National Academies Press: OpenBook

Development of a Runway Veer-Off Location Distribution Risk Assessment and Reporting Template (2014)

Chapter: Appendix C - Lateral Deviation Models for Normalization Alternative 1 Runway Distance Available

« Previous: Appendix B - Summary of Accidents and Incidents for Modeling
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Lateral Deviation Models for Normalization Alternative 1 Runway Distance Available." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2014. Development of a Runway Veer-Off Location Distribution Risk Assessment and Reporting Template. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/22411.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Lateral Deviation Models for Normalization Alternative 1 Runway Distance Available." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2014. Development of a Runway Veer-Off Location Distribution Risk Assessment and Reporting Template. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/22411.
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Lateral Deviation Models for Normalization Alternative 1 Runway Distance Available." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2014. Development of a Runway Veer-Off Location Distribution Risk Assessment and Reporting Template. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/22411.
×
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Lateral Deviation Models for Normalization Alternative 1 Runway Distance Available." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2014. Development of a Runway Veer-Off Location Distribution Risk Assessment and Reporting Template. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/22411.
×
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Suggested Citation:"Appendix C - Lateral Deviation Models for Normalization Alternative 1 Runway Distance Available." National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2014. Development of a Runway Veer-Off Location Distribution Risk Assessment and Reporting Template. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: 10.17226/22411.
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Page 77

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73 Lateral Deviation Models for Normalization Alternative 1—Runway Distance Available The figures presented in this Appendix illustrate the lateral deviation models developed when normalizing the longitudinal veer-off distances with the runway distance available (RDA) A P P E N D I X C 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Pr ob ab ili ty th at D ev ia tio n Ex ce ed s t he Di st an ce Distance from Runway Edge (ft) Figure C1. Lateral probability distribution: – Subarea 1—distances normalized by RDA. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Pr ob ab ili ty th at D ev ia tio n Ex ce ed s t he Di st an ce Distance from Runway Edge (ft) Figure C2. Lateral probability distribution: – Subarea 2—distances normalized by RDA.

74 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Pr ob ab ili ty th at D ev ia tio n Ex ce ed s t he Di st an ce Distance from Runway Edge (ft) Figure C3. Lateral probability distribution: Subarea 3—distances normalized by RDA. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Pr ob ab ili ty th at D ev ia tio n Ex ce ed s t he Di st an ce Distance from Runway Edge (ft) Figure C4. Lateral probability distribution: Subarea 4—distances normalized by RDA.

75 Figure C5. Lateral probability distribution: Subarea 5—distances normalized by RDA. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Pr ob ab ili ty th at D ev ia tio n Ex ce ed s t he Di st an ce Distance from Runway Edge (ft) Figure C6. Lateral probability distribution: Subarea 6—distances normalized by RDA. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Pr ob ab ili ty th at D ev ia tio n Ex ce ed s t he Di st an ce Distance from Runway Edge (ft)

76 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Pr ob ab ili ty th at D ev ia tio n Ex ce ed s t he Di st an ce Distance from Runway Edge (ft) Figure C7. Lateral probability distribution: – Subarea 7—distances normalized by RDA. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Pr ob ab ili ty th at D ev ia tio n Ex ce ed s t he Di st an ce Distance from Runway Edge (ft) Figure C8. Lateral probability distribution: Subarea 8—distances normalized by RDA.

77 Figure C10. Lateral probability distribution: Subarea 10—distances normalized by RDA. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Pr ob ab ili ty th at D ev ia tio n Ex ce ed s t he Di st an ce Distance from Runway Edge (ft) 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Pr ob ab ili ty th at D ev ia tio n Ex ce ed s t he Di st an ce Distance from Runway Edge (ft) Figure C9. Lateral probability distribution: – Subarea 9—distances normalized by RDA.

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TRB’s Airport Cooperative Research Program (ACRP) Report 107: Development of a Runway Veer-Off Location Distribution Risk Assessment and Reporting Template explores a method to assess the risk of lateral runway excursions, also known as veer-offs, and suggests ways to improve veer-off incident/accident reporting.

In addition to the report, this project also developed the Lateral Runway Safety Area Risk Analysis (LRSARA) tool that can be used to help determine the probability of runway veer-offs in specific areas at particular airports. The LRSARA tool is available in CD-ROM format that is included with the print version of the report.

The CD-ROM is also available for download from TRB’s website as an ISO image. Links to the ISO image and instructions for burning a CD-ROM from an ISO image are provided below.

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CD-ROM Disclaimer - This software is offered as is, without warranty or promise of support of any kind either expressed or implied. Under no circumstance will the National Academy of Sciences or the Transportation Research Board (collectively "TRB") be liable for any loss or damage caused by the installation or operation of this product. TRB makes no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, in fact or in law, including without limitation, the warranty of merchantability or the warranty of fitness for a particular purpose, and shall not in any case be liable for any consequential or special damages.

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