U.S. Nuclear Engineering Education Status and Prospects (1990) / Chapter Skim
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5 OUTLOOK FOR SUPPLY OF NUCLEAR ENGINEERS
5 OUTLOOK FOR SUPPLY OF NUCLEAR ENGINEERS
Pages 57-72
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From page 57... ...
National Center for Education Statistics data bases were used to describe trends in all degrees, quantitative degrees, and engineering degrees. These statistics do not identify nuclear engineering as an engineering subfield, so to estimate past supply of nuclear engineers, Department of Energy (DOE)
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From page 58... ...
Table 5-1 shows a picture for quantitative degrees radically different from that for total degrees. Between 1977 and 1987 the number of quantitative degrees awarded increased substantially at all degree levels, regardless of whether nonresident aliens were taken into account.
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Even with nonresident aliens excluded, there were substantial increases at all degree levels. The number of engineering degrees awarded were not a main factor in the increase in quantitative degrees during the decade.
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level (see Table 5-39. Since nonresident aliens earn a substantial fraction of the quantitative degrees awarded, especially at the M.S.
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Thus, the data show small, but positive, shifts of women toward quantitative fields (see Tables F-9 and F-10~. Women in 1988 earned substantially greater numbers and shares of engineering degrees, doubling or tripling their 1978 shares at all degree levels (see Table F-ll)
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All other groups -- Hispanics, American Indians, and Asians -- show increases at all degree levels (see Table F-12~.1 A different result emerges from the data for quantitative degrees granted between 1977 and 1987 by race, ethnicity, and degree level. Relative to 1977, 1987 shows increases for all subgroups in quantitative degrees earned at the B.S.
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However, the trends for quantitative degrees and for engineering degrees are strongly positive for virtually all groups at all degree levels. Even if only U.S.
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Indians + + + + + - + + Asians + + + + + + + + + + = positive trend - = negative trend -~ = stable trend Numbers too small to be meaningful TRENDS IN SCHOLASTIC APTITUDE TEST SCORES Trends in earned quantitative and engineering degrees are one way to define a potential pool of nuclear engineers. A much broader definition is to determine the share of college graduates who had the verbal and mathematical abilities at college or graduate school entry to successfully complete a nuclear engineering program.
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Survey respondents often did not identify Graduate Record Examination (ORE) score minimums for expected nuclear engineering graduate program success.
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From page 66... ...
If While quantitativedegree production rates are used as the baseline for estimating the quantitative field effects of population shifts toward minorities, the higher Asian production rates more than compensate for the lower rates of Blacks and American Indians at all degree levels. For example, the 14.1-percent
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From page 67... ...
energy supply option may require a higher percentage of uniquely trained and fully accredited degreed nuclear engineers. Also, the countries from which these nuclear engineers might come could have their own increasing demand for this engineering pool.
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5. The projected decline and changes in composition of the college-age population could limit the number of degrees awarded in quantitative fields, leading to intense competition for qualified students.
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FINDINGS Committee findings regarding the future supply of nuclear engineers include the following: o Current U.S. replacement needs for those with B.S., M.S., and doctorate degrees in nuclear engineering are about 400 new labor market entrants annually.
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o Between 1977 and 1987 trends for quantitative degrees and for engineering degrees are strongly positive for virtually all groups at all degree levels.
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From page 72... ...
72 for nuclear engineers will be met by attracting students from these other quantitative fields, because the demand from many other quarters for these quantitative degrees is also expected to rise. o Simple projections show that for the best-estimate demand scenario, demand will exceed supply before 1995, even if the decline in capacity slows If annual demand for nuclear engineers stays at about 400, new labor market entrants shortages will almost certainly develop before the year 2000.
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