Analysis of Existing Data: Prospective Views on Methodological Paradigms (2012)

Below is the uncorrected machine-read text of this chapter, intended to provide our own search engines and external engines with highly rich, chapter-representative searchable text of each book. Because it is UNCORRECTED material, please consider the following text as a useful but insufficient proxy for the authoritative book pages.

71 Abdel-Aty, M. A., R. Kitamura, and P. P. Jovanis. 1995a. Investigating Effect of Travel Time Variability on Route Choice Using Repeated- Measurement Stated Preference Data. In Transportation Research Record 1493, TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., pp. 39–45. Abdel-Aty, M. A., R. Kitamura, and P. P. Jovanis. 1995b. Exploring Route Choice Behavior Using Geographic Information System– Based Alternative Routes and Hypothetical Travel Time Informa- tion Input. In Transportation Research Record 1493, TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., pp. 74–80. http://pubsindex .trb.org/view/452596. Abdel-Aty, M. A., R. Kitamura, P. P. Jovanis, P. Reddy, and K. M. Vaughn. 1995. New Approach to Route Choice Data Collection: Multiphase, Computer-Aided Telephone Interview Panel Surveys Using Geographical Information Systems Data Base. In Transporta- tion Research Record 1493, TRB, National Research Council, Wash- ington, D.C., pp. 159–169. http://pubsindex.trb.org/view/452606. Aguero-Valverde, J., and P. P. Jovanis. 2006. Spatial Analysis of Fatal and Injury Crashes in Pennsylvania. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 38, No. 3, pp. 618–625. Aguero-Valverde, J., and P. P. Jovanis. 2007. Identifying Road Segments with High Risk of Weather-Related Crashes Using Full Bayesian Hierarchical Models. Presented at 86th Annual Meeting of the Trans- portation Research Board, Washington, D.C. http://pubsindex.trb .org/view.aspx?id=801198. Aguero-Valverde, J., and P. P. Jovanis. 2008. Analysis of Road Crash Frequency with Spatial Models. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2061, Transporta- tion Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., pp. 55–63. http://trb.metapress.com/content/fu64443w36487316/. Aguero-Valverde, J., and P. P. Jovanis. 2010. Bayesian Multivariate Poisson Lognormal Models for Crash Severity Modeling and Site Ranking. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Trans- portation Research Board, No. 2136, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., pp. 82–91. http://trb .metapress.com/content/y458112n72mj133w/. Ayres, G., B. Wilson, and J. LeBlanc. 2004. Method for Identifying Vehicle Movements for Analysis of Field Operational Test Data. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 1886, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., pp. 92–100. http://trb.metapress .com/content/x715q2n5g1n27068/. Bogard, S., P. Fancher, R. Ervin, M. Hagan, and Z. Bareket. 1998. Intel- ligent Cruise Control Field Operational Test. Final report, Vol. 3. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation. http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/jpodocs/edldocs1/9005/ Vol3.pdf. Bonneson, J. A. 2000. NCHRP Report 439: Superelevation Distribution Methods and Transition Designs. Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C. Chang, H. L., and P. P. Jovanis. 1990. Formulating Accident Occurrence As a Survival Process. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 22, No. 5, pp. 407–419. Chayanan, S., M. Nebergall, V. Shankar, N. Juvva, and Y. Ouyang. 2003. Interaction Between the Roadway and Roadside: An Econometric Anal- ysis of Design and Environmental Factors Affecting Segment Accident Rates. Research Report WA-RD 562.1. Washington State Department of Transportation, Olympia. Cleves, M., and I. Cañette. 