National Earthquake Resilience Research, Implementation, and Outreach (2011) / Chapter Skim
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4 Costing the Roadmap Elements
4 Costing the Roadmap Elements
Pages 171-182
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From page 171... ...
, and validate or revise these estimates. In its deliberations, the committee initially focused on the 2008 NEHRP Strategic Plan, analyzing its goals, objectives, and strategic priorities, and then reviewed the EERI plan and cost estimates.
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From page 172... ...
National Seismic Hazard Model 50.1 250.5 696 946.5 5. Operational Earthquake Forecasting 5 25 60 85 6.
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From page 173... ...
• The USGS Earthquake Hazards Program expended a total of $13 million on earthquake physics research in FY2010; this amount included $10.6 million for its internal program and $2.4 million for its external programs. Therefore, FY2010 NEHRP expenditures in support of Task 1 totaled more than $27 million/year, when summed over NSF and USGS.
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From page 174... ...
Because operational costs will increase as the network is developed, it will become increasingly difficult to allocate sufficient capitalization funds for the network to be completed by the target date of 2018 unless there is a substantially increased funding allocation by Congress. • These cost estimates include continued support at existing levels for the Global Seismic Network, an important subsystem of ANSS, currently funded under NEHRP at $9.8 million/year ($5.8 million/year by USGS and $4 million/year by NSF)
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From page 175... ...
A comparable level of expenditure would be needed to develop earthquake forecasting models in California and other seismically active regions of the United States. • The President's FY2011 budget request to Congress allocates $3 million for the production of earthquake information at the National Earthquake Information Center in Golden, CO.
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From page 176... ...
• Experience from conducting the pilot earthquake scenarios indi cates that the level of effort is, in part, dictated by the size of the community. Small communities with populations less than 500,000 people, such as the Evansville, IN, example described in Chapter 2, have been able to map the local geology and site conditions, develop GIS databases for Urban Seismic Hazard Maps, improve local building and critical infrastructure inventories, and run loss estimation models for scenario events for ~$0.5 million over a period of 5 years under the USGS Urban Hazard Mapping Program.
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From page 177... ...
This program would take advantage of the significant advances in hazard loss estimation achieved by the three existing Earthquake Engineering Research Centers over the past dozen years, to synthesize these advances and develop an expert system for higher-level use. The goal is software that would be accessible to expert teams addressing strategic decisions and more severe disasters.
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From page 178... ...
A more detailed implementation budget is included with assumptions as Table E.2 in Appendix E Task 10 -- Socio-economic Research on Hazard Mitigation and Recovery The task includes five research program elements that together total $3 million/year: • Research program on mitigation and recovery, to include studies on the cost and effectiveness of various resilient strategies and the use of these results to inform and develop prospective indices of resilience; estimated at $1 million/year.
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From page 179... ...
• Funding for the high-performance computing equipment required to enable end-to-end simulations is assumed to be available through federal agencies or through universities and facilities funded by federal agencies. Task 13 -- Techniques for Evaluation and Retrofit of Existing Buildings • A table listing annualized costs for years 1-5 ($22.9 million/ year)
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From page 180... ...
• Program coordination and management costs are 20 percent of the combined research, development, and implementation costs for this task, distributed uniformly over the full 20 years. • The costs of NEES operations and maintenance are reported here, but it should be noted that the NEES component contributes substantially to many other tasks, particularly Tasks 13 and 16.
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From page 181... ...
, for a total of $168 million over 20 years. Task 18 -- Earthquake-Resilient Communities and Regional Demonstration Projects • The resources that would be needed at any particular time would depend on the number of communities selected, the amount of matching funds provided, and the number and nature of demonstration projects.
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