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Summary
Pages 1-6

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From page 1...
... Although Scientific evidence indicates that glaciers in the generally temperatures are increasing and these increases HKH region are retreating at rates comparable to those are likely to accelerate in coming decades, spatial variin other parts of the world, and confirms that the rate ability and gaps in observational data mean that it has accelerated in the past century. In this region, con- remains unclear what specific manifestations of climate ventional wisdom is that glacial meltwater is an impor- change will be in specific places -- including where and tant supplement to naturally occurring runoff from how quickly glaciers might retreat and what the cumuprecipitation and snowmelt.
From page 2...
... consumption patterns, water management decisions there remains substantial scientific uncertainty, snow including groundwater pumping, agricultural water-use and glacial melt will likely continue to be important dynamics, and the extent of pollutants will affect water sources of water in the region and there will be several availability in the region. climatological, glaciological, and hydrological factors Despite these important uncertainties, not every- that control the rate, volume, and timing of snowmelt thing is uncertain or unknown.
From page 3...
... What are the likely major disaster reduction in the region can offer useful lesimpacts on water supplies and flood regimes? sons when considering and addressing the potential Surface water flow is highly seasonal and var- for impacts resulting from glacial retreat and changes ies across the region, as does the relative importance in snowmelt processes in the region.
From page 4...
... history of international river disputes and agreement in Theme 2: Uncertainties exist and will continue to this region suggests that cooperation is a more likely exist in both the physical and social systems. The impact outcome than violent conflict, social conditions may of future climate change is uncertain but will probably have changed in ways that make historical patterns accelerate rates of glacial retreat.
From page 5...
... likely to be affected by changing water security in the Theme 4: In the face of this uncertainty, the most region are the rural and urban poor who have the least compelling need is to improve water management and capacity to adapt to changing environmental and social hazards mitigation systems. Existing patterns of water conditions and hazards.


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