2009. Analysis of Multiple Failure-Time Survival Data. Stata Corp., College Station, Tex. Congdon, P. 2001. Bayesian Statistical Modelling. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, United Kingdom. DaSilva, M., and W. G. Najm. 2006. Development of Collision Avoid- ance Data for Light Vehicles: Near-Crash/Crash Event Data Record- ers. Report DOT-VNTSC-NHTSA-06-03. John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, Mass. http://ntl.bts .gov/lib/34000/34700/34724/DOT-VNTSC-NHTSA-06-03.pdf. Design Quality Assurance Bureau and New York Department of Transportation. 2003. Recommendations for AASHTO Supereleva- tion Design. http://downloads.transportation.org/Superelevation Discussion9-03.pdf. Dingus, T. A. 1995. Moving from Measures of Performance (MOPs) to Measures of Effectiveness (MOEs). Safety Evaluation of Intelligent Transportation Systems Workshop Proceedings, ITS America and National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Reston, Va. Dingus, T. A., S. Hetrick, and M. Mollenhauer. 1999. Empirical Methods in Support of Crash Avoidance Model Building and Benefits Estima- tion. ITS Journal, Vol. 5, No. 2, pp. 93–125. Dingus, T. A., S. G. Klauer, V. L. Neale, A. Petersen, S. E. Lee, J. Sud- weeks, M. A. Perez, J. Hankey, D. Ramsey, S. Gupta, C. Bucher, Z. R. Doerzaph, J. Jermeland, and R. R. Knipling. 2006. The 100-Car Naturalistic Driving Study, Phase II: Results of the 100-Car Field Experiment. Report DOT HS 810 593. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation. www .nhtsa.gov/DOT/NHTSA/NRD/Multimedia/PDFs/Crash%20 Avoidance/Driver%20Distraction/100CarMain.pdf. Dingus, T. A., V. L. Neale, S. G. Klauer, A. D. Petersen, and R. J. Carroll. 2006. The Development of a Naturalistic Data Collection System to References

72 Jovanis, P. P., and H. Chang. 1986. “Modeling the Relationship of Acci- dents to Miles Traveled.” Transportation Research Record 1068, TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., pp. 42–51. Jovanis, P. P., and F. Gross. 2007. Estimation of Safety Effectiveness of Changes in Shoulder Width with Case Control and Cohort Methods. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2019, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., pp. 237–245. http://trb .metapress.com/content/aukqg56541163427/. Kiefer, R. J., M. T. Cassar, C. A. Flannagan, D. J. LeBlanc, M. D. Palmer, R. K. Deering, and M. Shulman. 2003. Forward Collision Warn ing Requirements Project Final Report Task 1: Refining the CAMP Crash Alert Timing Approach by Examining “Last-Second” Braking and Lane-Change Maneuvers Under Various Kinematic Conditions. DOT HS 809 574. National Highway Transportation Safety Administra- tion and Department of Transportation, Washington, D.C. Kim, D.-G., Y. Lee, S. Washington, and K. Choi. 2007. Modeling Crash Outcome Probabilities at Rural Intersections: Application of Hier- archical Binomial Logistic Models. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 39, No. 1, pp. 125–134. Klauer, S. G., T. A. Dingus, V. L. Neale, J. D. Sudweeks, and D. J. Ramsey. 2006. The Impact of Driver Inattention on Near-Crash/ Crash Risk: An Analysis Using the 100-Car Naturalistic Driving Study Data. Report No. DOT-HS-810-594. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation. www.nhtsa .gov/DOT/NHTSA/NRD/Multimedia/PDFs/Crash%20Avoidance/ 2006/DriverInattention.pdf. Lambert, D. 1992. Zero-Inflated Poisson Regression, with an Application to Defects in Manufacturing. Technometrics, Vol. 34, No. 1, pp. 1–14. LeBlanc, D., J. Sayer, C. Winkler, R. Ervin, S. Bogard, J. Devonshire, M. Mefford, M. Hagan, Z. Bareket, R. Goodsell, and T. Gordon. 2006. Road Departure Crash Warning System Field Operational Test: Methodology and Results. Volume 1: Technical Report. University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute, Ann Arbor. Lee, S. E., E. C. B. Olsen, and W. W. Wierwille. 