U.S. Nuclear Engineering Education Status and Prospects (1990) / Chapter Skim
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3 THE NUCLEAR ENGINEERING JOB MARKET
3 THE NUCLEAR ENGINEERING JOB MARKET
Pages 21-34
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From page 21... ...
J V ~ - r -- ~ sciences and other engineering fields, supplemented by some coursework in nuclear engineering. With increasing emphasis on highly trained engineers, it is expected that employers seeking replacements for these individuals will endeavor to hire degreed nuclear engineers.
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From page 22... ...
, 1,640 with the DOE complex, and the remaining 8,030 with the civilian nuclear power industry (electric utilities accounting for 2,040) , distributed across the other segments indicated in Table 3-1.
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From page 23... ...
for the U.S. Department of Energy, data provided by employers to the National Research Council Committee on Nuclear Engineering Education, and data developed by ORAU from the surveys of scientists and engineers sponsored by the National Science Foundation.
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From page 24... ...
The growth of federal nuclear engineering employment largely reflected an increasing emphasis on military preparedness between 1981 and 1987. With all but a few of the nuclear power plants that were begun in the 1970s now in service, and with no unfilled orders for additional plants, industry nuclear engineering employment is expected to remain at about current levels for at least the next ~ .
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From page 25... ...
Proceeding with these initiatives according to current schedules could soon significantly increase the number of nuclear engineers required by DOE for both reactor and non-reactor-related activities. DOE provided the committee with its projections of nuclear engineering employment for the agency itself and for its contractor system, based on both high-growth and best-estimate scenarios.
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From page 26... ...
It would also require a satisfactory resolution of the problems encountered in the federal nuclear waste management program. The committee believes that a primary determinant of nuclear engineering employment in the civilian nuclear power industry is the number of nuclear power plants on order, under construction and in service.
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From page 27... ...
EPRI observed that a resumption of nuclear power plant orders appears more likely than at any time in the past decade, given such recent events and trends as the Nuclear Regulatory Commission's new combined license rulemaking (10 CFR 52) , increased congressional interest in one-step nuclear licensing legislation, growing awareness and concern about the environmental damage being created by combustion of fossil fuels, and changes in public attitudes about the supply of electric power stemming from shortages that occurred in some areas of the country last year.
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From page 28... ...
Scenario Year High Growth Best Estimate Low Growth 1990 0 0 0 1995 0 0 0 2000 18 0 0 2005 59 18 0 2010 108 59 0 Based on the assumptions for the different civilian nuclear power growth scenarios of Appendix E (Table E-1) , the committee's projections of employment of nuclear engineers for the civilian nuclear power sector are shown in Table 3-4.
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From page 29... ...
30 28 26 24 22 20 18 z ~ ~ c ~ _ _ _ °] 14 12 o LOW GROWTH 10 8 ~ 6 ~ _ ~~ ~00 ~ / ~ 00 ~ 700 /~ 1981 1983 1985 1987 t990 1995 2000 2005 2010 YEAR +BEST ESTIMATE 0 PUGH GROWTH FIGURE 3-l Projected total civilian employment of nuclear engineers, 1990-2010, for three scenarios (estimated to the nearest hundred)
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From page 30... ...
Other Government Agencies and Contractors Since the committee assumed that nuclear engineering employment in non-DOE federal agencies other than DOE, the military services, and related contractor services would all remain relatively constant over the period the study covered for all three scenarios (except for the SDIO) , the demand for this
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From page 31... ...
TABLE 3-6 Actual and Projected Job Openings Annually for New Nuclear Engineering Graduates at DOE and DOE Contractors, 1987-2010 High-Growth Best Low-Growth Year Estimate Estimate Estimate 1987 60 60 60 1995 440 270 60 2000 360 150 60 2005 350 130 60 2010 6S0 130 60 SOURCE: ORAU.
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From page 32... ...
TABLE 3-7 Actual and Projected Annual Demand for Nuclear Engineers in the Civilian Nuclear Power Sector, 1987-2010 Year Scenario __ High Growth Best Estimate Low Growth 1987280280 280 1995280280 280 2000620280 280 20051,090620 280 20101,3301,090 280 Consolidated Demand Forecast Applying the demand model of Appendix E to the forecast for industry and government nuclear engineering employment results in the forecasts of total
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From page 33... ...
~4 ~2 2 1.8 LL I i. 1.4 C z C: As 1.6 L2 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 / ~60Q / aft / / / / / ~0 'I /= ~ Befits- o4~B o400 -- oath / / / / O- 1 1 1 1 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 o LOW GROWTH YEAR +BEST ESTIMATE o HIGH GROWTH FIGURE 3-2 Projected annual demand for civilian nuclear engineers in government and industry, 1990-2010, for three scenarios (estimated to the nearest hundred)
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From page 34... ...
o The committee's best-estimate projection indicates an increase by 1995 by as much as 50 percent above the annual demand for nuclear engineers but about 25 percent greater demand in 2000 (based on current figures)
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