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Optimizing the Air Force Acquisition Strategy of Secure and Reliable Electronic Components Proceedings of a Workshop (2016) / Chapter Skim
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Appendix F: Projected Advancements of Existing Technology
Pages 45-50

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From page 45...
... By virtue of the cost of the technological innovations required to mitigate such phenomena, this triggered the economic collapse of any subcritical scale commercial effort in silicon technology, resulting in a handful of leading-edge foundries surviving this transformation of the industry. With an inability to achieve material performance gains by the simple scaling of an existing silicon generation, the industry needed to resort to extremely costly innovations -- in the materials used, the processing employed, device geometry, substrate materials, and a host of other elements -- in producing the following generations.
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From page 46...
... Meyyerson, "Drivi System Performance -- New Para ing P -- A adigm (For m most technolo ogists) ," prese entation to the 2004 Micro e oprocessor Fo orum, San Jos e, Calif.
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From page 47...
... Meyers rd son, "Echoes of DACs Past: From Prediction to Realization and Watts Next? " Design o n, Autommation Confer rence, June 2010, Anahei Calif.
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From page 48...
... . How n d d ems ure wever, to emph hasize the impliccations of this long term, NV VIDIA create the data in F ed Figure F-5 fro preliminar pricing and yield om ry d curves for past and futu generation of silicon technology, as provided by NVIDIA, a f r ure ns t s y fabless produ of ucer graphics chips, and high c hlighted that over time, the drive to mov e to new gene o e erations goes a away as future costs e of manufa acturing cause the cost per transistor for new generat e r tions to remai equal to or above that of prior in f generation (28 nm → 20 nm → 14 nm)
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From page 49...
... This is not to presuppose success or failure of this analysis, but it is critical to comprehend what all associated costs will be upon the acquisition of the foundry in order to make such a judgment. Whereas previously one might dismiss this notion out of hand due to the rapid movement of silicon technology into the future, the asymptotic approach to silicon's "end of life" in terms of further scaling greatly mitigates the rate at which such an asset would become such a legacy so as to burden its users.1 Having made these assertions to the point where further detailed analysis is required, it is also worth turning our attention to other means by which a secure supply line may be maintained without actually acquiring the large and ongoing challenges associated with semiconductor manufacturing.
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Key Terms

  • organizing committee
  • gate oxide
  • existing technology
  • capital expense
  • prior generation

  • leading edge
  • following generations
  • preliminar pricing
  • substrate materials
  • embedded arm

  • level foundries
  • rapid escalation
  • physical design
  • overall operation
  • couples programmable

  • design intensive
  • independently programmed
  • supply line
  • fpga manufacturer
  • limi iting

  • reasonably acquire
  • existing silicon
  • critical fpga
  • commercial effort
  • critical element

  • scaling allowed
  • mechanical phenomena
  • single chips
  • detailed analysis
  • dramatically discounted


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