of cueing available.
From page 87...
... . Given the multidimensional nature of the problem, the analysis of speed-and-observability trade-offs on the bases of their contribution to the utility of air vehicles is a complex activity.
From page 88...
... 88 FUtURE AiR FoRCE nEEdS FoR SURViVABilitY mander, or Air Force commander. Under this first task, appropriate utility metrics need to be defined.
From page 89...
... and the "offensive (end game) ability" to accomplish the mission objectives (e.g., destroy a WMD site or hold a threat force at risk)
From page 90...
... Given Formula criticality of aircraft survivability, a more reasonable criterion would be to search for air Job # R00822 vehicle designs that maximize effectiveness subject to a constraint on achieving a desired level of survivability,5/26/06 Revised for Pr[survivability .98]
From page 91...
... The versatility planning approach has been used in studies for the Supreme Allied Commander Europe5 and the Commander in Chief, Formula #2 U.S. Army Europe.6 Revised 5/26/06 Some available models and methods that might be used to conduct the Job # R00822 comprehensive study are noted below:7 Air Force · Extended Air Defense Simulation (EADSIM)
From page 92...
... FUtURE AiR FoRCE nEEdS FoR SURViVABilitY Task 3: Develop Experimental Designs for Simulation Runs Conceptually, one would like to examine the effectiveness and survivability impacts for all combinations of air vehicle design variables over their feasible ranges (with consideration given to their engineering interactions) to identify designs that maximize effectiveness and survivability in important missions and operation situations.
From page 93...
... These can be used as baselines to compare with runs involving simulated future air vehicles. Task 4: Set Up, Conduct, and Analyze Initial Simulation Runs Although many design variables impact on the survivability and effectiveness of potential air vehicles, a major focus is to identify a good balance between speed and observability capabilities for different levels of other design parameters, missions, and Ops Sits.
From page 94...
... FUtURE AiR FoRCE nEEdS FoR SURViVABilitY AIR VEHICLE ISO-EFFECTIVENESS Mission: 2018 ­dB Pr[Survivability] .98 AIR VEHICLE ISO-EFFECTIVENESS Mission: 2018 CM = ­dB Pr[Survivability]
From page 95...
... APPEndiX C · One should look for changes in design parameters and/or tactics that might provide equal survivability and effectiveness levels with less costly or risky speed and observability pairs. · One should look for design parameter and/or tactics changes that might enhance effectiveness and survivability for the same speed and observability pair.


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