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Meteorological Support for Space Operations Review and Recommendations (1988) / Chapter Skim
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ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING SYSTEMS
Pages 37-42

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From page 37...
... If data from each source were considered independently, the correct prognosis might become progressively blurred. This is especially true because of the complexity of the mesoscale weather systems that affect KSC, which may be of such small scale that individual measurement systems are only able to give a skeletal picture of the phenomenon.
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From page 38...
... Future plans call for all data sets to be available on MIDDS; these plans need to be promptly executed. All sources of satellite data, including NOAA and DMSP polar orbiting satellites, as well as all channels (e.g., visible, all infrared and near infrared, and microwave channels)
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From page 39...
... LOCAL OBJECTIVE ANALYSES The abundant and diverse types of data may confuse weather personnel unless steps are taken to assimilate and consistently analyze data from all sources and transform them into high-resolution gridded fields of understandable variables. Techniques to assimilate and analyze these data should be automated so that the forecaster need only consider fields analyzed from gridded data, such as the three-dimensional vector wind.
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From page 40...
... Although these problems need longer-term applied research with new measurement systems, some gains could be obtained through subjective and statistical studies of available data sets. The existing yes/no data from triggered lightning studies at KSC, for example, could be used together with parameters such as electric field, cloud base height, height of the freezing level, cloud top infrared temperature (or inferred height)
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From page 41...
... There is an urgent need for the development of interactive "decision trees" and computer-aided decision-making methods to help the forecaster make most efficient use of data in reaching decisions, particularly hi forecasting thunderstorm formation and natural and triggered lightning. MESOSCALE FORECAST MODELS MesoscaJe forecast models offer the potential for dramatic enhancements in future forecast accuracy.
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From page 42...
... 42 The National Aeronautics and Space Administration and other participants hi the space program should take an active role hi encouraging development of numerical models dealing with weather elements crucial to the space program.
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Key Terms

  • electric field
  • forecast models
  • decision trees
  • mesoscale forecast
  • data assimilation

  • field mill
  • critical weather
  • numerical models
  • forecast accuracy
  • nested mesoscale

  • active role
  • mesoscale numerical
  • optimally combine
  • detailed analyses
  • model studies

  • data appropriate
  • diverse types
  • forcing influences
  • cause disasters
  • develop decision

  • variables discussed
  • wind shear
  • disparate data
  • reaching decisions
  • forecast decisions

  • prediction models
  • becoming available
  • systematically consider
  • fine mesh
  • initial data


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