2004. A Comprehensive Examination of Naturalistic Lane-Changes. Report DOT HS 809 702. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation. www.nhtsa.gov/DOT/NHTSA/NRD/Multimedia/ PDFs/Crash%20Avoidance/2004/Lane%20Change%20Final.pdf. Lenguerrand, E., J. L. Martin, and B. Laumon. 2006. Modelling the Hierarchical Structure of Road Crash Data: Application to Severity Analysis. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 38, No. 1, pp. 43–53. Lord, D. 2006. Modeling Motor Vehicle Crashes Using Poisson-Gamma Models: Examining the Effects of Low Sample Mean Values and Small Sample Size on the Estimation of the Fixed Dispersion Param- eter. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 38, No. 4, pp. 751–766. Lord, D., S. Washington, and J. N. Ivan. 2007. Further Notes on the Application of Zero-Inflated Models in Highway Safety. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 39, No. 1, pp. 53–57. Lord, D., S. P. Washington, and J. N. Ivan. 2005. Poisson, Poisson- Gamma and Zero-Inflated Regression Models of Motor Vehicle Crashes: Balancing Statistical Fit and Theory. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 37, No. 1, pp. 35–46. McLaughlin, S. B., J. M. Hankey, and T. A. Dingus. 2008. A Method for Evaluating Collision Avoidance Systems Using Naturalistic Driving Data. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 40, No. 1, pp. 8–16. Miaou, S. P. 1994. The relationship between truck accidents and geomet- ric design of road sections: Poisson versus negative binomial regres- sions. Accident Analysis & Prevention, Vol. 26, No. 4, pp. 471–482. Milton, J. C., and F. L. Mannering. 1996. The Relationship Between Highway Geometrics, Traffic Related Elements, and Motor Vehicle Perform Critical Incident Analysis: An Investigation of Safety and Fatigue Issues in Long-Haul Trucking. Accident Analysis and Pre- vention, Vol. 38, No. 6, pp. 1127–1136. Dula, C. S., and M. E. Ballard. 2003. Development and Evaluation of a Measure of Dangerous, Aggressive, Negative Emotional, and Risky Driving. Journal of Applied Social Psychology, Vol. 33, No. 2, pp. 263–282. Ervin, R., J. Sayer, D. LeBlanc, S. Bogard, M. Mefford, M. Hagan, Z. Bareket, and C. Winkler. 2005. Automotive Collision Avoidance System Field Operational Test Report: Methodology and Results. Report DOT HS-809-900. National Highway Traffic Safety Admin- istration, U.S. Department of Transportation. www.nhtsa.gov/ DOT/NHTSA/NRD/Multimedia/PDFs/Crash%20Avoidance/ 2005/809900All.pdf. Fitzpatrick, K., M. Wooldridge, O. Tsimoni, J. Collins, P. Green, K. Bauer, K. Parma, R. Koppa, D. Harwood, I. Anderson, R. Krammes, and B. Poggioli. 2000. Alternative Design Consistency Rating Methods for Two-Lane Rural Highways. Federal Highway Administration Report FHWA-RD-99-172, Springfield, VA. Gelman, A., J. B. Carlin, H. S. Stern, and D. B. Rubin. 2003. Bayesian Data Analysis, 2nd ed. Chapman and Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, Fla. Glennon, J. C. 2006. Calculating Critical Speed: A Motor-Vehicle Crash Reconstruction Method Fraught with Error. Motor Vehicle Accident and Reconstruction Services. CrashForensics.com. www .johncglennon.com/papers.cfm?PaperID=42. Goldstein, H. 1995. Multilevel Statistical Models, 2nd ed. Edward Arnold, London. Greenberg, R. S., S. R. Daniels, W. D. Flanders, J. W. Eley, and J. R. Boring. 1993. Medical Epidemiology. Norwalk, CT: Appleton & Lange. Hanowski, R. J., J. Hickman, M. C. Fumero, R. L. Olson, and T. A. Dingus. 2007. The Sleep of Commercial Vehicle Drivers Under the 2003 Hours-of-Service Regulations. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 39, No. 6, pp. 1140–1145. Hanowski, R. J., J. S. Hickman, W. Wierwille, and A. Keisler. 