The National Energy Modeling System (1992) / Chapter Skim
Currently Skimming:
Appendix B: First Advisory Report
Appendix B: First Advisory Report
Pages 103-112
The Chapter Skim interface presents what we've algorithmically identified as the most significant single chunk of text within every page in the chapter.
Select key terms on the right to highlight them within pages of the chapter.
From page 103... ...
A`7p~ B APPENDIX B FIRST ADVISORY REPORT DEVELOPMENT OF THE NATIONAL ENERGY MODELING SYSTEM COMMITTEE ON THE NATIONAL ENERGY MODELING SYSTEM Energy Engineering Board Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems In Chopin with the Committee on National Statistics Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education JanuaIg 30, 1991 NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL WASHINGTON, D.C.
|
From page 104... ...
GOLDSTEIN, Senior Staff Scientist, Natural Resources Defense Council, San Franc~sco, CA LOUIS GORDON, Professor, Department of Mathematics, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA VELLO ~ KUUSKRAA, Chairman, ICE Resources Inc., Fairfax, VA JAMES W UTCHFIELD, Director of Power Planning, Northwest Power Planning Council, Portland, Oregon 97204 STEPHEN C
|
From page 105... ...
. The Chairman and committee members also met with the SecretaIy of Energy and his staff on November 6 and 9, 1990 to exchange views on the use of existing models arid data in on-going energy strategy analysis at the department and on needs for future capabilities of a National Energy Modeling System (NEMS)
|
From page 106... ...
runs or to presume that the models Incorporate a great deal of relevant detailed information that can enhance judgments about the future impact of policy choices, particularly impacts beyond a decade or two. In the presentations that were made to the committee, little reference was made per se to the validation of the models used in the current national energy strategy analysis exercise.
|
From page 107... ...
For example, the influence of the coaldo~nated ARGUS mode} In determining future fuel choices for electric power production in the FOSSIL model could be important and perhaps overly restrictive. Many of the excursions (from the reference cases)
|
From page 108... ...
of the potentials for energy efficiency improvements in the industrial sector. The feasibility of new or alternative energy supply and some end-use technologies appear to rely on estimates made by DOE that are based on limited experience and have a documented history of over-optimism.
|
From page 109... ...
Perhaps, In documenting its current analytical efforts with regard to national energy strategy and communicating findings to the public, DOE should emphasize that the analysis of polity options and combinations thereof were defined and developed drawing on marry resources, only one of which was DOE's modeling capabilities. The decision taken by ache Department of Energy to develop and maintain art effective National Energy Modeling System (NEMS)
|
From page 110... ...
(4) Examine broadly the capabilities of relevant public, academic, industnal, regional, state and international interests and make general recommendations of how the activities of these parties can complement and enhance the capabilities of the DOE and EM The execution of this charge win require significant effort by the Committee to better understand the prospective applications for a National Energy Modeling System within DOE and possibly by other users; to evaluate the existing modeling resources that are available for use by DOE either internal to the department or elsewhere; and finally, to propose an approach which will enhance the modeling support for future policy analysis alla strategic planrung Even available resources.
|
From page 111... ...
Watkins, Secretary of Energy, before Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, United States Senate, Washington, D.C.: U.S. DOE Energy Information Administration (ElA)
|
From page 112... ...
Pearson, Director, Energy Analysis & Forecasting Division, ElA Office of Ener~r Markets and End Use '"Energy Supply - Coal & Electricity: NCM & ARGUS Mary J Hutzler, Director, Electric Power Division, EIA Office of Coal, Nuclear, Electric and Alternate Fuels Energy Supply - Oil & Gash GAMS & PRO LOGS Susan Shaw, Analysis and Forecasting Branch, Resenes and Natural Gas Division, ElA Office of Oil and Gas.
|
Key Terms
This material may be derived from roughly machine-read images, and so is provided only to facilitate research.
More
information on Chapter Skim is available.