Statewide Travel Forecasting Models (2006) / Chapter Skim
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Appendix C - Literature on Statewide and Intercity Passenger Travel Forecasting
Appendix C - Literature on Statewide and Intercity Passenger Travel Forecasting
Pages 78-86
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From page 78... ...
INTERCITY PASSENGER LITERATURE Intercity travel is a broad heading that includes statewide travel. As used here, the term "intercity" forecasting involves the prediction and assignment of traffic volumes between cities or other points of interest that are separated by some significant distance.
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From page 79... ...
Also, unlike many intercity passenger models, it includes capacity restraints on the network, most notably for the shortage of passenger rail cars. Because it deals with a very practical situation, the Egyptian model could reasonably be noted in the section of this appendix describing statewide forecasting techniques; however, because the transportation situation in Egypt is sufficiently an abstraction of the situation in the United States, it seems fitting to include it with the intercity models.
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From page 80... ...
STATEWIDE PASSENGER FORECASTING LITERATURE Despite the amount of research involving the characteristics of intercity travel and its concentrations on econometric models and probability-based models, passenger travel forecasting, as practiced by the various state DOTs, has remained much more basic. In most of the states contacted as part of the research for this appendix no travel modeling is done on a statewide level.
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From page 81... ...
Auto 2. Truck -- Model created mostly to demonstrate techniques Summer weekend travel is modeled Full trip tables estimated using entropy maximization technique Notes: TAZ = transportation analysis zone; SOV = single-occupancy vehicle; HOV = high-occupancy vehicle; HBW = home-based work; HBNW = home-based nonwork; NHB = nonhome-based; MPO = metropolitan planning organization; LOS = level of service; CTPP = Census Transportation Planning Package; HBO = home-based other; NPTS = National Personal Transportation Survey.
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From page 82... ...
. The Census Transportation Planning Package provides transportation-related information at a transportation analysis zone level, which can be readily aggregated into township- or county-level data for statewide modeling.
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From page 83... ...
C4. Watson, P.L., "Comparison of the Model Structure and Predictive Power of Aggregate and Disaggregate Models of Intercity Mode Choice," Transportation Research Record 527, Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 1974, pp.
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From page 84... ...
C25. Safwat, K.N.A., "Application of Simultaneous Transportation Equilibrium Model to Intercity Passenger Travel in Egypt," Transportation Research Record 1120, Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 1987, pp.
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From page 85... ...
and J Wang, "Interactive Statewide Transportation Planning Modeling Process," Transportation Research Record 1499, Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 1995, pp.
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From page 86... ...
C85. Gyamfi, P., "A Model for Allocating Recreational Travel Demand to National Forests," Highway Research Record 408, Highway Research Board, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 1972, pp.
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