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189 A P P E N D I X C NEMS Energy Consumption Forecasts Percentage of quadrillion Btu (unless otherwise noted) Supply and Disposition 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 MODERATE ECONOMIC GROWTH CASE Production Crude Oil and Lease Condensate 16% 16% 15% 14% 12% Natural Gas Plant Liquids 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% Dry Natural Gas 28% 25% 26% 26% 25% Coal 29% 29% 28% 29% 33% Nuclear Power 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% Hydropower 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% Biomass 5% 7% 9% 10% 9% Other Renewable Energy 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% Other 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Imports Crude Oil 66% 64% 65% 64% 64% Liquid Fuels 18% 19% 20% 21% 22% Natural Gas 13% 14% 13% 10% 8% Other Imports 3% 3% 3% 5% 7% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 102% Exports Petroleum 55% 57% 59% 60% 60% Natural Gas 17% 22% 28% 29% 31% Coal 28% 20% 13% 11% 9% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Consumption Liquid Fuels 38% 37% 37% 36% 36% Natural Gas 24% 22% 22% 22% 21% Coal 21% 22% 22% 23% 26% Nuclear Power 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% Hydropower 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% Biomass 3% 4% 5% 4% 3% Other Renewable Energy 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% Other 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 101% (continued on next page)
190 Sustainability as an Organizing Principle for Transportation Agencies Percentage of quadrillion Btu (unless otherwise noted) Supply and Disposition 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 LOW ECONOMIC GROWTH CASE Production Crude Oil and Lease Condensate 16% 16% 16% 16% 16% Natural Gas Plant Liquids 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% Dry Natural Gas 28% 25% 26% 26% 26% Coal 29% 29% 28% 28% 27% Nuclear Power 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% Hydropower 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% Biomass 5% 7% 8% 10% 12% Other Renewable Energy 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% Other 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 101% Imports Crude Oil 66% 64% 65% 63% 61% Liquid Fuels 18% 19% 19% 20% 22% Natural Gas 13% 14% 12% 11% 10% Other Imports 3% 3% 3% 5% 13% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 105% Exports Petroleum 55% 57% 58% 57% 55% Natural Gas 17% 23% 29% 33% 36% Coal 28% 20% 13% 11% 9% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 101% Consumption Liquid Fuels 38% 37% 37% 36% 34% Natural Gas 24% 22% 22% 22% 22% Coal 21% 22% 22% 23% 24% Nuclear Power 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% Hydropower 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% Biomass 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% Other Renewable Energy 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% Other 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% HIGH ECONOMIC GROWTH CASE Production Crude Oil and Lease Condensate 16% 16% 15% 13% 11% Natural Gas Plant Liquids 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% Dry Natural Gas 28% 25% 26% 25% 24% Coal 29% 29% 28% 28% 28% Nuclear Power 12% 11% 10% 10% 11% Hydropower 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% Biomass 5% 7% 10% 13% 16% Other Renewable Energy 3% 5% 5% 5% 5% Other 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 101%
NEMS Energy Consumption Forecasts 191 Percentage of quadrillion Btu (unless otherwise noted) Supply and Disposition 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Imports Crude Oil 66% 65% 64% 65% 67% Liquid Fuels 18% 19% 20% 21% 21% Natural Gas 13% 13% 12% 10% 8% Other Imports 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 101% Exports Petroleum 55% 58% 62% 64% 69% Natural Gas 17% 21% 26% 25% 24% Coal 28% 20% 12% 11% 9% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 101% Consumption Liquid Fuels 38% 38% 37% 37% 36% Natural Gas 24% 22% 22% 21% 20% Coal 21% 22% 21% 21% 22% Nuclear Power 9% 8% 8% 8% 9% Hydropower 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% Biomass 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% Other Renewable Energy 2% 4% 4% 4% 4% Other 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 101%