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THE RANGE OF THE THREATS
Pages 4-7

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From page 4...
... Finally, there is also the outside possibility that, perhaps accidentally, perhaps by some serious human miscalculation, perhaps by irrational design, the general war may become a reality. These three situations -- political-economic war, limited military action, and general war -- are considered; war fought with the same type weapons and methods of World War II is not.
From page 5...
... These sizable increases may result in the Bloc proportion of the world fleet increasing from over three percent in 1958 to about eight percent in 1975. Soviet vessels engaged in foreign trade are turning up on almost all major world trade routes except Oceania, South and East Africa, the West Coast of South America, and the United States.
From page 6...
... Scheduled lines are expanding to make regular calls at Near East and Southeast Asian ports as well as South American ports. Technical assistance is also being offered by the Bloc maritime industries to underdeveloped nations which are attempting to build their own fleets.
From page 7...
... Hence, in this study, attrition rates were not emphasized in the evaluation of our transport capability to meet situations of limited war, an omission of little importance in this study. Since limited war is possible at many places around the periphery of the SinoSoviet Bloc, particularly in the Near East and Far East, one of the very serious shortages in future operations may very well be port facilities of any but the crudest types.


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