MEETING 1
JUNE 26-27, 2013
KECK CENTER OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES
WASHINGTON, D.C.
Vision for the Study
Michael Shoults, Senior Executive Service, Office of the Assistant Chief of Staff of the Air Force for Strategic Deterrence and Nuclear Integration, Headquarters U.S. Air Force
Air Force Global Strike Command Perspectives
Duane Hiebsch, Chief, Strategic Plans (A8X)
Regional Conflict and Nuclear Deterrence
David Stein, Office of the Secretary of Defense (Policy)
Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) Perspectives
Pamela McCue, Deputy Director for Analytic Resources, DIA
Discrimination and Escalation Management in U.S. Nuclear Policy
Elbridge Colby, Principal Analyst and Division Lead for Global Strategic Affairs, Strategic Initiatives Group, Center for Naval Analyses
Joint Staff Perspectives
Timothy G. Fay, Deputy Director, Command, Control and Nuclear Operations, Joint Staff
Recent Deterrence Studies at IDA
Mike Wheeler, Senior Research Staff Member, Institute for Defense Analyses
RAND Corporation (Results of Recent Studies)
Paul Davis, Principal Researcher, Pardee Graduate School
MEETING 2
SEPTEMBER 17-19, 2013
U.S. STRATEGIC COMMAND
OFFUTT AIR FORCE BASE, NEBRASKA
Deterrence Planning
STRATCOM J52, J53, J55
Wargaming
STRATCOM J55
Force Structure Analysis
STRATCOM J55 and J87
Stockpile Sizing
STRATCOM J87
Campaign Plan Assessment
STRATCOM J9
Ongoing Areas of Improvement
JFCC GS, STRATCOM J55
MEETING 3
OCTOBER 8-9, 2013
KECK CENTER OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES
WASHINGTON, D.C.
North Korea’s WMD Profile
Katy Hassig, Senior Research Staff Member, Institute for Defense Analyses
Iran
Gregory Giles, SAIC
Deterrence of Russia: Past and Present
Linton F. Brooks, Department of Energy (retired)
China
J. Stapleton Roy, Distinguished Scholar and Founding Director Emeritus, Kissinger Institute on China and the United States Wilson Center
Deterrence and the Social Sciences
Hriar Cabayan, Joint Staff/J-38
Narrative Dimensions of Deterrence: Recent Developments in Neurobiology
William Casebeer, Program Manager, DARPA
MEETING 4
NOVEMBER 19-21, 2013
ARNOLD AND MABEL BECKMAN CENTER
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT IRVINE
Crisis Stability and Long-Range Strike
Forrest Morgan, Senior Political Scientist, RAND Corporation
Reducing the Great Divide: Leveraging the Data Deluge to Modernize Operational Deterrence Analytics
Andrea Little Limbago, Chief Social Scientist, Berico Technologies
Ballistic Missile Defense and Associated Analytic Issues
John Ahearne, Executive Director Emeritus, Sigma Xi, The Scientific Research Society
An Enabler for Smart Power Analytics: The Hybridization of Algorithmic and Heuristical Methodologies and Tools—The Vit Tall Analytical Approach
Steve Chan, Director/Senior Fellow, IBM Network Science Research Center/Harvard Kennedy School Center for Public Leadership
WMD and Deterrence: A Game-Theoretic Overview
Robert Powell, Robson Professor of Political Science, University of California, Berkeley
Quantitative Approaches to the Study of Nuclear Deterrence
Matthew Fuhrmann, Assistant Professor of Political Science, Texas A&M University
Deterrence in Context
Patrick Morgan, Emeritus Tierney Chair, Peace and Conflict, Political Science School of Social Sciences, University of California, Irvine
Sanctions, Statecraft, and Nuclear Proliferation
Etel Solingen, Thomas T. and Elizabeth C. Tierney Chair in Peace Studies, Political Science School of Social Sciences, University of California, Irvine
Perspectives
Brad Roberts, William J. Perry Fellow in International Security, Stanford University
WRITING MEETINGS
• Meeting 5, December 17-19, 2013, AT&T Conference Center, University of Texas, Austin
• Meeting 6, January 13-15, 2014, The Keck Center of the National Academies, Washington, D.C.