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From page 241...
... Index A Adaptive management, 176 Adverse effects, see Outcomes and consequences Advisory committees, 96, 123, 200-201 in Florida power plant siting, 21, 125 for procedural review, 153-154, 165 Affected parties definition, 214 economic effects, 45, 70, 71 identification and selection, 30, 8791, 119, 122-123, 146, 147 technical assistance for, 4, 5, 84-85, 88, 93, 135, 160-161 see also Interested parties Agencies, see Government agencies and public officials AIDS drug trials, 21 Alar controversy, 47, 68 Aleatory uncertainty, 106-107 Alternative dispute resolution, 201-203 Analysis and analytic techniques, 3-4 5, 6-7, 30, 73, 97-117, 132, 158159, 163 definition, 214 241 integrity of, 158 legally mandated, 84, 105 qualitative, 97, 101 quantitative, 5, 80, 98, 99-102 role of, 24-26, 98-100 for routine decisions, 103, 114, 158 for simplifying risk, 5, 80, 102-106 standards for, 100-102 and uncertainty, 106-116 value judgments in, 5, 25-26, 39, 6465, 103-104, 105 see also Analytic-deliberative process; Analytic experts and scientists; Cost-benefit analysis; Multiattribute utility analysis; Risk analysis; Synthesis Analytic-deliberative process, 3-7, 2022, 30, 70-71, 118-132, 133-154, 158-161 closure, 6, 9, 129-131 costs and benefits of, 8-10, 85, 133135, 162-163, 164, 165-166 diagnosis of decision situation, 7-8, 23, 137-150, 161-162 evaluation and feedback, 9, 29, 151154, 165
From page 242...
... 242 external political problems, 56, 95, 136-137 implementation, 133-154 information gathering and interpretation, 126-127 iteration in, 6, 9, 21, 163-164, 165, 189-193 organizational capability for, 9, 150-154, 164-166 practicality of, 133-137 problem formulation in, 6, 120-122, 162-163 process design, 6-7, 70-72, 85, 122124, 149, 161, 194-195 synthesis in, 127-129 training for, 164-165 truncation of, 85-86 see also Analysis and analytic techniques; Deliberation Analytic experts and scientists, 30, 82, 165 cognitive factors affecting judgment, 111-113 in group processes, 128-129, 181, 183, 184-185 Anchoring and adjustment, 112 Animal testing, 110 Assistance for participants, 4, 5, 84-85, 88, 93, 135, 160-161 Assumptions, 3, 24, 25, 33, 39, 100, 101 about local conditions, 53-54, 79-80, 88 about organizational behavior, 5556 about regulatory compliance, 54-55 of nonspecialists, 53, 61-64 simplifying, 53-56 Atomic Energy Commission, 49 Availability heuristic, 112 B Boulder, Colorado, transportation planning, 90-91 Brazil radioactive contamination incident, 45 INDEX Broadly based deliberation, 4, 24, 26, 77-78, 79-86, 160-161 definition, 77, 214 C California Comparative Risk Project (CCRP) , 19, 83, 123, 136-137, 193-196 Cancer risk, 56-57, 69, 108, 110 in dioxin reassessment, 16, 17 Catastrophes, organizational anticipation of, 55-56 Chernobyl nuclear accident, 53, 56-57 Chester, Pennsylvania, plant siting, 40 Chlorine, 121, 180 Citizen advisory committees, 96, 123, 200-201 in Florida power plant siting, 21, 125, 190-195 Citizens' juries, 203-204 Citizens' panels, 128-129, 203-204, 206 Clean-up of contaminated sites disruptions caused by, 46 Hanford, Washington, 99 polychlorinated biphenyls, 115 Climate change, 114 Closure rules, 6, 9, 129-131 Coal mining death risks, 50-52 Cognition, see Psychological and cognitive factors Comparative risk, 5, 19, 105-106 see also California Comparative Risk Project Computer-assisted deliberation methods, 205 Consensus building, 115, 130 Consequences, see Outcomes and consequences Constraints on organizations, 92-93, 136-137 Controversies, 147-148 over analytic methods, 24, 25, 134135 effects of deliberation on, 83, 159
From page 243...