2007. A Descriptive Analysis of Light Vehicle–Heavy Vehicle Interactions Using in Situ Driving Data. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 39, No. 1, pp. 169–179. Hanowski, R. J., M. A. Perez, and T. A. Dingus. 2005. Driver Distrac- tion in Long-Haul Truck Drivers. Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour, Vol. 8, No. 6, pp. 441–458. Hauer, E., and P. Gårder. 1986. Research into the Validity of the Traffic Conflicts Technique. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 18, No. 6, pp. 471–481. Heinrich, H. W., D. Petersen, and N. Roos. 1980. Industrial Accident Prevention. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company. Helai, H., C. H. Chor, and M. M. Haque. 2008. Severity of Driver Injury and Vehicle Damage in Traffic Crashes at Intersections: A Bayesian Hierarchical Analysis. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 40, No. 1, pp. 45–54. Hilbe, J. M. 2007. Negative Binomial Regression. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom. Ja Lim, H., J. Liu, and M. Melzer-Lange. 2007. Comparison of Methods for Analyzing Recurrent Events Data: Application to the Emergency Department Visits of Pediatric Firearm Victims. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 39, No. 2, pp. 290–299. Jones, A. P., and S. H. Jorgensen. 2003. The Use of Multilevel Models for the Prediction of Road Accident Outcomes. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 35, No. 1, pp. 59–69. Jovanis, P. P., and H.-L. Chang. 1989. Disaggregate Model of Highway Accident Occurrence Using Survival Theory. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 21, No. 5, pp. 445–458.

73 Sittikariya, S., and M.-B. Shyu. 2006. Some Insights on Roadway Infra- structure Design for Safe Elderly Pedestrian Travel. IATSS Research, Vol. 30, No. 1, pp. 21–26. Sittikariya, S., and V. Shankar. 2007. Bayesian Formulations of Hetero- geneity in Traffic Accident Count Models. Proc., 11th World Confer- ence on Transport Research, Berkeley, Calif. Spacek, P. 2005. Track Behavior in Curve Areas: Attempt at Typology. Journal of Transportation Engineering, Vol. 131, No. 9, pp. 669–676. Stutts, J., J. Feaganes, D. Reinfurt, E. Rodgman, C. Hamlett, K. Gish, and L. Staplin. 2005. Driver’s Exposure to Distractions in Their Natural Driving Environment. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 37, No. 6, pp. 1093–1101. Sullivan, J. M., O. Tsimhoni, and S. Bogard. 2007. Warning Reliability and Driver Performance in Naturalistic Driving. Report UMTRI- 2007-44. University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute, Ann Arbor. Thomas, A., B. O’Hara, U. Ligges, and S. Sturtz. 2006. Making BUGS Open. R News, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 12–17. Tijerina, L., M. Gleckler, D. Stoltzfus, S. Johnston, M. J. Goodman, and W. W. Wierwille. 1999. A Preliminary Assessment of Algo- rithms for Drowsy and Inattentive Driver Detection on the Road. Report DOT HS 808. National Highway Traffic Safety Adminis- tration, U.S. Department of Transportation. www.nhtsa.gov/ DOT/NHTSA/NRD/Multimedia/PDFs/VRTC/ca/capubs/ drowsydr.pdf. Toledo, T., and D. Zohar. 2007. Modeling the Duration of Lane Changes. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 1999, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., pp. 71–78. http://trb.meta press.com/content/671172564248ll40/. Vuong, Q. 1989. Likelihood Ratio Tests for Model Selection and Non- nested Hypotheses. Econometrica, Vol. 57, pp. 307–334. Washington, S. P., M. G. Karlaftis, and F. L. Mannering. 2003. Statisti- cal and Econometric Methods for Transportation Analysis. Chapman and Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, Fla. Wilson, B. H., M. D. Stearns, J. Koopmann, and C. Y. D. Yang. 2007. Evaluation of a Road-Departure Crash Warning System. Report DOT HS 810 854. