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From page 1...
... Research Results Digest 299 November 2005 INTRODUCTION Crash or accident reduction factors (CRFs or ARFs) provide a quick way of estimating crash reductions associated with highway safety improvements and are used by many states and local jurisdictions in program planning to decide whether to implement a specific treatment and/or to quickly determine the costs and benefits of selected alternatives.
From page 2...
... by a TRB Task Force and NCHRP (3)
From page 3...
... • Combinations of Treatments. Most AMFs are designed for individual treatments.
From page 4...
... TABLE 1 AMF Knowledge Matrix Intersection Treatments User Level of Predictive Certainty Ongoing/ Priority Medium- Medium- Non- Future Treatment Level High High Low Low Existent Work Install a roundabout 19 ✓ (5)
From page 5...
... Convert stop-control to yield-control ✓ (31) Install red-light cameras ✓ (25,26)
From page 6...
... TABLE 1 (Continued) Roadway Segment Treatments User Level of Predictive Certainty Ongoing/ Priority Medium- Medium- Non- Future Treatment Level High High Low Low Existent Work Add edgeline rumble strips 14 ✓14 ✓ (50)
From page 7...
... Provide signal coordination 7 ✓ (65) Increase pavement friction ✓ (66)
From page 8...
... definitions used in establishing the LOPC were as follows: • High. The AMF was developed in a rigorous before–after study that incorporated the current best study design and statistical analysis methods.
From page 9...
... Ongoing/Future Work The existence of ongoing or planned research that might improve the AMF was determined by a review of several research-in-progress databases, discussions with other highway safety researchers, and conversations with research sponsors such as FHWA and the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS)
From page 10...
... TABLE 3 Summaries of Research Studies That Developed AMFs TREATMENT: Install Roundabout AMF Level of Predictive Certainty: High METHODOLOGY: Empirical Bayes Before-After REFERENCE: Persaud, Retting, Garder, and Lord - 2001 (5) STUDY SITES: • Treatment sites included 23 intersections that were converted between 1992 and 1997 to roundabouts (19 were previously controlled by stop signs, and 4 were controlled by signals)
From page 11...
... CRASH TYPE STUDIED AND ESTIMATED EFFECTS No. of AMF Total Intersection Accidents Improved One Both (all severity levels, all accident types)
From page 12...
... TABLE 3 (Continued) TREATMENT: Add Exclusive Right-Turn Lane AMF Level of Predictive Certainty: High CRASH TYPE STUDIED AND ESTIMATED EFFECTS No.
From page 13...
... TABLE 3 (Continued) TREATMENT: Install a Traffic Signal AMF Level of Predictive Certainty: High CRASH TYPE STUDIED AND ESTIMATED EFFECTS No.
From page 14...
... TABLE 3 (Continued) TREATMENT: Remove a Traffic Signal AMF Level of Predictive Certainty: High CRASH TYPE STUDIED AND ESTIMATED EFFECTS No.
From page 15...
... TABLE 3 (Continued) TREATMENT: Modify Signal Change Interval AMF Level of Predictive Certainty: Medium-High CRASH TYPE STUDIED AND ESTIMATED EFFECTS No.
From page 16...
... TABLE 3 (Continued) TREATMENT: Convert to All-Way Stop Control AMF Level of Predictive Certainty: Medium-High CRASH TYPE STUDIED AND ESTIMATED EFFECTS No.
From page 17...
... TABLE 3 (Continued) TREATMENT: Convert Stop-Control to Yield-Control AMF Level of Predictive Certainty: Medium-High CRASH TYPE STUDIED AND ESTIMATED EFFECTS No.
From page 18...
... TABLE 3 (Continued) TREATMENT: Install Red-Light Cameras AMF Level of Predictive Certainty: High CRASH TYPE STUDIED AND ESTIMATED EFFECTS No.
From page 19...
... TABLE 3 (Continued) TREATMENT: Narrow Lane Widths to Add Lanes AMF Level of Predictive Certainty: Medium-High CRASH TYPE STUDIED AND ESTIMATED EFFECTS No.
From page 20...
... METHODOLOGY: Analysis-Driven Expert Panel REFERENCE: Harwood, Council, Hauer, Hughes, & Vogt - 2000 (7) COMMENTS: • Expert panel considered these AMFs to be the best estimates for the installation of passing lanes on rural two-lane roadways.
From page 21...
... METHODOLOGY: Analysis-Driven Expert Panel REFERENCES: Harwood, Council, Hauer, Hughes, & Vogt - 2000 (7) and Harwood, Rabbani, Richard, McGee, & Gittings - 2003 (70)
From page 22...
... METHODOLOGY: Analysis-Driven Expert Panel REFERENCES: Harwood, Council, Hauer, Hughes, & Vogt - 2000 (7) and Harwood, Rabbani, Richard, McGee, & Gittings - 2003 (70)
From page 23...
... METHODOLOGY: Analysis-Driven Expert Panel REFERENCE: Harwood, Council, Hauer, Hughes, & Vogt - 2000 (7) COMMENTS: • AMF applies to total accidents on the curved roadway segment.
From page 24...
... METHODOLOGY: Before-After with Comparison Sites REFERENCE: Griffith - 1999 (47) STUDY SITES: • Included 55 treatment sites and 55 matched comparison sites from rural and urban freeways in Illinois.
From page 25...
... METHODOLOGY: Empirical Bayes Before-After REFERENCE: Persaud, Retting, & Lyon - 2003 (51) STUDY SITES: • Crash and traffic volume data were collected for 98 treatment sites, consisting of 210 miles, where centerline rumble strips had been installed on rural two-lane roads in the states of California, Colorado, Delaware, Maryland, Minnesota, Oregon, and Washington.
From page 26...
... METHODOLOGY: Meta-analysis REFERENCE: Elvik and Vaa - 2004 (55) STUDY SITES: • 20 studies were evaluated, including 12 U.S.
From page 27...
... of this study. One of these studies is NCHRP Project 17-27, Parts I and II of the Highway Safety Manual (HSM)
From page 28...
... Publication FHWA-RD-99-207.
From page 29...
... 30. Lovell, J
From page 30...
... 52. Bligh, R
From page 31...
... 75. Hauer, E
From page 32...
... Transportation Research Board 500 Fifth Street, NW Washington, DC 20001 These digests are issued in order to increase awareness of research results emanating from projects in the Cooperative Research Programs (CRP)

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