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Pages 44-55

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From page 44...
... 44 As indicated in the introductory chapter, the plausible future transportation energy scenarios developed for this project include elements related to fuel sources and vehicle propulsion technologies, travel demand and mode choices, and federal policies in the areas of energy, climate, and transportation funding. Emerging fuel sources and vehicle technologies are the central focus of the study and may affect state DOTs in a variety of ways.
From page 45...
... 45 continue to grow in future decades, albeit at a declining rate, and to become older and more diverse. Population growth in the West and South is expected to continue to exceed growth in the Northeast and Midwest, and the overall growth rate will be highly dependent on net immigration rates.
From page 46...
... 46 taxation system coupled with redistributive investments -- income disparities may continue to widen over time. • Geographic variations in growth.
From page 47...
... 47 approaches that seek to increase U.S. production of traditional energy sources and demand-side approaches that seek to reduce energy demand or displace fossil fuels with cleaner energy alternatives.
From page 48...
... 48 ties affecting future policy choices include potential shifts in the relative prioritization of policy goals and voter attitudes toward pricing as a policy mechanism. • Relative prioritization of policy goals.
From page 49...
... 49 omy. The politics of increasing fuel-tax rates, however, appear to have become more challenging in recent years.
From page 50...
... 50 ing decades, through a series of federal transportation bills, the share of HTF funds directed to non-highway uses -- including transit, air quality mitigation, bicycle and pedestrian improvements, and the like -- has gradually grown. Based on analysis of data from a recent Government Accountability Office (2009)
From page 51...
... 51 lenges. In contrast, general revenue measures to fund transportation, often levied by local governments, have enjoyed much greater success at the ballot box in recent decades (Goldman and Wachs 2003)
From page 52...
... 52 including growth in automotive travel, growth in truck travel, and growth in transit mode share. In the two tables, rows correspond to the different potential trends, developments, or policy choices of interest, while columns present the future scenario elements.
From page 55...
... 55 U.S. Census Bureau.

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