The National Energy Modeling System (1992) / Chapter Skim
Currently Skimming:
Executive Summary
Executive Summary
Pages 1-8
The Chapter Skim interface presents what we've algorithmically identified as the most significant single chunk of text within every page in the chapter.
Select key terms on the right to highlight them within pages of the chapter.
From page 1... ...
to advise DOE and the Energy Information Administration (ElA) on the development and application of a modeling system to support energy policy analysis and strategic planning.
|
From page 2... ...
The committee believes that modeling cart play a valuable part in energy policy analysis. ~ its first advisory report issued January 30, 1991, the committee observed that DOE has no comprehensive model or set of models that can respond adequately to the needs of the NES but "the approach taken by DOE in using available models, and off-line supplemental analysis as necessary, was a rational response to the department's need for expedient support of the NES process" (NRC, 1991a; reprinted as AppendLx B to this report; also see Appendix E)
|
From page 3... ...
PRINCIPAL RECOMMENDATIONS liming of NEMS Development I The ElA and DOE should move quickly to configure an initial National Energy Modeling System within the next one to two years and anDIv it to policy issues, including the next National Energy Strategy.
|
From page 4... ...
An important use of NEMS will be for energy policy analysis by those outside of EIA To help ensure the responsiveness of NEMS to users' needs, ElA must maintain close working relationships with potential users, both inside and outside DOE, with experience in policy analysis. Vanous federal and nonfederal organizations have significant data resources and modeling capabilities.
|
From page 5... ...
NEMS must incorporate the behavioral and poli~r-dnven aspects of decisions about energy use, fuel and technology choices, and energy supply investments. Many of the important energy policy issues for the foreseeable future win concern energy consumption and polity options to influence energy consumption.
|
From page 6... ...
The committee believes that at least the reduced-form version of NEMS shoed be configured to run on microcomputers or personal computers.] If the system could run on widely available hardware configurations, such as personal computers, the number of analysts who could use the models would be greatly expanded.
|
From page 7... ...
Use of DOE and EIA data bases should be supplemented by the use of data bases from other federal agencies, state and regional governments, and private organizations. Where appropriate, existing ElA surreys could also be modified to collect new kinds of data without major additional effort.
|
From page 8... ...
Federal investments in technologies for both supply and end use will be evaluated based not only on cost effectiveness but also on environmental and national security concerns. If a better modeling system can guide energy investments in a way that addresses environmental and national security concerns and reduces costs by only a percent, it will have paid for itself a thousand-fold.
|
Key Terms
This material may be derived from roughly machine-read images, and so is provided only to facilitate research.
More
information on Chapter Skim is available.