... Chester plant siting analysis, 40 dioxin reassessment, 16-17 disinfectant by-products rule, 2021, 120-122, 136-137, 179-188 East Liverpool incinerator assessment, 177-179 ecological risk analysis, 44 and multiple exposure risks, 69 risk assessment procedures, 14, 27, 43n, 75-76 Epistemic uncertainty, 107, 108 Equity, see Fairness and equity issues Ethical issues, 3, 49, 157, 165 Ethnic groups, 40-41, 46 Evaluation and feedback systems, 9, 29, 151-154, 165 Everglades, 18-19, 88, 89, 126-127, 167176 Executive Order 12898, 40-41, 46-47
From page 244...
... , AIDS drugs expedited protocols, 21 Future generations, 47-48 G General Public Utilities, 81 Generic hazard characterization, 141 Generic procedures, 136, 161-162 Government agencies and public officials, 30, 71, 91-92 deliberation process in, 78-79, 86, 87, 94-95 and equity issues, 40-41, 46-47 legal mandates and constraints, 3233, 43, 92, 95, 145-146 missions and budgets, 8, 164, 165166 scientific and research institutes, 9, 152, 165 trust in, 24, 49, 87, 115, 119 use of analytic techniques, 103, 104 see also Department of Defense; INDEX Department of Energy; Department of State; Environmental Protection Agency; Food and Drug Administration; National Transportation Safety Board; Nuclear Regulatory Commission; Regulation and regulatory processes H Hanford, Washington, site clean-up agreement, 99 future uses planning, 80, 123-124, 127, 196-198 Hazardous facilities siting, 45, 46, 124, 176-179, 188-193 I Ignorance, of processes underlying risk, 5, 107, 113, 114 Illness and morbidity, 52 Improving Risk Communication, ix Indeterminacy, 107, 109 Indirect representation, see Surrogates and representatives Individuals compliance with rules, 54-55 crisis behavior, 55 rights of, 42 Information gathering and interpretation, 50-56, 91, 126-127 assistance to participants for, 5, 8485, 160-161 Interactive technology, 205 Interested parties definition, 215 identification and selection, 30, 70, 71, 87-91 see also Affected parties Interested and affected parties, 77 see also Affected parties; Interested parties intergenerational equity, 47-48
From page 245...
... infestation, 41-42, 54, 59 Migrant workers' pesticide exposure, 54,68 Minority populations, 40-41, 46 Mistrust, see Trust and mistrust Models and simulations, 100, 101, 113114, 153, 165, 179 Multiattribute utility analysis, 65-66, 103, 188-189 Multidimensionality of risk, 5, 38-39, 61-66 aggregation and simplification techniques, 61-66, 80, 102-106 Multiple exposures, 69, 178 N National Research Council, studies of risk issues, 75-76 National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) , 89 Negotiated Rulemaking Act of 1990, 181 Negotiation, 202 in regulatory process, 82, 91, 120122, 179-188, 202 Neighborhood disruption, 46 Nevada, Yucca Mountain repository site, 17-18, 47-48, 80 New Jersey raccoon rabies outbreak, 22 water quality regulations, 91, 205 Nonspecialists appropriate role in analysis, 23-24, 25, 26, 105, 134 contributions to knowledge base, 79-80
From page 246...
