S&T Strategies of Six Countries Implications for the United States (2010) / Chapter Skim
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9 Military and Economic Implications of Science and Technology Developments
9 Military and Economic Implications of Science and Technology Developments
Pages 81-91
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From page 81... ...
national innovation system, grasp the importance of S&T investments to bolster economic competitive ness -- which is viewed by all of them as a national security issue -- and to increase military capabilities. Together, these six countries represent a cross-section of a world where countries increasingly view technology development as a high priority and where technical know-how flows freely across borders.
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From page 82... ...
This six-country survey points out growing security concerns that arise from the dynamic, increasingly glob ally dispersed nature of R&D itself. This unprecedented phenomenon increases the opportunities for technologi cal surprises as many countries, working alone or in concert, can discover, uncover, or create breakthroughs in high-impact technologies in areas such as microprocessing, genomic profiling, biomedical engineering, and drug therapy, or can develop disruptive technologies from new knowledge or from the innovative application of exist ing technologies.
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From page 83... ...
This adds to the uncertainty in predicting national outcomes and global trends in a new world characterized by chronic financial volatility and widening income gaps between developed and underdeveloped economies. South Asian scholar Amit Pandya describes current economic trends in stark terms in his article, "The Shape of Change: Nature, Economics, Politics, and Ideology":
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From page 84... ...
India worries about competition from China, but it 1The continuing challenge of anticipating global financial crises is analyzed in National Intelligence Council, global Trends 0, p. 38, and global Trends 0, pp.
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From page 85... ...
We are confronted by the increasing globalization of R&D, the real-time diffusion of technical know-how through international networks, and the coalescence of advancing technologies. We also are faced with the inextricable linkages between dual-use capabilities and the motivations and intentions of national leadership, and between the increasing potential of path-breaking technolo gies, or disruptive technologies, and heightened military capabilities.
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From page 86... ...
For most of its existence, the Soviet Union invested disproportionately in S&T for military purposes as its economy foundered. Russia continues to favor military options, such as space and rocket systems, over investments that would expand the Russian S&T capacity, promote economic growth, and improve the declining quality of life for the majority of Russians.
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From page 87... ...
Additionally, Singapore's welcoming policies increase concerns about the potential exploitation of this policy and growing S&T know-how by some of its less transparent Asian neighbors, international criminals, and global terrorist networks. Singapore's relationship with the United States, at every level including security, is excellent.
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From page 88... ...
Brazil is advancing on international scales of S&T-proficiency that measure economic competitiveness. It has a growing middle class, strong manufacturing base, diversified business sector, energy independence, and an S&T strategy geared toward commercialization and economic expansion in areas of competitive advantage.
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From page 89... ...
The combination of its authoritarian leadership, its limited practice with democracy, and its guarded economic prospects raise concern about its capacity to boost investment in dual-use technologies for military purposes as a hedge against its declining global stature. This is not an evidence-based prediction but merely a notional depiction of a possible alarming turn if Russia's economic climate does not adopt a more trans parent economic model with stronger links to the global economy.
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From page 90... ...
The rapid advancement of technology and global dispersion of R&D are enabling economic com petitors of the United States, as well as its real or potential military adversaries including non-state actors, to boost their capabilities and to exploit emerging and disruptive technologies for asymmetric operations. The less transparent world of military and intelligence S&T programs, as well as the insidious proliferation of dual-use technologies, will increasingly require the close engagement of U.S.
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From page 91... ...
2010. Persistent forecasting of disruptive Technologies.
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