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The Mathematical Sciences' Role in Homeland Security Proceedings of a Workshop (2004) / Chapter Skim
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Business Week Article: Enlisting Math to Defend the Homeland by Stephen H. Wildstrom
Pages 567-568

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From page 567...
... At the other extreme, epictemio~ogists chasing, say, an outbreak of anthrax must figure out whether they're clearing with a terrorist attack or a ranclom, natural event based on extremely scanty evidence. A situation that presents a large number of variables and a small number of data points is very poorly hanctlect by traditional statistical analysis.
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From page 568...
... Levis, chief scientist for the Air Force, suggested that mathematicians might finct ways to apply to domestic security the statistical techniques that the military has clevelopect for analyzing threats. One, using an approach called a Bayesian inference network, works backwards from a set of possible events to assign probabilities to the potential actions that opponents might take.
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