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Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences (2011) / Chapter Skim
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6 Communication
Pages 73-80

The Chapter Skim interface presents what we've algorithmically identified as the most significant single chunk of text within every page in the chapter.
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From page 73...
... In such cases, analysts and their customers need organizational procedures that effectively guide requesting, formulating, editing, and transmitting analyses. Additional pressures arise when analysts know that people other than their direct customers may read, judge, and act on their assessments (e.g., tactical military commanders may access national level strategic analyses by Central Intelligence Agency analysts)
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From page 74...
... . COMMUNICATING ANALYTICAL RESULTS Current and forward-looking intelligence analyses contain assessments about events and expectations about possible future events.
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From page 75...
... do not. Well-established probability elicitation methods can avoid known problems, such as overstating hard-to-express low probabilities, expressing probabilities inconsistently with formally equivalent questions, or saying "50" in the sense of 50-50 rather than as a numerical value.
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From page 76...
... . Typically, such studies begin with think-aloud protocols asking people to explain their implicit theories, allowing communications to build on what they already know and fill critical gaps (Morgan et al., 2001)
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From page 77...
... However, the committee found no evidence on how these processes affect how well analyses are understood -- and did hear concerns about the problems that can arise when too many people edit an analytic product. Communication about technical issues has been addressed by several reports from the National Research Council (e.g., 1989, 1996)
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From page 78...
... In National Research Council, Intelli gence Analysis: Behavioral and Social Scientific Foundations. Committee on Behavioral and Social Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security, B
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From page 79...
... In National Research Council, Intelligence Analy sis: Behavioral and Social Scientific Foundations. Committee on Behavioral and Social Science Research to Improve Intelligence Analysis for National Security, B
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From page 80...
... New York: Cambridge University Press. Woloshin, S., L.M.
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