... 246 risk models and assumptions of, 53, 61-64 Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) and Three Mile Island accident, 81 and waste disposal, 18 Null hypothesis, 25 o Occupational hazards, 59 Options for risk decisions 42-43 124 , , 125 Organizations behaviors of, 55-56 capability for risk characterization, 8-10, 148-149, 150-154, 164-166 communication within, 9, 56 evaluation and feedback systems, 9, 151-154, 165 structural changes, 150-151, 165 see also Government agencies and public officials Outcomes and consequences, 3, 42-50, 125-126, 157 Overconfidence, 112-113 p Participation and participants, 3, 7, 9, 30, 31, 71-72, 132, 157, 158 identification and selection, 4, 5, 8991, 122-123, 160 indirect representation, 30, 85, 8889, 90, 123, 160 legal constraints, 23, 92, 123 rationales for broad inclusion, 2324,74 technical assistance for, 4, 5, 84-85, 88, 93, 135, 160-161 timing, 91 see also Affected parties; Analytic experts and scientists; Broadly based deliberation; Citizens' panels; Interested parties; Nonspecialists INDEX Peer review, 74-75 Perceived risk, 61-65 Point estimates, 67, 111 Policy dialogues, 201 Pollution prevention, 41-42 Polychlorinated biphenyls, cleanup controversy, 115 Populations at risk, 3, 40-41, 46, 68, 157, 178 Pretesting of risk information materials, 9, 151, 153 Probability, 107, 112-113 Problem formulation, 6, 25, 29, 38-42, 79, 91, 120-122, 162-163, 175-176, 182-184 definition, 215 summarization and framing, 56-61, 80 Procedural rules, 6, 130, 131, 160 Process design, 6-7, 70-72, 85, 122-124, 149, 161, 194-195 Property values, 45 Prospect theory, 57-61 Psychological and cognitive factors, 24, 57-61, 68 affecting judgment under uncertainty, 111-113 Public hearings, 199-200 Public meetings, 22, 96, 199, 200 Public officials, see Government agencies and public officials Public opinion, 148 Q Qualitative analysis, 45, 97, 101 Quantitative analysis, 5, 80, 98, 99-102 Quasi-experimental research, 153, 165 R Racial groups, 40-41,46 Radiation experiments, 49 Random selection, 90-91 Random variation, 5, 106-107, 159 Reading ability, 54, 68, 69
From page 247...
... . clec~s~ons Risk ladders, 80 Risk management, 15, 33-35 Risk ranking, 19, 105, 193-196
From page 248...
... 248 Routine decisions, 8, 22-23, 119, 139140, 158, 161-162, see also Standard procedures analytic procedures, 103, 114, 158 deliberations for, 77-78 Rural areas, vaccination programs, 68 S Saccharin cancer risk studies, 110 Safe Water Drinking Act, 180, 186-187 Sampling techniques, 90-91, 112 Scenario-consequence analysis, 173 Science, 24-26, see also Analysis and analytic techniques Scientists, see Analytic experts and scientists Self-selection, 90 Simplification techniques, 61-66, 80, 102-106 Simplifying assumptions, 53-56 Simulation, see Models and simulations Siting decisions, 45, 46, 47, 124, 176179, 188-193 participatory deliberation in, 82, 124-125 Social factors in trusting government agencies, 24, 115 in understanding uncertainty, 6, 114-116, 159 Social issues in risk characterization, 3, 26, 45-47, 98, 109, 157, 165, 194-195 costs of analysis, 133-134 South Florida ecosystem restoration project, 18-19, 88, 89, 126-127, 167-176 Space shuttle Challenger explosion, 56 Standard procedures, 8, 22-23, 26, 94, 106, 114, 118-119, 151, 161, see also Routine decisions Statistical assumptions, 25 Stigmatization, 46, 47 Summarization, 56-61, 80 Surprise events, 5, 113 INDEX Surrogates and representatives, 30, 85, 88-89, 90, 123, 160, see also Participation and participants Surveys, 153, 204 and New Jersey rabies outbreak, 22 Survival rates, 57 Synergistic effects, 69 Synthesis, 7, 29-30, 32-33, 56-70, 127 129, 132 T Task forces, 165, 200-201 and New Jersey rabies outbreak, 22 Technical assistance, 4, 5, 84-85, 88, 93, 135, 160-161 Three Mile Island, Pennsylvania, nuclear accident, 48, 56, 81 Three-step deliberation methods, 91, 120, 127-129, 205-206 Time discounting technique, 48 Timetables and time constraints, 92, 130-131, 148 Training, 8-9, 164-165 Trust and mistrust, 24 of government agencies, 24, 49, 87, 115, 119 participation relative to, 119 U Uncertainty, 3, 5-6, 66-67, 101, 106-116, 158, 159 analytic methods for, 80, 108, 110111 and conservatism, 66-67 cultural factors and, 114-116 sources of, 5-6, 106-107, 159 suppression of, 115 unrecognized, 5-6, 107 Unfunded mandates, 42, 49 U.S. agencies, see Government agencies and public officials; other part of agency name US MAB, see Man and Biosphere Program
From page 249...
... (WTI) , 176 179 249 Weights and weighting methods, 26, 52, 64-66, 103-104, 189 Wide-impact risk decisions, 140-141 unique, 8, 22, 139 Working groups, 123-124, 165, 196-198 y Yucca Mountain repository site, 17-18, 39, 47-48, 80


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