Review of CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3 Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data (2008) / Chapter Skim
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4 SUPPORT FOR FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
4 SUPPORT FOR FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Pages 24-32
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From page 24... ...
Evidence or argumentation should be presented that Climate Change Science Program agencies should pursue the recommended activities. The case has not generally been made that private-sector organizations or local and state governments will not undertake these research priorities, so that the federal government must.
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From page 25... ...
It is not clear what is intended by "extending forecasts of opportunity beyond ENSO years." However, probabilistic forecasts may still offer information beyond "climatology," such as indicating more extreme outcomes having a lower probability of occurrence. A clear discussion indicating that decadal trends provide additional skill to the seasonal forecasts is perhaps necessary.
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From page 26... ...
126) starts out with a quote about rising interest in the visibility of climate change, the text seems to be more about the changing context of water resource management than new understanding of climate variability.
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From page 27... ...
6. Water resource management has great unrealized potential for the inclusion of science citizenship that involves enhanced citizens' understanding of water related climatic risks; citizen participation in the development of knowledge and knowledge-to-action networks; and citizen cooperation in producing water management innovations.
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From page 28... ...
In particular, almost no research is done on effective seasonal forecast communication. Instead, users are commonly engaged only near the end of the product development process.
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From page 29... ...
For example, can the skill be regained simply by adding in better information about precipitation, or has there been a fundamental change in precipitation timing brought about, for example, by climate change? Section 3.5 demonstrates and contrasts regionally versus centrally developed methods, user interfaces, etc.
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From page 30... ...
Given the emphasis placed on the value and potential of boundary organizations, is not clear why this seemingly narrower point appears among the key findings, whereas a finding about boundary organizations does not. The need for funding of other forms of stakeholder engagement also needs additional support, either from the experience of the authoring group or from other sources.
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From page 31... ...
Such examples should be reconsidered and not used unless they add to the main points of the chapter. The discussion of how climate variability influences water resource management (pages 238-239)
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From page 32... ...
that might be worth examining for this section if indeed it should be including discussion of the effects of climate change. In California, the studies suggest that with climate change, there will be more water when it is not needed, in the early spring, and less when it is needed, during the summer irrigation season.
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