Currently Skimming:
4 Review of Individual Chapters
4 Review of Individual Chapters
Pages 13-22
The Chapter Skim interface presents what we've algorithmically identified as the most significant single chunk of text within every page in the chapter.
Select key terms on the right to highlight them within pages of the chapter.
From page 13... ...
For some chapters, there are enumerated comments that follow this statement to provide suggested editorial changes or other details for the authors to consider during the revision process. CHAPTER 1 Sources and Types of Uncertainty As noted earlier, the committee recommends the addition of a full introduction section and a foreword to provide framing and context before the technical material in Chapter 1 is presented.
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From page 14... ...
• Page 5, lines 19-20: The terms "parametric analysis" and "switchover" could be made more accessible by using the phrase "sensitivity analysis," which is used commonly in the climate research community. CHAPTER 2 The Importance of Quantifying Uncertainty The committee suggests that the content of this chapter be merged with that of Chapter 6 under the rubric of communication and that this material be placed near the current location of Chapter 6 (after the discussion of the sources and types of uncertainty and the various methods for characterizing uncertainty)
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From page 15... ...
Participants exposed to media clips that induced fear held more pessimistic perceptions and were more risk-averse, while participants exposed to media clips that induced anger held more optimistic perceptions and were more risk-seeking. The same research found that respondents felt public health officials had failed to communicate easily understood (and desired)
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From page 16... ...
Like the frequentist approach, the Bayesian approach is typically based on a formal structure involving a parametric model and observations generated from it. Although standard methods assume that the model is specified up to a finite set of parameters, formal methods do exist for treating uncertainty about the form of the model (see suggested references)
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From page 17... ...
A plausible argument can be made that there is no meaningful distinction from usual optimality analysis and that the concept discussed in this report is a matter of a poorly defined utility function. If indeed there is a real technical distinction to be made, the authors should consider expanding and supporting the discussion of this
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From page 18... ...
The social contexts and institutional settings in which communication activities occur have large implications for the types of communication processes that are appropriate and how substantive issues such as social trust and credibility may be addressed. The report would benefit if these issues were addressed.
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From page 19... ...
Notable is the lack of any significant discussion in this chapter of adaptive management, a decision approach that has been identified as particularly appropriate to situations of high uncertainty over long time frames with diffuse actors and interests, such as climate change. Please consider expanding the discussion of this concept beyond Figure 1.
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From page 20... ...
In terms of providing a summary of "best practices," the chapter provides a brief summary of professional advice for those involved in writing assessments, but it does not elucidate a range of best practices for all of the audiences set forth in the document prospectus. As stated in the Summary of this review, the committee believes that this would require a significantly expanded SAP, or the production of a companion Product.
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From page 21... ...
REVIEW OF INDIVIDUAL CHAPTERS 21 assignment of a given qualitative word to a given range of probability should be less ambiguous, where possible.
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