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D--Statistical Approaches to Reducing the Probability of False Alarms While Improving the Probability of Detection
Pages 81-85

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From page 81...
... The main assumption is that each time the bag passes through the CT scanner, it provides a different scan. This is reasonable because the bag almost certainly will get positioned somewhat differently at each pass because of the bumps on the conveyor belt.
From page 82...
... Hypothesis 2: The bag is a threat. Given: Y, the number of times out of N the bag is declared a threat by the CT scanner Statistical Model It is obvious that (a)
From page 83...
... 2 Ian Hacking, The Logic of Statistical Inference, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K., 1965; Richard M Royall, Statistical Evidence: A Likelihood Paradigm, Capman and Hall, New York, 1997; Mark L
From page 84...
... The difference between the evidential approach and the NP approach is this: In the evidential paradigm the cut-off point is determined a priori and the error probabilities are calculated afterwards, whereas in the NP approach, the error probabilities are fixed a priori and the cut-off points are determined afterwards. In this particular situation, the author does not see any difference between following the NP approach or the evidential approach.
From page 85...
... However, there are limits as to how much CT scanning technology and the feature detection algorithms can increase the probability of detection. The repeated scanning approach takes the current technology and significantly increases the probability of detection and decreases the probability of false alarm without requiring significant technological breakthroughs.


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