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DEVELOPMENT OF MONITORING AND EARLY DETECTION STRATEGIES
Pages 61-64

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From page 61...
... 2. The CO2-induced warming may be masked by climate changes caused by other factors such as the secular variations of atmospheric aerosols and solar irradiance.
From page 62...
... On the basis of these measurements, one should be able to distinguish the climate changes attributable to changes in these factors and thereby facilitate the detection of a CO2induced climate signal. A comprehensive set of variables should be monitored in order to discriminate CO2-induced changes from changes in climate caused by other factors.
From page 63...
... MONITORING OCEAN CLIMATE RESPONSE Operational monitoring of the ocean's response to climate change requires observation of sea-surface temperature, water-mass parameters, and sea-ice extent. The problem with sea-surface temperature measurements is their large fluctuations due to mesoscale eddies and observational errors.
From page 64...
... Estimates based on a series of four cruises in the eastern North Atlantic subtropical gyre show that potential temperature can be spatially determined in the presence of eddies to an error less than 0.02°C for any cruise and a scatter less than 0.1°C for four cruises extending over 2 years. The difficulty in interpreting any water-mass indicators of climatic variability is that poorly understood salinity changes associated with evaporation and precipitation may accompany these changes.


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