Evaluation of the Predictive Ecological Model for the Edwards Aquifer Habitat Conservation Plan An Interim Report as Part of Phase 2 (2016) / Chapter Skim
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Modeling Objectives and Usage
Modeling Objectives and Usage
Pages 3-5
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Part of the objectives is to use these models in exploratory and scenario analyses designed to assess HCP actions. This would include model simulations designed to quantify how different scenarios of spring flows and conservation measures under the HCP would affect SAV biomass and distribution and consequently FD population dynamics.
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The focus on using the FD model to predict the responses of FD abundance to alternative HCP flow control packages is useful, but there are other uses of such mechanistic models that should be considered. Two of the most powerful uses of the FD model beyond predicting total abundance are to (1)
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A fundamental shift in emphasis to understanding how flow affects SAV seems to better align with the objectives of how this model will interface with the FD model and with assessing the ecological responses to HCP actions. Developing rules to approximate dispersal within SAV models is an ongoing challenge in the SAV modeling field.
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