Review of CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3 Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data (2008) / Chapter Skim
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5 ORGANIZATION AND ACCESSIBILITY
5 ORGANIZATION AND ACCESSIBILITY
Pages 33-39
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From page 33... ...
. For example, weather forecasts need initial atmospheric state; seasonal forecasts may need initial atmospheric state in the first month but rely more on sea surface temperature data at longer lead times; climate change forecasts are influenced by changing atmospheric composition (e.g., CO2)
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From page 34... ...
In theory, awareness and preparation for seasonal to interannual variability can contribute to adaptation to climate change. However, it would be useful to specify the decisions that seasonal to interannual forecasting does not address that require longer time-scale information and to be clearer about the relevant time scales: 10 years?
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From page 35... ...
article shows an example of seasonal forecast skill from the predictions of a large collection of dynamical models both atmosphere with predicted sea surface temperatures and coupled global circulation models, including the Climate Forecast System (see Figure 5-1)
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From page 36... ...
For example, what is known about how the framing of climate change as a public policy issue may affect how water resource managers utilize climate information? The discussion of the "prior appropriation doctrine" is not very clear.
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From page 37... ...
review of the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service showed that the National Weather Service had only marginally considered a user integration strategy. The Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service, a suite of tools to enhance the river forecast centers, was virtually unknown by the floodplain management community, a key potential user.
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From page 38... ...
report, Research and Networks for Decision Support in NOAA's Sectoral Applications Research Program.
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From page 39... ...
Figure 5-1 An example of seasonal forecast skill. SOURCE: Modified by L
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