Behavioral Modeling and Simulation From Individuals to Societies (2008) / Chapter Skim
Currently Skimming:
11 Recommendations for Military-Sponsored Modeling Research
11 Recommendations for Military-Sponsored Modeling Research
Pages 356-370
The Chapter Skim interface presents what we've algorithmically identified as the most significant single chunk of text within every page in the chapter.
Select key terms on the right to highlight them within pages of the chapter.
From page 356... ...
This chapter summarizes the committee's recommendations for advancing behavioral modeling capabilities to meet the military's current and anticipated needs. There are many challenges in advancing the science of human behavioral modeling.
|
From page 357... ...
The five representative problems described in Chapter 2 provide a possible starting point for choosing the problems to be addressed. The definition of challenge problems is a difficult but essential step for the recommended IOS modeling research program, and it should be the first step in such a program.
|
From page 358... ...
Results should be presented at workshops for program participants and other interested parties and at public conferences, published in the open literature for the research community at large, and presented "up the chain" to the program managers who rely on these models for operational, training, and mission rehearsal uses. Independent Research Thrusts In support of the integrated programs we recommend, we have identified six independent areas in which research is needed.
|
From page 359... ...
Academic institutions are key players for theory development, but they need information, incentives, and funding to address these theoretical issues. There is a need to educate academic researchers in military domains, establish conferences and journals in which their results can be presented, provide postdoctoral support, and provide funding that allows researchers to spend time learning about military domains in depth.
|
From page 360... ...
Combinatorial explosion of possible combinations of parameters is a challenge, and better automated technology is needed to put the model through its paces to explore the parameter space effectively and produce robust results. Thrust 3: Data Collection Methods The difficulty of obtaining data is an ongoing challenge for IOS modeling.
|
From page 361... ...
Note that funding MMOGs is a risky endeavor, with no guarantee that games that are useful for research purposes will find the widespread interest necessary for extensive data generation, but we think that the potential benefits outweigh the risks. Given the critical role of emotions and affective personality factors in organizational decision making and behavior, it is also important to enhance the current methods for collecting affective data.
|
From page 362... ...
These issues are not unique to IOS modeling. In addressing them, IOS modelers should maintain awareness of research and development in model federation in the larger modeling and simulation community.
|
From page 363... ...
For militarily relevant domains in which some data are classified, we recommend an investment in automated tools to sanitize potentially sensitive military data. Often, the IOS models themselves are not readily accessible or even known to researchers or practitioners.
|
From page 364... ...
It needs significant startup funding and continued support over its lifetime. Multidisciplinary Conferences and Workshops A number of the issues and problems identified by the panel were the results of the failure of different disciplines to exchange information, or they resulted from misunderstandings among government funders of model development efforts, military users of models, and model developers.
|
From page 365... ...
• Reasonable definitions of validation for IOS models, feasible approaches for VV&A testing, and why these approaches differ from those used for physics-based models. The recommended workshops should involve model developers, operational military users of the models, and government personnel who make funding decisions regarding model development.
|
From page 366... ...
Figure 11-2 organizes the suggested research areas into a roadmap that shows lines of activity and the interrelationships among them, repeating yearly in a cyclical fashion to advance the state of the art in meeting military IOS modeling needs. As in all use-driven research, the recommended activities start with a clear definition of the purposes to which IOS models are to be put.
|
From page 367... ...
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Problem Set 1 Problem Set 2 Problem Set 3 Problem Set 4 DEFINE CHALLENGE PROBLEMS Develop Datasets for Challenge Problems Select multiple MODEL approaches DEVELOPMENT Docking and Docking and Docking and comparison comparison comparison VALIDATION Theory Development 11-2.eps Research on Data Collection methods Development of Federation Standards Development of Infrastructure and Tools Workshops Workshops Workshops CONFERENCES landscape so that type can be a legible size Input for new Challenge Problems FIGURE 11-2 Roadmap for an IOS modeling research program. 367 NOTE: Only the first four years are shown.
|
From page 368... ...
In addition to the modeling teams, we recommend a series of specialized research thrusts focused on theory development, data collection methods, federation standards, and the development of infrastructure and tools. These thrusts will be aware of the challenge problems and will use the problems to focus their research, but their charter is broader and covers the entire field of IOS modeling.
|
From page 369... ...
. Panel on Modeling Human Behavior and Command Decision Making: Representations for Military Simula tions.
|
Key Terms
This material may be derived from roughly machine-read images, and so is provided only to facilitate research.
More
information on Chapter Skim is available.