Strategic Issues Facing Transportation, Volume 5: Preparing State Transportation Agencies for an Uncertain Energy Future (2014) / Chapter Skim
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From page 78... ...
78 With a clear understanding of how the plausible transportation energy scenarios could affect state DOTs (as described in the previous chapter) , it becomes possible to consider different strategies that could assist states in preparing for or responding to potential changes in transportation energy use.
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79 7.1.2 Assumptions for Evaluating Strategic Directions While the policies grouped under each strategic direction were selected based on broad similarities, they are not expected to perform identically in terms of effectiveness, cost, and other criteria. Given the potential for variation in the expected performance of different policies within each strategic direction, the researchers found it helpful to establish a clear set of assumptions about the specific combination of policies that a state would choose to implement if it wished to pursue the strategic direction.
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80 implement a significant increase in per-gallon tax rates (e.g., roughly doubling the current rates)
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81 efforts to support the national goal of moving toward zero crash-related deaths, states already prioritize such improvements within the constraints of available revenue. In assessing this strategy, the possibility that a state would increase its current level of investment in such strategies to further accelerate deployment was considered, although this would likely require that the state first augment transportation revenue sources.
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82 materials and practices, and setting up programs to reduce travel for state employees. The assessment assumes that a state interested in this strategy would adopt all of these policies across all state agencies, as applicable.
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83 that these criteria (with the possible exception of financial cost and technical risk) do not necessarily represent strong policy reasons for not pursuing a strategy; rather, as a group they are mainly intended to reflect the degree of difficulty in successfully implementing the strategy.
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84 Table 7.1. Elements of the framework for evaluating strategies.
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85 Strategic Direction Improving Air Quality Reducing GHG Emissions Enhancing NonAutomotive Travel Options Strategies to Sustain or Increase Revenue Tolls or mileage-based user fees Fuel taxes Registration fees Beneficiary fees General revenue sources Increased use of private capital Strategies to Reduce Costs Greater efficiency Reduced scope of responsibility Strategies to Improve Auto and Truck Travel Road expansion Goods movement Congestion pricing ITSs TSM&O Traffic safety Strategies to Improve Alternative Travel Modes TDM Public transportation Land use Strategies to Promote Energy Efficiency and Alternative Fuels Vehicle feebates Carbon pricing Fuel mandates and programs Fuel production and distribution Agency energy use Key: = Highly Effective = Moderately Effective Blank = Not Applicable Shaded = Uncertain Table 7.3. Assessment of strategic directions: possible mitigation effects (part 2)
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86 Strategic Direction Reducing Oil Consumption Increasing Use of Lower-Carbon Alternative Fuels Reducing Energy Cost of Travel Strategies to Sustain or Increase Revenue Tolls or mileage-based user fees Fuel taxes Registration fees Beneficiary fees General revenue sources Increased use of private capital Strategies to Reduce Costs Greater efficiency Reduced scope of responsibility Strategies to Improve Auto and Truck Travel Road expansion Goods movement Congestion pricing ITSs TSM&O Traffic safety Strategies to Improve Alternative Travel Modes TDM Public transportation Land use Strategies to Promote Energy Efficiency and Alternative Fuels Vehicle feebates Carbon pricing Fuel mandates and programs Fuel production and distribution Agency energy use Key: = Highly Effective = Moderately Effective Blank = Not Applicable Shaded = Uncertain Table 7.4. Assessment of strategic directions: possible shaping effects.
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87 Key: = Highly Positive = Moderately Positive = Neutral = Highly Negative = Moderately Negative Shaded = Uncertain Strategic Direction Economy Environment and Public Health Equity Strategies to Sustain or Increase Revenue Tolls or mileage-based user fees Fuel taxes Registration fees Beneficiary fees General revenue sources Increased use of private capital Strategies to Reduce Costs Greater efficiency Reduced scope of responsibility Strategies to Improve Auto and Truck Travel Road expansion Goods movement Congestion pricing ITSs TSM&O Traffic safety Strategies to Improve Alternative Travel Modes TDM Public transportation Land use Strategies to Promote Energy Efficiency and Alternative Fuels Vehicle feebates Carbon pricing Fuel mandates and programs Fuel production and distribution Agency energy use Table 7.5. Assessment of strategic directions: other general effects.
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88 Key: = Significant Barrier = Moderate Barrier Blank = Not Applicable Shaded = Uncertain Strategic Direction Public Support Financial Cost Technical Risk Enabling Legislation Institutional Restructuring Strategies to Sustain or Increase Revenue Tolls or mileage-based user fees Fuel taxes Registration fees Beneficiary fees General revenue sources Increased use of private capital Strategies to Reduce Costs Greater efficiency Reduced scope of responsibility Strategies to Improve Auto and Truck Travel Road expansion Goods movement Congestion pricing ITSs TSM&O Traffic safety Strategies to Improve Alternative Travel Modes TDM Public transportation Land use Strategies to Promote Energy Efficiency and Alternative Fuels Vehicle feebates Carbon pricing Fuel mandates and programs Fuel production and distribution Agency energy use Table 7.6. Assessment of strategic directions: potential barriers.
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From page 89... ...
89 downward arrows indicate a liability or obstacle, a hollow circle indicates a neutral rating, the absence of an entry indicates not applicable, and light gray shading in the background indicates some uncertainty regarding the rating. Discussions of the analysis supporting the strategy ratings are presented in Appendices I, J, K, L, and M
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