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation. www.nhtsa.gov/DOT/NHTSA/ NRD/Multimedia/PDFs/Crash%20Avoidance/2007/4638-810_ 854%20RDCW%20EvalCLTest.pdf. Wolfinger, R., and M. O’Connell. 1993. Generalized Linear Mixed Models: A Pseudo-Likelihood Approach. Journal of Statistical Com- putation and Simulation, Vol. 48, No. 3, pp. 233–243. Woodward, M. 2005. Epidemiology: Study Design and Data Analysis, 2nd ed. Chapman and Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, Fla. Yannis, G., E. Papadimitriou, C. Antoniou. 2008. Impact of enforce- ment on traffic accidents and fatalities: a multivariate multilevel analysis. Safety Science, Vol. 46, pp. 738–750. Yannis, G., E. Papadimitriou, and C. Antoniou. 2007. Multilevel Mod- elling for the Regional Effect of Enforcement on Road Accidents. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 39, No. 4, pp. 818–825. Accidents. Final Research Report, WA-RD 403.1. Washington State Department of Transportation, Washington. Mooney, C. Z., and R. D. Duval. 1993. Bootstrapping: A Nonparametric Approach to Statistical Inference. Sage University Paper Series on Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences 07-095. Sage, Newbury Park, Calif. Neale, V. L., T. A. Dingus, S. G. Klauer, J. Sudweeks, and M. Goodman. 2005. An Overview of the 100-Car Naturalistic Study and Findings. Report VTRC-05-0400. National Highway Traffic Safety Adminis- tration, U.S. Department of Transportation. NHTSA. 2005. Automotive Collision Avoidance System Field Operational Test (ACAS FOT). Report DOT HS 809 886. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, Washington, D.C. www.nhtsa.gov/DOT/NHTSA/NRD/Multimedia/ PDFs/Crash%20Avoidance/2005/ACAS%20FOT%20Final%20 Program%20Report%20DOT%20HS%20809%20886.pdf. Poch, M., and F. L. Mannering. 1996. Negative Binomial Analysis of Intersection-Accident Frequencies. Journal of Transportation Engi- neering, Vol. 122, No. 2, pp. 105–113. Rasbash, J., H. Goldstein, and W. J. Browne. 2000. The MLwiN Command Interface. Institute of Education, London. Rasbash, J., H. Goldstein, and W. J. Browne. 2002. A User’s Guide to MLwiN. Institute of Education, London. Sayer, J. R., J. M. Devonshire, and C. A. Flannagan. 2005. The Effects of Secondary Tasks on Naturalistic Driving Performance. Report UMTRI-2005-29. University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute, Ann Arbor. Shankar, V., S. Chayanan, S. Sittikariya, and M. Shyu. 2004. “Marginal impacts of design, traffic, weather and related interactions on road- side crashes,” Transportation Research Record 1897, pp. 156–163. Shankar, V., P. P. Jovanis, J. Aguero-Valverde, and F. Gross. 2008. Analysis of Naturalistic Driving Data: Prospective View on Method- ological Paradigms. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2061, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Washington, D.C., pp. 1–8. http://trb.metapress.com/content/l0146u5267476673/. Shankar, V., F. Mannering, and W. Barfield. 1995. Effect of Roadway Geometrics and Environmental Factors on Rural Freeway Acci- dent Frequencies. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 27, No. 3, pp. 371–389. Shankar, V., J. Milton, and F. Mannering. 1997. Modeling Accident Frequencies as Zero-Altered Probability Processes: An Empirical Inquiry. Accident Analysis & Prevention, Vol. 29, No. 6, pp. 829–837. Shankar, V. N., S. Chayanan, S. Sittikariya, M.-B. Shyu, N. K. Juvva, and J. C. Milton. 2004. Marginal Impacts of Design, Traffic, Weather, and Related Interactions on Roadside Crashes. In Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 1897, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, Wash- ington, D.C., pp. 156–163. http://trb.metapress.com/content/ b6305j14lq348567/. Shinar, D. 2007. Traffic Safety and Human Behavior. Elsevier, Oxford, United Kingdom.