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6 Improving Bioterrorism Consequence Assessment
Pages 47-50

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From page 47...
... The model parameters specify the allows researchers to create highly artificial models, sometransition rates between the compartments -- for example, the times based on weakly defended assumptions, where the attack rate -- as susceptible people become infected.   Note: The committee thanks Jason Matheny, Ellis McKenzie, Marc Lipsitch, and Michael Boechler for reading this chapter.
From page 48...
... A the Population Council in New York produced models that were much "structured discussion" approach is also useful in driving more complex, including very detailed demographic data, but where HIV consensus. However, structured discussion is subject to transmission probability was treated as if for measles, compounding inde- small-group dynamics and may reflect primarily the biases pendently and randomly for each individual sex act.
From page 49...
... tion of potentially exposed people by public health officials, and other actions that are guaranteed to generate anxiety in the population. The ongoing risk of exposure, possible OTHER CONSEQUENCES NEED TO BE MODELED evacuation from contaminated areas, and the perceived or Bioterrorist attacks create direct impacts, which occur real risk of death or permanent health consequences are all immediately after the event, and indirect impacts, which contributory.
From page 50...
... "Nationwide Longitudinal Study of Psychological Responses mated by combining direct and indirect economic costs with to September 11." Journal of the American Medical Association the monetization of mortality, morbidity, and environmental 288(10)


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